Whether you’re setting your fantasy football lineups or you need just a bit more information before getting in on the NFL betting action at your favorite sportsbook, we’ve got you covered here at Pro Football Network with the most important stats, notes, and insights for every NFL matchup in Week 15.
We all know how time-consuming gathering all the information can be, which is why we’re doing the research for you so you don’t have to.
All stats are from TruMedia unless otherwise stated.
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers (Thursday)
Los Angeles Rams
Team: The Rams lost three road games in September. They are 3-0 on the road since (all one-score victories).
QB: Matthew Stafford is going to dominate if given time. Over his past three games, he’s completed 78.6% of his passes when not pressured (9.7 yards per attempt with six touchdowns and zero interceptions).
Offense: The Rams picked up a season-high 28 first downs against the Bills in Week 14, an offensive masterpiece that included a 73.3% conversion rate on third down (11-of-15).
Defense: Over its past four games, Los Angeles has allowed 47.2 yards per drive (the first nine games: 30.6).
Fantasy: Puka Nacua has 450.8 PPR points through 25 career games, good for the third most at this point in a career among players who started their career during the 2000s.
- Odell Beckham Jr.: 584.3
- Ja’Marr Chase: 463.0
- Nacua: 450.8
- A.J. Green: 434.8
- Justin Jefferson: 429.8
Betting: The Rams have covered nine of their last 10 games played on short rest, over tickets cashing in each of the past five instances.
San Francisco 49ers
Team: The 49ers are looking to win two home games in four days (they had two home wins in the previous 90 days).
QB: Brock Purdy completed all five of his red zone passes on Sunday against the Bears and is 10-of-12 with three scores inside the opponent’s 20-yard line over his past three games.
Offense: San Francisco cashed in 83.3% of their red zone drives on Sunday into touchdowns, a drastic improvement from their rate through 13 weeks (48.9%).
Defense: The 49ers allowed just 16.2 yards per drive in Week 14’s win over Chicago, their best rate of the season (six punts forced on 10 possessions).
Fantasy: Isaac Guerendo became the first player in the NFL this season with 50 receiving yards and a rushing score in the first quarter of a game this season on Sunday.
Betting: Since 2019, the 49ers are 2-4-1 ATS on short rest at home (8-3 ATS when traveling on a short week).
Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns
Kansas City Chiefs
Team: The Chiefs have four wins by two or fewer points this season, matching the 2001 Jets and the 2012 Eagles for the most in a regular season during the 2000s.
QB: Including the playoffs, Patrick Mahomes (127 career starts, 10 such wins) now has more victories when his team scores fewer than 20 points than Aaron Rodgers (258, nine such wins).
Offense: The Chiefs rank 25th in red zone efficiency this season (51%), ranking just behind the New York Jets and Arizona Cardinals.
Defense: On Sunday night, Kansas City improved to 5-0 this season when not forcing a turnover (they were 2-2 in such games last season).
Fantasy: It’s been a weird ride for fantasy managers despite the success of Kansas City as a team. The PPR point totals over their past seven quarters:
- Matthew Wright (27)
- Patrick Mahomes (26.9)
- DeAndre Hopkins (18.2)
- Isiah Pacheco (11)
- Noah Gray (8)
- Xavier Worthy (7.6)
- Travis Kelce (5.7)
Betting: The Chiefs are 0-4-1 ATS in their past five December road games.
Cleveland Browns
Team: In the calendar year of 2024, the Browns have one non-divisional win.
QB: This season, eight of Jameis Winston’s 13 touchdown passes have come on balls thrown at least 15 yards down the field.
Offense: The Browns have punted on over 16% of their drive five times this season, including each of their past four games.
Defense: After not forcing a turnover in four straight games, 12% of Cleveland’s defensive possessions since the Week 10 bye have resulted in a giveaway (ninth highest rate in the NFL over that stretch).
Fantasy: David Njoku has posted five top-10 finishes this season (7+ targets in seven of his past eight games).
Betting: Pick a side and don’t worry about the spread – Jameis Winston’s past six starts as a home underdog have finished, on average, 15.8 points off the spread.
Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans
Cincinnati Bengals
Team: Cincinnati intercepted a Cooper Rush red zone pass on Monday night, their first time not allowing points on a red zone trip since Week 6 (at Giants).
