Félix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Preview: Head-to-Head, Prediction for Monte-Carlo Masters 2026

Félix Auger-Aliassime faces Casper Ruud in the Monte-Carlo Masters third round, with Ruud holding a sixty percent chance to win.

Sixth-seeded Félix Auger-Aliassime will face ninth-seeded Casper Ruud in the third round of the 2026 Monte-Carlo Masters. Auger-Aliassime got a bye in the first round and then opened his campaign with a 7-6 (4), 6-3 win over Marin Čilić. On the other hand, Ruud began his campaign with a 6-3, 6-4 win over Alexei Popyrin in the first round, followed by a 7-5, 6-3 win over Corentin Moutet in the second round.

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Félix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Match Details

Date: April 9, 2026

Tournament: Monte-Carlo Masters 2026

Round: Third Round (Round of 16)

Venue: Monte Carlo Country Club, Roquebrune-Cap-Martin, France

Surface: Outdoor clay

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, TSN

Félix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Head-to-Head

After seven meetings, it is Auger-Aliassime who has a 4-3 lead in the head-to-head against Ruud. The last time they played was in Cincinnati in 2024, when the Canadian won 6-3, 6-1.

Auger-Aliassime’s season started with a disappointing first-round retirement at the Australian Open. He responded in great fashion on the indoor hard courts, winning the title in Montpellier and having a runner-up finish in Rotterdam, followed by a semifinal finish in Dubai. He had underwhelming returns in the Sunshine Double, including a fourth-round exit at Indian Wells and a third-round exit in Miami.

Ruud has a 9-7 win-loss record this season, with his best result being a quarterfinal finish at the Delray Beach Open, where he lost to eventual champion Sebastian Korda. He had decent fourth-round runs at the Australian Open and at the Indian Wells, losing to the likes of Ben Shelton and Carlos Alcaraz.

Auger-Aliassime vs Ruud Prediction

In his only match in Monte-Carlo this year, Auger-Aliassime won 69 percent of the first serve points along with 53 percent of the second serve points. He got broken three times while converting 4 of the 7 break-point opportunities.

Ruud, on the other hand, won 68 percent of the first serve points and 62 percent of the second serve points in his two rounds in Monte-Carlo so far. He has been broken three times in two matches, while converting 7 of 10 break-point opportunities.

This is Auger-Aliassime’s best result in Monte-Carlo, as he has never been past the second round at this competition in the previous editions. Ruud, on the other hand, was the runner-up here back in 2024, losing to Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final, and also reached the semifinals in 2021, where he lost to Andrey Rublev.

The PFSN Simulator has given Ruud a 60% chance of winning the upcoming match. Auger-Aliassime does have the head-to-head advantage, but the conditions and past record in Monte-Carlo will give the slight edge to Ruud, in what potentially would be a close match.

Pick- Ruud to win in three sets.

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