Another week, another NFL London game! For the third week in a row, we’ll have an NFL game across the pond to kick off the action on Sunday, with the Baltimore Ravens going against the Tennessee Titans. Ravens vs. Titans in London features two teams coming off tough losses as road favorites to division rivals last week.
For the Ravens, you can chalk last week’s defeat as an unlucky loss, as they had seven drops and three turnovers, which has been the theme in each of their two losses this season. Currently at 3-2, they find themselves in a very competitive early AFC North race, as they’re currently tied with the Pittsburgh Steelers in first place.
The Titans, meanwhile, are the only team in the AFC South with a negative point differential, a somewhat surprising development after five weeks. At 2-3, they have yet to win or lose two games in a row this season but are facing a Ravens team that is far better than their record indicates.
One interesting storyline for this game is the opposite approaches these two teams took in traveling to London. The Ravens left for London almost as fast as they could on Monday so they could have the entire week to get acclimated to the time difference. The Titans, on the other hand, departed on Thursday, leaving them at a great disadvantage when it comes to jet lag.
Each of these two teams is looking to bounce back after last week, but something has to give. Should you back Lamar Jackson and the Ravens here, or is this another frisky underdog spot for Mike Vrabel and the Titans? PFN’s betting team gives their Ravens vs. Titans predictions, picks against the spread, and favorite player props for this week’s NFL London game.
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Baltimore Ravens vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Lines, Start Time, and More
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook unless stated otherwise.
- Spread
Ravens -5.5 - Moneyline
Ravens -250, Titans +205 - Over/Under
42.5 - Game Time
9:30 am ET - Location
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium - How To Watch
NFL Network
Bearman:Â I’m 3-0 on taking the under on totals below 42 this year, so I have gotten into a nice pattern here. It’s not a popular practice, but I always say it’s low for a reason — neither offense is good, so I’m not afraid to play on that.
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The Ravens’ last three games have combined for 41, 31, and 27 points, and for the Titans, it’s been 30, 30, and 39 points. Both teams are 4-1 to the under, and neither have been efficient this year in moving the ball consistently.
This line has moved from 40.5 to 42, which signals some betting on the over, but that isn’t scaring me. I’ll take the better number and continue betting unders. This is the third straight week I’ve taken an under on a Ravens game.
NFL London Pick: Under 42 (-110 at DraftKings)
Blewis:Â As we saw last week, London games can often be unpredictable, but I still really like the Ravens here. Playing on a neutral field, the Ravens are much more than four points better than this Titans team, in my opinion.
The Ravens are a couple of bad bounces away from being 5-0 and being talked about as one of the elite teams in the AFC. When looking at FTN’s DVOA rankings, the Ravens are ranked seventh, and the Titans are 22nd.
From a matchup perspective, this should be a bounce-back for Lamar Jackson, who was the highest-graded quarterback at PFF last week. It’s almost impossible for his receivers to drop seven passes again, and he’s going against a Titans pass defense that is 27th in EPA/play and 28th in success rate.
On the other side, I think the Titans’ offense is at a big mismatch against the Raven’s defense. The backbone of this offense is Derrick Henry, who has not been efficient so far this season. Through five games, he is averaging career lows in yards per attempt, yards before contact, and yards after contact on average.
Meanwhile, Ryan Tannehill and their passing game will be going against a Ravens secondary that is completely healthy now and, despite their injuries this season, is currently ranked third in dropback EPA/play.
The talent gap isn’t even close here in my opinion, and this line would make more sense if the game was in Tennessee, not on a neutral site in London.
NFL London Game Pick:Â Ravens -4 (-110 at DraftKings)
Note: the line has since moved to Ravens -5.5 — I would still take the Ravens up to -6.5
Soppe: When do passes get intercepted? There are exceptions to every rule, but if I’m going to project a QB to throw a pick, he has to check at least one, if not multiple, of these boxes:
- High attempt count
- High possession game
- High aDOT
- Pressured often
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Now, let’s breakdown how Lamar Jackson stacks up in those regards
-
- Ravens: 4th lowest pass% plus pass rate over expectation
- Titans: 2nd slowest operating offense
- Under 6.5 yard aDOT three times, below average for the season
- Titans: 5th lowest pressure rate
See where I’m going with this? The Ravens should be playing with a lead, another factor in this bet, as that discourages risk-taking. Jackson has seen just three of his past 294 passes intercepted, seemingly having corrected that flaw in his game that hurt Baltimore in 2021.
NFL London Game Pick: Lamar Jackson under 0.5 interceptions (-106 at BetRivers)
Katz:Â When looking through the options for this game, it was difficult to get a read on anything. In situations like this, I like to think outside the box.
Derrick Henry’s snap shares this season have been 48%, 71%, 38%, 59%, and 62%. He is far from the workhorse he’s been in years past. Rookie Tyjae Spears has eclipsed a 50% snap share in three straight games.
The Titans have a very good run defense. Combined with the Ravens’ committee at running back, their backs are unlikely to have big games. What if Spears rips off a couple of big runs while Henry goes for three yards and a cloud of dust? I’m not saying this is likely, but the odds are worth it for a sprinkle on a long shot.
NFL London Game Pick:Â Tyjae Spears to lead the game in rushing (+1600 at DraftKings)