QB: Joe Burrow is having a career year (pace: 4,846 yards and 43 TDs), and he’s fueling some special production from Ja’Marr Chase. His WR1 has 75+ receiving yards and a TD catch four straight, becoming the first Bengal to do that since Chad Johnson (2004).
Offense: Chase Brown is the first player with 12+ carries AND 30+ receiving yards in five straight games since Saquon Barkley did it in 2018 for the Giants.
Defense: They continue to lack the ability to take away top options. The Cowboys marched down the field to open Monday Night Football with three of Rush’s completions, including the 11-yard touchdown, in the direction you’d expect — CeeDee Lamb.
Fantasy: Chase Brown is the first player with 12+ carries AND 30+ receiving yards in 5 straight games since Saquon Barkley did it in 2018 for the Giants
Betting: Over tickets have cashed in five straight short-rest spots for the Bengals (their first two games this season have seen a total of 127 points scored, 27.5 points above projected).
Tennessee Titans
Team: A loss this week would give the Titans their fifth three-game losing streak since the beginning of last November (this will be their 23rd regular season game played over that stretch).
QB: Will Levis’ play-action completion percentage is up 15 percentage points this season from last (72.5% from 57.5%).
Offense: For the second time since the start of 2019, the Titans didn’t have a touchdown of a turnover this past week (vs. Jaguars).
Defense: For the fifth time this season, Tennessee’s defense forced at least as many turnovers as touchdowns allowed (they are 3-2 in those games).
Fantasy: Volume pays the bills – usually. Calvin Ridley had 23.7 expected PPR points on Sunday against the Jaguars after totaling 20.8 expected points in the two games prior. In theory, that’s a good thing, but he totaled 12.9 points in Week 14 (20.8 points in Weeks 12-13 despite lowest expectations).
Betting: At 2-11 ATS, the Titans have been the most profitable team to bet against this season. This will be the first season they finished with fewer than seven covers since 2015 (Marcus Mariota threw 370 passes for the team that season, with Zach Mettenberger adding 166 for good measure).
Washington Commanders at New Orleans Saints
Washington Commanders
Team: The Commanders are +74 in their seven home games this season and +6 in their six road games.
QB: Through 10 weeks, Jayden Daniels had one deep interception – he’s been picked off on a deep pass in each of his past three games.
Offense: Over their past four games, the Commanders have turned 12 of their 14 red zone drives into touchdowns (85.7%).
Defense: In Weeks 1-4, Washington allowed their opponents to pick up 54.8% of third downs – they’ve lowered that rate to 36.9% since.
Fantasy: Brian Robinson Jr. may not have an elite ceiling, but he’s finished as a top-25 running back eight times this season and no longer has Austin Ekeler to give work away to.
Betting: Overs are 5-1 in Washington road games this season.
New Orleans Saints
Team: New Orleans has played seven home games this season, four of which have been decided by at least 21 points.
QB: Derek Carr’s season is over – for the sixth time in his career, he posted a triple-digit deep passer rating for the year.
Offense: The Saints averaged 1.0 points per drive on Sunday against the Giants, the third time they failed to clear that mark in a game this season (also in Weeks 7-8)
Defense: New Orleans has forced a turnover on downs in four straight games (they did it once in their previous six games).
Fantasy: Alvin Kamara has at least 16 carries and four catches in five straight games – the efficiency has been predictably underwhelming, and he hasn’t scored since mid-October, but he continues to volume his way to viability.
Betting: The Saints are 2-4 ATS at home this season, with those four failures to cover coming by an average of 12.5 points.
Baltimore Ravens at New York Giants
Baltimore Ravens
Team: Baltimore came out of their bye last season with four straight victories, holding their opposition to under 20 points in three of those contests.
QB: Lamar Jackson was intercepted on a pressured pass in Week 1 of last season, his first game under Todd Monken – he hasn’t thrown such a pick since (17 TD passes).
Offense: The Ravens are 8-2 this season when they pick up at least 37% of their third downs (0-3 otherwise).
Defense: In Weeks 11-13, opponents picked up just 31% of their downs against Baltimore (four games prior: 53.2%).
Fantasy: Mark Andrews has scored on 13 of 88 catches over the past two seasons (14.8%, 2022: 6.8%).
