As we inch toward the new season, the ever-changing NFL landscape has player fantasy values constantly on the move. Whether you’re used to the dynasty platform or are still learning the rules, let’s dive into the latest dynasty fantasy football value of Breece Hall.
Breece Hall’s Dynasty Outlook and Value
The Jets’ second-round rookie was a lock to win Offensive Rookie of the Year had he not torn his ACL in Week 7.
Hall opened the season backing up Michael Carter, but it took all of three weeks for talent to win out. By Week 4, Hall was playing over 60% of the snaps. He averaged 18.3 carries per game in his three full games as the main back before getting hurt.
On the season, Hall averaged 5.8 yards per carry and saw an impressive 13.1% target share in his healthy games. He led all running backs in yards per touch and evaded tackles per touch. Hall was third in yards created per touch and had the second-highest rate of 15+ yard carries.
While this is all within the context of a limited sample size, it’s still highly relevant as proof of Hall’s ability. Hall averaged 16.4 ppg in his seven contests. He was going to finish as an RB1 as a rookie.
Going forward, there’s zero doubt as to who the Jets’ lead RB is going to be. Hall is an elite talent with a three-down skill set. Whether the Jets use him on all three downs remains to be seen. But merely possessing the dual-threat ability Hall has is enough to make him a top-five dynasty running back.
The hiccup, of course, is his knee. Hall appears to be progressing well. Good news should always be taken with a grain of salt, but more important is the lack of bad news. By all accounts, Hall should be ready to go for Week 1. The question is whether we’ll see the same Hall.
In 2021, Saquon Barkley’s first year back from his ACL tear, he was legitimately awful at football. He was so bad that it was fair to ask questions as to whether he could regain his pre-injury form. While that ultimately happened in 2022, it cost him an entire season to get there.
Breece Hall’s Fantasy Ranking
Hall is entering his age-22 season. He has zero tread on his tires. If any type of athlete is capable of immediately returning to pre-injury levels, it’s Hall.
Fantasy managers with Hall should certainly be cognizant of the fact that he might not be as good in 2023. However, I fully expect him to be an elite RB1 by 2024, barring any sort of setbacks or reinjury.
Even with the devastating knee injury, Hall is so young and so talented that the only running backs I’d even consider more valuable than him are Christian McCaffrey and Jonathan Taylor. He’s currently at RB2 (No. 11 overall) in our dynasty Superflex rankings.
If, for some reason, there’s a manager out there in your league who is worried about Hall’s knee and wants to move him, feel free to do whatever it takes to get an elite RB1 for the next 5+ years on your roster. I would have minimal reservations about selecting him in the late-first or early-second round of dynasty startup drafts.
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