Facebook Pixel

    The Sheep Report: Week 10 NFL betting recap and early odds preview

    With 10 units of profit on the year, we take a look at our Pro Football Network's Week 10 betting recap to see where we had success. We also analyze some early Week 11 betting lines.

    Pro Football Network has continued to impress during its rookie betting campaign in 2019. Looking at our Week 10 NFL betting recap, the team came together for another profitable performance, adding to our already impressive unit count. The NFL is one of the toughest sports to bet on. With so much action on every game, sportsbooks make sure that lines are incredibly sharp. Finding an edge is not easy, but analyzing our Week 11 NFL betting preview, we have found two that we already like. With help from our very own OSM metric and film room, we have amassed enough information to be up nearly ten units!  All of that being said, we can never become complacent. Week 10 is already in the books, and we have moved on to looking at our early Week 11 NFL betting preview. There are a number of key spots we like this week.  https://twitter.com/MyBookie_NFL/status/1194376464654897152?s=20

    PFN’s Week 10 breakdown

    Whether it be on our Against the Spread podcast, numerous articles on the site, or our live Twitter plays, we will always do our best to bring profitable NFL picks to our subscribers. Sports betting is not easy, and we are here to ensure that you have all the information necessary to give you a chance to win. Here is our Week 10 NFL betting recap and a breakdown of how each handicapper did in their respective category.

    Ben Rolfe: Totals Expert

    We should change Ben’s official nickname to Team Totals Expert. He went 3-1 this past weekend on his team total plays, which included the Cardinals over, Vikings over, and Bears under. During his two rough weeks, he mentioned that a shift in focus to team totals could eliminate some of the volatility of certain teams in a full game spectrum. That change in mentality certainly cashed in this week. Ben continues to climb back towards profit on the year.  2019 Record: -6 units

    Jason Sarney: The Prop Master

    Our Prop Master is currently on what people in the gambling industry refer to as a “heater.” He made over a unit of profit last week and added another three units this past Sunday. He was able to take advantage of a terrible Atlanta secondary to win his Michael Thomas over yardage prop. One aspect of player props: they can sometimes mitigate surprising game results. Yes, the New Orleans Saints shocked everyone by losing to the Falcons, but Thomas still got his yards. Player props don’t have an impact on winners and losers! As a quick reminder, this primer gives a great example of the kind of props available before and during a game. The Prop Master’s biggest win of the year had to be his confidence sophomore receiver Christian Kirk against a porous Tampa Bay secondary! He called a big week for Kyler Murray’s favorite target, tripling up on Kirk plays. Sarney recommended the over in total yards, longest reception, and anytime touchdown scorer. All three hit easily as Kirk went off for 6 receptions, 138 yards, and 3 touchdowns. 2019 Record: +5 units

    Chris Smith: Handicapping Specialist

    A missed field goal in an overtime game on Monday night was the difference between a losing week and a monster week for PFN’s expert handicapper Chris Smith. He needed the 49ers to win the game against Seattle to middle two teasers that he had. He also saw the turnaround coming for the Cleveland Browns, getting on them when the number was at -2.5. 2019 Record: +0.75 units

    James Aguirre: The Volatility Expert

    After a hiccup or two, our Volatility Expert is back with three winning weeks in a row! The profit started early with a two-unit win on the Philip Rivers to throw over 1.5 TDs on Thursday night. He combined that with an anytime TD scorer of Hunter Henry for a nice plus money (+225) win. The Cowboys and Ezekiel Elliott let him down Sunday night when they were incapable of putting together any semblance of a ground game against the Vikings. Either way, all said and done the Volatility expert brought in over a unit of profit this week. 2019 Record: +5 units

    Against the Spread Podcast NFL Picks

    After two winning weeks in a row, the Against the Spread podcast plays had a slight losing week. They dropped a unit of profit thanks to a terrible performance by the New Orleans Saints. They had a bet on the over 51 total points, but Atlanta’s defense definitely decided this was going to be their Super Bowl, holding Drew Brees and his prolific offense to only nine points. A disappointing result for Week 10, but we move forward. 2019 Record: +5 units

    Week 11 NFL betting preview

    Taking a look at some of the opening lines for our Week 11 NFL betting preview, there are two games that the public and sharps have jumped on. Will we join the herd or break away?

    Cincinnati Bengals at Oakland Raiders:

    80% of the bets and 39% of the early money on the Oakland Raiders (-10)

    When I first took a look at this game, my first reaction was that it would most likely open at the Oakland Raiders -13. After a horrific performance by the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 10, I assumed books would want to scare off the public from betting against Ryan Finley and the Bengals. Ultimately, that is not the case, with this number opening up at the key number of 10.  The first trend that I found when looking at this game is that the Raiders are 7-1 against the spread at home in their last eight games. This didn’t surprise me, considering the team has one of the few significant home field advantages. It is also the last season that the team will be playing in Oakland, so the fans have come out in full support of the team for one last time. Finley, the 24-year-old rookie that Cincinnati selected in the fourth round of this year’s draft, went 16-for-30 for 167 and threw his first career touchdown pass to Tyler Eifert before the end of the first half. He also fumbled the ball and threw an interception in the red zone. It was an up and down performance for the rookie, and it won’t get any easier against this Raiders team.  Derek Carr is quietly putting together a very good season, and the team that most pundits thought would be awful is in the thick of playoff contention in the AFC. The Bengals are bad against the run, and the offensive rookie of the year candidate Josh Jacobs should put together a huge game this Sunday. 80% of the bets are on the Raiders early, but that will increase as the public start to put their money down for next week. Join the herd and jump on this one early. Oakland wins by more than two scores.

    Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens:

    92% of the bets and 99% of the money are on the over 50 total points

    The Baltimore Ravens just put up a surprising 49 points against the aforementioned Bengals. Lamar Jackson looked like the MVP candidate that he is, with an impressive stat line. This total sits only one point above what the Ravens did alone last week. Do I think they can put up another nearly 50 points? No, that would be insane. But combined with the potent offense of the Texans, they can surely soar over this total. Houston sits atop the AFC South, but the difference from top to bottom is just two wins. They are in good shape and will be coming off of their bye. A win on the road might just be the best way for them to start cementing an AFC South title. The biggest issue here is the deficiencies that this Houston defense has. They lost J.J. Watt for the year and their secondary is also dealing with injuries. That is not good when you will be going up against the Ravens. On the other hand, the Ravens just gave up more than 100 yards to a struggling Joe Mixon. Their defense is susceptible to the run. Something that Houston and Carlos Hyde can take advantage of.  I just don’t see either of these teams being able to make a stop. If I had to lean on a side, I would take Houston and the points, but my favorite play here is going to be the over. Once again, join the herd and take the over before this total balloons to the mid-50’s.

    Listen to the PFN Inside Access Podcast!

    Listen to the PFN Inside Access Podcast! Click the embedded player below to listen, or you can find the PFN Fantasy Podcast on iTunes, Spotify, and all major podcast platforms.  Be sure to subscribe and leave us a five-star review!

    Related Articles