Alabama vs. Missouri Prediction: Can Ahmad Hardy Power the Tigers Past the Crimson Tide?

We've got a top-15 clash in the early window, and our Alabama vs. Missouri prediction breaks down what should be a barnburner in Columbia.

Our Alabama vs. Missouri prediction covers one of the most significant matchups of Week 7, as Columbia prepares to host a top-15 clash for the first time since 1979. The eighth-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide travels to face the 14th-ranked Missouri Tigers in what could prove pivotal for College Football Playoff positioning.

This analysis features exclusive PFSN player and team grades alongside a comprehensive examination of both programs’ current capabilities and recent performances as these SEC powerhouses battle for crucial conference standing.

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Alabama vs. Missouri Game Details

  • Date: Saturday, Oct. 11, 2025
  • Game time: 12 p.m. ET
  • Location: Memorial Stadium, Columbia, Mo.
  • Predicted weather at kick: 71 degrees, partly cloudy
  • How to watch: ABC

Alabama vs. Missouri Head-to-Head Record

The Alabama Crimson Tide and Missouri Tigers have encountered each other just eight times since their inaugural meeting in 1968. The series began with Missouri claiming the first two contests, including a dominant 35-10 victory in the 1968 Gator Bowl. However, Alabama has completely reversed the momentum since then, capturing the last six matchups dating back to 1978.

Missouri’s entry into the SEC in 2012 has increased the frequency of these encounters, with five meetings occurring from 2012 through 2024. As conference members, these programs are positioned to face each other more regularly within the SEC’s scheduling rotation, continuing to build this developing rivalry between two historically successful programs at the highest level of college football.

Alabama vs. Missouri Grades

Below are the PFSN team and positional grades for the highest-ranked players set to be featured in Alabama vs. Missouri.

PFSN College OFFi

  • Alabama (90.01, A-)
  • Missouri (86.8, B)

PFSN College DEFi

  • Alabama (84.47, B)
  • Missouri (89.76, B+)

PFSN College OL

  • Alabama (85.7, B)
  • Missouri (86.3, B)

PFSN College QBi

  • Ty Simpson, Alabama (89.1, B+)
  • Beau Pribula, Missouri (76, C)

PFSN College RBi

  • Kevin Riley, Alabama (N/A)
  • Ahmad Hardy, Missouri (82.72, C)

PFSN College WRi

  • Ryan Williams, Alabama (81.4, B-)
  • Kevin Coleman Jr., Missouri (83.4, B)

PFSN College TEi

  • Josh Cuevas, Alabama (80.08, B-)
  • Brett Norfleet, Missouri (78.18, C+)

PFSN College EDGEi

  • LT Overton, Alabama (78.3, C+)
  • Zion Young, Missouri (87.8, B+)

PFSN College DTi

  • James Smith, Alabama (78.07, C+)
  • Chris McLellan, Missouri (72.92, C-)

PFSN College LBi

  • Justin Jefferson, Alabama (74.54, C)
  • Khalil Jacobs, Missouri (67.4, D+)

PFSN College CBi

  • Zabien Brown, Alabama (81.4, B-)
  • Stephen Hall, Missouri (77.6, C+)

PFSN College SAFi

  • Keon Sabb, Alabama (95.27, A)
  • Santana Banner, Missouri (79.4, C+)

Alabama vs. Missouri Prediction

The Alabama Crimson Tide is looking to avoid riding too high into Columbia, as the Missouri Tigers will be ready for them and hungry for the biggest game on their campus in a very long time.

Alabama is coming off a win in Athens over a Georgia team that was favored to beat them, but winning big games is nothing new to the Crimson Tide. Missouri played very well in its last SEC game, a 29-20 win over South Carolina, in which it showed great determination in coming back from a halftime deficit.

The Missouri defense is built on the heels of two stellar edge rushers. Still, outside of that, the defense isn’t daunting or much of a threat to Alabama’s incredible passing offense, which has seen Ty Simpson get better with each passing week.

Look for Missouri to come out with a ton of energy and play a clean game, but then for the Alabama team to stand tall and answer every punch as it is thrown. Missouri has a high-octane offense, but Alabama’s overall execution and adjustments are likely to determine the outcome.

Prediction: Alabama 37,  Missouri 27

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