In the middle of the three Christmas Day games comes a potential banana skin for the Philadelphia Eagles against the New York Giants. The Eagles cannot afford another loss after three straight defeats, but the Giants won’t go down without a fight.
Let’s examine how our NFL betting experts view the odds for this game with their Giants vs. Eagles predictions and picks across the spectrum of betting lines from the spread through to player props.
New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles Betting Lines
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- Spread
Eagles -13.5 - Moneyline
Giants +550, Eagles -800 - Total
43.5
Giants vs. Eagles Predictions and Expert Picks
Ben Rolfe: After the last three weeks, there will likely be some nerves in Lincoln Financial Field. A loss for the Eagles could end up being a dagger in their playoff ambitions, but there is no certainty the Giants have enough firepower to do that.
I have no real feel for how to attack this game. Laying 12 points feels too much, but you could give me 22 with the Giants, and I would still hesitate.
This could be a get-right game for the Eagles, but there’s nothing I feel strongly about betting in terms of the spread or total.
One play I do like this week is D’Andre Swift’s over in terms of rushing yards. The Giants are third in the NFL in rushing yards allowed to backs with 1,550.
New York has allowed over 100 rushing yards in four of their last five and 11 of their 14 games this season. For his part, Swift has topped 66 rushing yards in three of his last five, only going under that in the blowout losses to the Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers.
I would be stunned if this game was a blowout loss for the Eagles, so I fully expect Swift to be heavily involved against one of the worst run defenses in the NFL.
Pick: D’Andre Swift Over 65.5 Rushing Yards (-110 at ESPN BET)
David Bearman: Most people don’t like to lay -175 on a prop, but at this point, there’s no reason not to take Jalen Hurts to score a TD. He’s their offense right now. Even when sick last week, he scored two on the ground.
Hurts’ 14 rushing touchdowns rank second in the NFL behind Raheem Mostert, and he has at least one in 10 of 14 games this season. When healthy in the first matchup with the Giants last year, he ran for 77 yards and one score. Don’t question it; just do it until they put it over -200.
Pick: Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown (-175 at ESPN BET)
Jason Katz: While he did miss three games due to injury over this span, Dallas Goedert hasn’t scored since Week 7. That’s a long time.
The Giants have actually been pretty good against the tight end, so this is more of a bet on narrative.
The Eagles have now lost three straight. They’ve also played some pretty good teams. Now, they get the Giants. This is a prime spot for Philadelphia to just unload offensively and score 4-5 touchdowns.
If we knew in advance the Eagles were going to score 4-5 times, Goedert’s odds would not be this good. Hurts hasn’t thrown a touchdown in two straight games for the first time this season. Expect him to bounce back in a big way, which will include finding Goedert in the end zone.
Pick: Dallas Goedert anytime touchdown (+280 at FanDuel)
Kyle Soppe: My story for this game involves the Eagles getting out to a lead and likely sustaining it. If that’s the case, Tommy DeVito surpassing his passing total is a strong play.
Mr. Cutlets has averaged over 7.5 yards per pass in three of his past four starts, with the lone exception being last week against the fifth-best defense in terms of yards per pass.
MORE: PFN’s FREE NFL Playoff Predictor
The Eagles, on the other hand, are vulnerable through the air. They allow a league-high 25.6 completions per game, own the second-highest opponent pass rate over expectation, and see the third-highest percentage of opponent yardage to be gained through the air.
It may not be pretty, but DeVito could check this box early if all goes well against Philadelphia.
Pick: Tommy DeVito Over 184.5 Passing Yards (-115 at DraftKings)
Derek Tate: The last time A.J. Brown was in the media spotlight after his sideline interaction with Hurts came under the microscope back in Week 2 against the Minnesota Vikings, he responded by rattling off six straight games with 120+ receiving yards.
Brown struggled against the Seattle Seahawks on Monday Night Football with just five receptions for 56 yards on 10 targets, which is disappointing by his lofty standards.
The last time Brown faced off against the Giants back in 2022, he produced 95 receiving yards on just four receptions. This New York secondary hasn’t exactly been the best unit this season, giving up an average of 167 yards per game to opposing wideouts, which is the eighth-highest mark in the league.
Heading into a game where Smith has missed two practices this week with a knee injury, expect Brown to be the clear focal point of the Eagles’ passing attack — which should see him have a big day in a favorable matchup.
Pick: A.J. Brown Over 76.5 Receiving Yards (DraftKings)
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