Saints vs. Vikings Prediction, Picks, Odds Today: Back Derek Carr or Josh Dobbs Today?

Both teams in the Saints vs. Vikings matchup enter the game on a winning streak. We break down the odds and offer a best bet prediction.

The New Orleans SaintsMinnesota Vikings matchup is one of only three in Week 10 where both teams come in with winning records. Needless to say, the winner will have a nice leg up on the postseason. We’ll give you the odds for this matchup and make a best bet prediction for the contest.


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Saints vs. Vikings Betting Lines, Start Time, and More

All odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Spread: Saints -3
  • Moneyline: Saints (-148), Vikings (+124)
  • Over/Under: 41
  • Game time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: U.S. Bank Stadium
  • Channel: FOX

Saints vs. Vikings Prediction

With both teams 5-4 on the season, a lot is riding on the outcome of this Week 10 matchup. The Vikings will be trying to extend their winning streak to five games and win for a second straight game with Joshua Dobbs. Yes, he did not start last week, but he came into the game on the Vikings’ second drive and eventually led them to their dramatic comeback win over the Falcons.

Winners of two in a row, the Saints would love to head into their bye week on a three-game winning streak. Minnesota represents one of just two remaining opponents for New Orleans that currently has a winning record (the 6-2 Lions are the other — they will meet in Week 13).

Minnesota’s Dobbs has quickly become one of the best stories of the season in the NFL. But can he get it done again for the Vikings if superstar wide receiver Justin Jefferson (hamstring) is unavailable? Jefferson has missed the last four games after going on the IR, but it’s unclear if he will be ready to go Sunday.

So, to recap, the Vikings enter Week 10 without their starting quarterback (Kirk Cousins), possibly without their star wide receiver (Justin Jefferson) and without a key backup at running back in Cam Akers, who, like Cousins, tore his Achilles last week.

MORE: Brian Blewis’ NFL Week 10 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread To Tail

As for the Saints, they are in the unusual position of having the lead in the NFC South, something that hasn’t happened to them entering Week 10 since 2020. They have done it with a defense that is seventh in total yards per game allowed and points allowed.

Derek Carr — four touchdown passes, zero interceptions — has been terrific over the last two weeks and will be trying to pick up his first career win over Minnesota (0-2 career W-L vs. the Vikings).

Running back Alvin Kamara is coming off a season-low 26 rushing yards at home against the Bears last week. But the last time the Saints went on the road (Week 8 at Indianapolis), Kamara has his first multi-touchdown game of the season against the Colts.

With the Vikings without Cousins, and with Jefferson’s status for Sunday still up in the air, the Saints are an understandable favorite in this spot. However, over the last two seasons New Orleans is only 3-10-1 against the spread as a favorite, including a 1-6-1 ATS record this season.

Minnesota, meanwhile, is 5-1-1 this season against the spread vs. NFC opponents.

While I would normally look at those betting trends and favor the Vikings, I’m going to make a play on the total here. Each team has had seven of their nine games go under the total, so the under is the play here, right?

Not for me. Both teams have scored 20 or more points in three straight games, with the Vikings having scored 20-plus points in seven of their last eight games. The Saints have topped the 30-point mark in two of their last three road games.

Best Bet: Over 41 points (-108 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

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