Betting: The Ravens are 1-5 ATS following their past six bye weeks with over tickets cashing in five of those contests.
New York Giants
Team: New York’s last home win against a team with their starting quarterback active was Week 14 last season against the Packers (walk-off field goal after giving up the go-ahead touchdown with 1:33 remaining).
QB: Drew Lock completed just 12-of-22 passes (54.5%) on balls thrown less than five yards downfield on Sunday against the Saints (the NFL average completion percentage on those passes this season is 76.5%).
Offense: The Giants have converted just eight-of-31 (25.8%) of their third downs over the past two weeks (over 45% in each of their three games prior).
Defense: New York lost on Sunday despite allowing a season-low 1.00 points per drive (they had allowed under 1.55 points per drive twice through the first 13 weeks of the season, and those were their two victories).
Fantasy: Malik Nabers scored three times in his first three career games but hasn’t found paydirt since despite having seen 9+ targets in six straight.
Betting: Unders are 9-4 in Giant games this season – over bettors haven’t had a winning season on this team since 2019.
Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers
Dallas Cowboys
Team: The Cowboys scored 14 points on 17 plays across the opening drives of both halves on Monday Night … they scored 6 points on 42 plays on all other drives
QB: Cooper Rush has failed to clear 195 passing yards on 30+ attempts in consecutive games, first against the Giants and on Monday night against the Bengals. He is the only QB to check both of those boxes against either of those defenses this season.
Offense: Scripting wasn’t an issue on Monday night against the Bengals: their first possession of the first half was a nine-play drive that resulted in a touchdown, and their first possession of the second half was an eight-play drive that also resulted in six points.
Defense: The Cowboys have allowed under 2.0 points per drive five times this season — they are 5-0 in those games. They’ve allowed over 2.0 points per drive eight times (2.3 on Monday night) — they are 0-8 in those games.
Fantasy: Rico Dowdle has run for 100+ yards in consecutive games, the first Cowboy to do that since Tony Pollard (Weeks 8-10, 2022). Between those two instances, 31 times did a non-Cowboy RB register consecutive 100-yard rushing games.
Betting: Either Dallas has covered and the over has hit, OR they’ve failed to cover with the under coming through in each of their past five short rest games.
Carolina Panthers
Team: Four straight home-or-neutral games featuring the Panthers have been decided by a field goal or less.
QB: Bryce Young was a perfect four-of-four passing in the red zone on Sunday (previous two games: seven-of-20).
Offense: The Panthers have converted 10 of their 11 goal-to-go trips into touchdowns over their past seven games.
Defense: Carolina’s red zone defense had no answer for Philadelphia last week (three touchdowns on three red zone drives), something that had proven to be a strength of theirs in the three games prior (five touchdowns allowed on 13 such drives).
Fantasy: Adam Thielen has reached 19 PPR points in consecutive games, the first 34+-year-old receiver to do that since Larry Fitzgerald (2017).
Betting: The Panthers have covered four straight home games and seen over tickets cash in five of their past six at home.
New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars
New York Jets
Team: In 244 career starts with the Packers, Rodgers had 3 single-season losing streaks of 4+ games. He now has two such streaks with the Jets since the beginning of October.
QB: Plenty has changed in the world since Aaron Rodgers last had a 300-yard game prior to Sunday, but not everything – his last 300-yard game saw Davante Adams (with the Packers) catch 10 balls for 121 yards (Sunday: nine catches for 109 yards)
Offense: The Jets scored on their first five possessions last week against the Dolphins, the first time they accomplished that since Week 7 of 2014 (Josh McCown quarterbacked that game while Jermaine Kearse led the team in receiving yards).
Defense: The Jets allowed the Dolphins to pick up just one of nine third downs. That 11.1% allowed is their lowest rate in a loss since holding the Titans to a one-of-11 performance (9.1%) in Week 13 2018.
Fantasy: Over the past months, Davante Adams has seen elite volume (43 targets in four games), but at 6.5 yards per target, the efficiency continues to underwhelm.
Betting: The Jets are just 2-9-1 ATS in their past 12 road games played against non-divisional opponents.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Team: Jacksonville is coming off a win. The last time they won consecutive games was Weeks 11-12 last season (divisional games against the Titans and Texans).
