The second of the three Christmas Day games sees the Philadelphia Eagles host the New York Giants. With the NFC East up for grabs, will we see the Eagles dominate, or will the Giants cause an upset?
Ahead of the Week 16 Giants vs. Eagles matchup, our NFL betting experts give their touchdown scorer bets for what could be a pivotal game in Lincoln Financial Field.
New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles Touchdown Scorer Bets
Jalen Hurts (-175 at ESPN BET)
David Bearman: Most people don’t like to lay -175 on a prop, but at this point, there’s no reason not to take Jalen Hurts to score a TD. He’s their offense right now. Even when sick last week, he scored two on the ground.
Hurts’ 14 rushing touchdowns rank second in the NFL behind Raheem Mostert, and he has at least one in 10 of 14 games this season. When healthy in the first matchup with the Giants last year, he ran for 77 yards and one score. Don’t question it; just do it until they put it over -200.
A.J. Brown (+105 at FanDuel)
Kyle Soppe: With 45 targets (seven of which have come in the red zone) over his past four games, Philadelphia’s supersized receiver could easily snap a three-game scoring drought this week against a bottom-10 team in both preventing red-zone trips and preventing touchdowns once the opponent gets inside the 20-yard line.
The Giants are the second blitz-heaviest defense in the league through 15 weeks, and if they plan on heating up Hurts, it’s not hard to imagine a world in which he targets his 226-pound athlete on the perimeter in single coverage.
Dallas Goedert (+280 at FanDuel)
Jason Katz: While he did miss three games due to injury over this span, Dallas Goedert hasn’t scored since Week 7. That’s a long time.
The Giants have actually been pretty good against the tight end, so this is more of a bet on narrative.
The Eagles have now lost three straight. They’ve also played some pretty good teams. Now, they get the Giants. This is a prime spot for Philadelphia to just unload offensively and score 4-5 touchdowns.
If we knew in advance the Eagles were going to score 4-5 times, Goedert’s odds would not be this good. Hurts hasn’t thrown a touchdown in two straight games for the first time this season. Expect him to bounce back in a big way, which will include finding Goedert in the end zone.
Darius Slayton (+550 at FanDuel)
Soppe: I’m chasing a ticket here, but Darius Slayton did post a 23.5% target share last week in New Orleans. And with nearly four times as many air yards and YAC this season, involvement like that gives him splash-play potential against a defense that allows the fifth-most passing yards per game.
This season, 73.2% of all touchdowns against the Eagles have been scored through the air, a rate that ranks second to only the Atlanta Falcons.
MORE: PFN’s FREE NFL Playoff Predictor
Like most, I think Philadelphia controls this game from start to finish. If that’s the case, a pass-heavy script plays in our favor.
The odds are what they are for a reason, but if the role from last week carries over, Slayton could make this a very profitable game with one hiccup by a subpar secondary.
Isaiah Hodgins (+1200 at ESPN BET)
Ben Rolfe:Â Betting on a player that has averaged just two targets a game this season to find the end zone against the Eagles may seem out there, but Isaiah Hodgins has two of his three touchdowns in the last two weeks.
Despite seeing just three targets combined against the New England Patriots and Green Bay Packers, Hodgins found the end zone twice.
The Eagles’ defense has been extremely vulnerable to the position in recent weeks, allowing 10 touchdowns to wide receivers over the last four games. I don’t have much confidence in any pass catcher on the Giants’ offense, so why not take a long shot with a small stake?
The fact that you can get better odds on Hodgins than Daniel Bellinger is evidence enough for me to seek the value here.
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