This Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills matchup on Monday Night Football features one of the best offenses in the NFL and a defense that allowed 70 points earlier this season. We expect there to be points in this once, but what are the best touchdown scorer bets?
Broncos vs. Bills Best Touchdown Scorer Bets
Josh Allen (-105 at DraftKings)
Blewis:Â After Jalen Hurts, obviously, no quarterback is a better bet to score a rushing touchdown than Josh Allen. For the season, Allen has six rushing touchdowns and has cashed his anytime touchdown prop in six of his last seven games.
The Bills have 10 rushing touchdowns for the season, and Allen has scored 60% of them. Latavius Murray might lead the team in attempts from inside the 5-yard line, but Allen has been much more efficient with his opportunities. This is a trend worth playing, in my opinion.
Dalton Kincaid (+185 at DraftKings)
Soppe: Dawson Knox got banged up in Week 7, paving the way for Kincaid to earn 26 targets over the past three weeks. That’s not a mistake — he came into the league with pedigree — and with 23 catches over that stretch, he has very much rewarded the Bills for their confidence in him.
Prior to the Knox injury, one of every 19 Kincaid targets came in the red zone. Since? One of every 6.5, a spike that is even more impactful with the uptick in overall volume. With the Bills a heavy favorite and ranking fourth in pass rate above expectation this season, seeking value on this offense through the air is the play, and Kincaid offers nice value.
Latavius Murray (+300 at DraftKings)
Bearman:Â The Broncos’ defense has been bad but has shown signs of life lately. They aren’t allowing 70 points anymore, but they still rank last overall and against the run, so I do expect the Bills to be able to run the ball here.
The odds are too low for me on Josh Allen or James Cook to score, so let’s roll the dice with Latavius Murray, who leads the team in red-zone carries.
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