QB: Mac Jones only had five incompletions on Sunday when not blitzed – two of them were intercepted.
Offense: Brian Thomas Jr. didn’t catch any passes but hauled in eight after intermission – tied for the fourth most by a rookie in the second half of a game during the 2000s.
Defense: Jacksonville was three-for-three in stopping Tennessee on fourth down on Sunday. Opponents had converted 12-of-17 fourth downs against them through 13 weeks (70.6%).
Fantasy: Remember early in the season (Weeks 4-5) when Tank Bigsby had consecutive games with a 55+ yard touch? He doesn’t have a 20-yard touch since.
Betting: The Jaguars are 3-0-1 ATS in their past four home games (trust the spread – their past three home games have all finished within two points of the spread).
Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans
Miami Dolphins
Team: The Dolphins have played three home games (100 points scored) and three road games (67 points scored) over their past six.
QB: Tua Tagovailoa has completed 79.2% of short passes this season with a 13-to-1 touchdown-to-interception rate (2023: 74.5% with a 16-to-4 rate).
Offense: Miami picked up eight-of-12 third downs against the Raiders in the Week 11 win – they are nine-of-35 since (25.7%).
Defense: Over their past five games, the Dolphins have allowed as many goal-to-go field goals as touchdowns in such spots (four).
Fantasy: Jaylen Waddle has 296 yards and a touchdown over the past three weeks (first 11 weeks: 404 yards and one score).
Betting: Unders are 6-2 in Miami’s last eight road games with a temperature north of 50 degrees (they are 4-8 in their past 12 road games that kickoff with a temperature under 50 degrees).
Houston Texans
Team: Houston laid a dud coming out of their bye last season (15-13 loss in Carolina) before rattling off three straight wins in which they totaled 90 points.
QB: Since Week 9, C.J. Stroud is just 20-of-44 (45.5%) when throwing the ball in the fourth quarter (Weeks 1-8: 72.4%)
Offense: The Texans are nine-of-13 (69.2%) on fourth downs this season, much improved from their eight-of-21 (38.1%) mark a season ago.
Defense: Houston has used a light schedule to dominate on third downs – they’ve coughed up a first down on just 14-of-44 third downs (31.8%) over their past three games.
Fantasy: Joe Mixon is breaking the age/usage curve this season with seven finishes inside of the top 10 at the position.
Betting: Be careful when backing this team off their bye — the Texans are just 1-5 ATS over the past six seasons when coming off their bye.
Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos
Indianapolis Colts
Team: Every Indianapolis road game this season has been decided by a single possession (their last two were one-point victories).
QB: Prior to the bye, Anthony Richardson completed three of four red-zone passes against the Patriots (Weeks 1-13: four-of-12).
Offense: In the Week 13 win over the Patriots, the Colts had 20 first downs on nine drives, the first game this season in which they averaged over two chain re-sets per drive.
Defense: Houston has allowed opponents to pick up at least half of their third downs in four of their past five games.
Fantasy: We think of the big play with Anthony Richardson, but he’s been a top-10 QB in two of his past three games despite not having a 40-yard completion over that stretch.
Betting: The Colts’ five of their past six games have come opposing a team coming off their bye (not to mention five straight when coming off their bye, another trend at play in this spot).
Denver Broncos
Team: Denver is 7-0 this season when scoring over 20 points in a game (1-5 otherwise).
QB: Bo Nix has completed 14 of 17 red zone passes over the past month (82.4%).
Offense: The Broncos were stopped on two of their first three goal-to-go opportunities this season. Since then, they’ve converted 16 of 18 (88.9%).
Defense: Denver stopped Carolina on three of four fourth down attempts – opponents are a perfect eight-of-eight since.
Fantasy: No player has a longer active streak of games with at least six receptions than Courtland Sutton (six straight).
Betting: The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their past six home games played on extra rest.
Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions
Buffalo Bills
Team: Buffalo is 3-3 in their past six road games with three of those contests being decided by a field goal or less.
QB: Josh Allen has eight touchdowns against one interception on third downs this season (2023: seven touchdowns and seven interceptions).
Offense: Against the Rams, Buffalo averaged 55 yards per drive, 11.3 yards better than their previous best this season.
