Madison Keys vs Yuliia Starodubtseva Preview: Head-to-Head, Prediction for Charleston Open 2026

Madison Keys faces Yuliia Starodubtseva in the 2026 Charleston Open semifinals. See the head-to-head stats and match prediction.

Fifth-seeded Madison Keys will face unseeded Ukrainian Yuliia Starodubtseva in the semifinals of the 2026 Charleston Open. Keys has an 11-5 record this year, with her run at the Charleston Open being her best outing so far, along with quarterfinal finishes in Brisbane and Adelaide. This has been Starodubtseva’s best result this year as well, with her previous best being a third-round run at the Miami Open, where she lost to Amanda Anisimova.

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Match Details for Keys vs. Starodubtseva at the Charleston Open

Date: April 4, 2026

Tournament: Charleston Open 2026

Round: Semifinals

Venue: Credit One Stadium, Charleston, South Carolina, U.S.

Surface: Outdoor clay (green)

Category: WTA 500

Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, TSN

Madison Keys vs. Yuliia Starodubtseva Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head is 0-0, as this will be the first meeting between the two players on the WTA Tour.

After getting a first-round bye, Keys started her campaign with a 6-2, 6-3 win over Croatian qualifier Donna Vekic in the second round, followed by another impressive 6-2, 7-5 win over Anna Bondar in the third round. In the quarterfinals, she had a tough opponent in third-seeded Belinda Bencic, but the American triumphed in a three-set battle, winning 4-6, 6-3, 6-2.

Starodubtseva started her campaign in flying fashion, winning her first-round match 6-3, 6-0 against Zhang Shuai. She faced Georgian Ekaterine Gorgodze in the second round and won 3-6, 6-1, 6-2, followed by a 6-1, 6-0 rout over Renata Zarazua in the third round. In the quarterfinals, she put in another impressive performance, winning 6-4, 6-4 against home favorite McCartney Kessler.

Prediction for Keys vs. Starodubtseva at the 2026 Charleston Open

Keys has been dominant on serve so far in Charleston, winning 75% of the first-serve points along with 42% of the second-serve points. She has saved 12 of the 18 break points, while converting 15 of the 33 break-point opportunities.

Starodubtseva is slightly behind Keys in terms of first-serve stats, as she won 70% of the points behind her first serve, while the Ukrainian is ahead on the second serve, winning 62% of second-serve points. She has saved 14 of the 20 break points she has faced on her serve, while converting 20 of the 32 break-point opportunities, a conversion rate ahead of Keys’.

More: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencic Preview: Head-to-Head, Prediction for Charleston Open 2026

Tournament stats put Starodubtseva ahead on certain metrics compared to Keys, but the American is the higher-ranked player and a Grand Slam champion. She has the power advantage over her opponent and is a former Charleston champion, having won the title in 2019. The home support will be behind the fifth seed, making her the favorite to win the upcoming match.

Pick: Keys to win in straight sets.

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