The Broncos’ decision to part ways with veteran quarterback Russell Wilson doesn’t necessarily improve the situation under center for the fantasy pass-catchers projected to have a large role in the Denver passing game this year. This puts dynasty shareholders of veteran WR Courtland Sutton in a tricky spot heading into the 2024 NFL season.
What does Sutton’s dynasty value look like entering his seventh season in the league?
Courtland Sutton’s Dynasty Outlook
In direct comparison to his previous three seasons, Sutton produced a nice bounce-back campaign in 2023 with a career-high 10 touchdown receptions. Yet, if we consider a WR35 fantasy finish a bounce-back year, what type of fantasy ceiling can we truly get excited about for him in 2024?
These two realizations could comfort rational dynasty managers about how to appropriately value Sutton moving forward. After adding Josh Reynolds via free agency and the speedy Troy Franklin in the NFL Draft as competition for next season, he is still likely to be the top pass-catching option for the Broncos in 2024.
Stop us if you read our last post…
ALL COURTLAND SUTTON DOES IS MAKE RIDICULOUS CATCHES!!!pic.twitter.com/FOhPF3v4nx
— Pro Football Network (@PFN365)
Yet, the real unknown is what to expect under center for Denver this year. This offseason, the team traded for Zach Wilson and selected Oregon QB Bo Nix at No. 12 overall in the 2024 NFL Draft to join Jarrett Stidham in the quarterback room for this year. This makes the quality and quantity of his targets a bit of an unknown at the moment.
Last year, he had his best fantasy since 2019, where he finished at the WR19 in full-PPR formats — which is encouraging — but that still feels like an eternity ago, and his 10 TDs came on just 90 targets this year, which doesn’t feel like a sustainable rate. Additionally, his 59 receptions ranked 59th in the league, while his 772 receiving yards ranked 44th in the league.
To give you an idea of how unusually high his target-to-TD ratio was in 2023, of the seven players who caught 10+ TDs last year, Sutton was the only player with fewer than 100 targets.
There is some optimism that Sutton could have another WR2/3 season in 2024 with a healthy target share, but his being 29 years old and having a subpar quarterback under center doesn’t exactly give him an exciting fantasy ceiling in 2024.
Sutton’s Dynasty Ranking
Where does Sutton land in the dynasty POS landscape going into the 2024 offseason? Here are Tate’s latest rankings, featuring where Sutton lands in comparison to other top names at the position.
1) Justin Jefferson | MIN
2) CeeDee Lamb | DAL
3) Ja’Marr Chase | CIN
4) Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET
5) Marvin Harrison Jr. | ARI
6) A.J. Brown | PHI
7) Garrett Wilson | NYJ
8) Tyreek Hill | MIA
9) Puka Nacua | LAR
10) Malik Nabers | NYG
11) Drake London | ATL
12) Rome Odunze | CHI
13) Chris Olave | NO
14) Jaylen Waddle | MIA
15) DeVonta Smith | PHI
16) Michael Pittman Jr. | IND
17) DJ Moore | CHI
18) Zay Flowers | BAL
19) Ladd McConkey | LAC
20) Brian Thomas Jr. | JAX
21) Xavier Worthy | KC
22) Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA
23) Tank Dell | HOU
24) Rashee Rice | KC
25) Tee Higgins | CIN
26) Nico Collins | HOU
27) George Pickens | PIT
28) DK Metcalf | SEA
29) Brandon Aiyuk | SF
30) Deebo Samuel Sr. | SF
31) Ricky Pearsall | SF
32) Keon Coleman | BUF
33) Terry McLaurin | WAS
34) Malachi Corley | NYJ
35) Ja’Lynn Polk | NE
36) Adonai Mitchell | IND
37) Xavier Legette | CAR
38) Jordan Addison | MIN
39) Jayden Reed | GB
40) Amari Cooper | CLE
41) Davante Adams | LV
42) Keenan Allen | CHI
43) Stefon Diggs | HOU
44) Mike Evans | TB
45) Cooper Kupp | LAR
46) Khalil Shakir | BUF
47) Diontae Johnson | CAR
48) Josh Downs | IND
49) Christian Kirk | JAX
50) Troy Franklin | DEN
51) Malik Washington | MIA
52) Calvin Ridley | TEN
53) Chris Godwin | TB
54) Javon Baker | NE
55) DeMario Douglas | NE
56) Roman Wilson | PIT
57) Luke McCaffrey | WAS
58) Courtland Sutton | DEN
59) Devontez Walker | BAL
60) Romeo Doubs | GB
61) Jakobi Meyers | LV
62) Treylon Burks | TEN
63) Jahan Dotson | WAS
64) Wan’Dale Robinson | NYG
65) Marquise Brown | KC
66) DeAndre Hopkins | TEN
67) Jerry Jeudy | CLE
68) Tyler Lockett | SEA
69) Mike Williams | NYJ
70) Jermaine Burton | CIN
71) Jalen McMillan | TB
72) Michael Wilson | ARI
73) Jameson Williams | DET
74) Christian Watson | GB
75) Rashod Bateman | BAL
Should You Trade Sutton in Dynasty?
Are you considering trading Sutton? Our free PFN Trade Analyzer allows you to find the best trade offer to make in seconds!
Honestly, now is a pretty ideal time to start taking offers for Sutton. Sure, his improved play this year wasn’t earth-shattering, but I’d argue his 2023 production may be the best we get from him for the rest of his career.
There were whispers that Sutton could be dealt to a different team during the NFL Draft, but those rumors never materialized into anything of substance. This leaves Sutton with a good but not great fantasy outlook heading into the season.
KEEP READING: Dynasty Fantasy Football Startup Draft Strategies
Sure, you could still hold to if he can build off of his encouraging 2023 campaign, but there is no guarantee his situation will drastically improve in the near future. Couple this with him turning the dreaded 30 years old next year, then I would highly recommend trying to move off of Sutton before it’s too late.
