Browns vs. Patriots prediction, pick, odds, and how to watch the Week 10 game

What is our prediction for Browns vs. Patriots, how do the latest NFL odds shape up, and what channel can you watch this Week 10 game on?

This Sunday’s crucial Cleveland Browns vs. New England Patriots matchup is a tough one from a prediction standpoint with both teams having up-and-down seasons in 2021. Let’s take a look at what to expect in this Browns at Patriots matchup, make a prediction for how it might go along with the NFL odds, and look at what channel you can watch and/or where you can listen to this Week 10 game.

Cleveland Browns vs. New England Patriots prediction and odds | Week 10

  • Spread: Browns -1
  • Moneyline: Browns -110, Patriots -110
  • Over/Under: 45
  • Odds from DraftKings sportsbook

The Browns came out on Sunday against the Bengals and delivered the response we needed to see. That response was two-fold, given their loss to the Steelers the week before and the discussion around the release of Odell Beckham Jr.

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However, now they have to go into New England and prove that was not a one-off, which they have struggled to do in the past five weeks.

Sunday’s cover was just the second time in five weeks the Browns have covered (5-4 ATS this season). Their topsy-turvy performances make it tough to make a prediction for their game at the Patriots. However, if their defense plays how it did against the Bengals, they should have every chance to advance to 6-4.

The Patriots are playing better football

Meanwhile, the Patriots have strung together three consecutive wins and four in five. Their only loss in that time frame was the overtime defeat to Dallas. In fact, the Patriots have nearly gone 6-0 in the last six weeks. They narrowly lost to the Buccaneers on a missed Nick Folk field goal in Week 4 as well.

The symmetry between these two franchises is remarkable. Both are 5-4 straight up and against the spread this season. They are both 2-1 against the spread as underdogs and 3-3 as favorites. The only place they differ is that the over is 4-5 in Patriots games, compared to 5-4 in Browns games this season.

Browns vs. Patriots prediction

The run game of the Patriots is crucial for the outcome of this matchup. New England has used their running game to control the clock and keep the pressure off rookie QB Mac Jones this season. However, Cleveland ranks second in the league in terms of rush yards allowed per attempt and top 10 in average drive time allowed.

Both of these teams like to play a similar ball-control-style offense. The Browns lead the league in average time per drive and rank in the top three in plays per drive. That is despite ranking 16th in third-down conversion rate, emphasizing their commitment to the run.

If New England cannot control the ball on the ground on offense, Cleveland can control the clock, wear down the Patriots’ defense, and pile the pressure on Jones. You then have the rookie QB throwing into the teeth of a talented secondary that picked off Joe Burrow twice in Week 9. That is a potential recipe for disaster for New England.

This game should be tight unless one of the QBs makes critical errors early. Neither team feels like they can play from behind, so if either club is down by 10 or more, it could be extremely uncomfortable. The slight lean has to go with the Browns from an overall talent standpoint, but Kevin Stefanski also needs to outcoach Bill Belichick, which we know is not an easy thing to do.

Browns vs. Patriots prediction: Browns 23, Patriots 21

How to watch and listen to Browns vs. Patriots this week

  • Start time: 1 PM ET
  • Channel: CBS
  • Live stream:
    • Paramount Plus
    • Hulu + Live TV
    • fuboTV
    • YouTube TV
    • DirecTV NFL Sunday Ticket
    • NFL Mobile App
  • Listen:

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