Battle-Tested Teams: Narrow Wins and Losses

Sports Betting

Better Regular Season Record: Does it Correlate to the Super Bowl?

Among Super Bowl contenders, how much do regular-season wins correlate with winning the title – or even covering the spread?

Sports Betting

Penalties in the Big Game

A Super Bowl contender that led the league in regular-season penalties. A more disciplined opponent. Who’s more likely to win, and how might in-game penalties shake things up?

Sports Betting

Quarter-by-Quarter Scoring in the Super Bowl

When are Super Bowl teams most likely to score during the regular season, and during the big game? And how might this inform our approach to prop betting?

Sports Betting

High-Point Scorers in the Super Bowl

Super Bowls often feature at least one offensive juggernaut. How frequently do they win and/or cover the spread?

Sports Betting

Rush and Pass Attempts: Super Bowl vs. Regular Season

Prop bets and DFS competitions might be largely won or lost before the coin flip . . . if only we knew which team would win. Ah, but we can play the probabilities.

Battle-Tested Teams: Narrow Wins and Losses

Battle-Tested Teams: Narrow Wins and Losses

More Research/Analysis