Defense: Sunday was the first time this season in which the Bills had a higher blitz rate (26.7% of Matthew Stafford dropbacks) than pressure rate (25.8%).
Fantasy: Josh Allen has 48 scoring chances (completions + rush attempts) in December – he has nine touchdowns to show for them.
Betting: Allen has seen each of his past four games as an underdog go under the closing total.
Detroit Lions
Team: During their 11-game win streak, Detroit has won four games by three or fewer points, including each of their past two.
QB: In the win over the Packers on Thursday night, Jared Goff was 10-of-11 with three scores on third and fourth downs.
Offense: For the fifth time this season, Detroit scored a touchdown on at least 40% of their drives on Thursday night. If they go four-for-four coming home, they will match the number of such games (albeit in one more game) than the number of the undefeated 2007 Patriots.
Defense: The Lions have held their opponent to a sub-39% third-down conversion rate in five of their past seven games.
Fantasy: The Packers have proven capable of slowing Amon-Ra St. Brown this season – don’t sweat the underwhelming game. He has produced 11.1 yards per catch this season when not facing the Packers (two games against GB: 8.3)
Betting: The Lions have covered eight of their past nine games played at home on extended rest (they opened Week 14 on Thursday night against the Packers).
Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles
Pittsburgh Steelers
Team: Pittsburgh hasn’t lost a game played on a Sunday since Week 5 (Dak Prescott beat Justin Fields in that game).
QB: Russell Wilson threw a deep TD pass against the Browns, even with George Pickens sidelined – he has seven deep scores in his seven starts this season.
Offense: On Sunday, the Steelers scored 1.1 first downs per drive against the Browns, their lowest rate of the season.
Defense: Cleveland picked up just two-of-13 third downs against Pittsburgh on Sunday (15.4%). For the season, the Browns are 3-of-23 (13%) on third downs against the Steelers, while all other teams are 47-of-131 (35.9%).
Fantasy: Najee Harris has cleared 15 carries in seven straight games, which is the longest active streak in the NFL.
Betting: The Steelers have covered both of their road NFC games this season and six straight such games overall,l dating back to October 2022.
Philadelphia Eagles
Team: Nick Sirianni is the eighth head coach with 11+ wins in three of his first four seasons, the first since Matt LaFleur (2019-22).
QB: On Sunday, Jalen Hurts joined Cam Newton and Josh Allen as the only players with 25 games scoring both a passing and rushing touchdown in their first five career seasons.
Offense: The Eagles committed a turnover in each of their first four games this season – they haven’t given the ball away in seven of nine games during their win streak (including each of their past four).
Defense: A Chuba Hubbard late in the third quarter put the Eagles behind after the halftime intermission for just the second time in their past nine games (other: Week 11 vs. WAS).
Fantasy: That’s 10 straight games for Jalen Hurts with at least a dozen carries or a rushing TD.
Betting: The Eagles are looking for a sweep of the AFC North and have covered their last two against the division by a total of 30.5 points (Bengals in Week 8 and Ravens in Week 13).
New England Patriots at Arizona Cardinals
New England Patriots
Team: New year, new results? This offense came out flat following the bye a season ago, totaling just seven points in their two games right after the Week 11 bye.
QB: Drake Maye’s athleticism creates highlights, but don’t overlook the fact that he has completed at least 80% of his non-pressured passes in three of his past four games.
Offense: In Week 13’s last-second loss to Indianapolis, New England scored a season-high 2.67 points per possession.
Defense: Prior to the bye, the Patriots allowed the Colts to convert all three of their fourth down attempts (season prior: four-of-11).
Fantasy: As the Patriots want to protect Maye for the future, they are loading up on Rhamondre Stevenson’s usage – over 20 touches in three of his past four games.
Betting: Unders are 11-2 in New England’s last 13 road games played on extended rest.
Arizona Cardinals
Team: The Cardinals are looking to avoid a fourth straight loss – if they can’t, they’ll have a four-game win streak and a four-game losing streak in the same season for the first time since 2012 (started 4-0 before losing their next nine games).
QB: During this three-game losing streak, Kyler Murray has completed just nine-of-30 pressured passes with zero touchdowns and five interceptions.
Offense: Arizona has averaged under 28 yards per drive twice this season — in Week 12 at Seattle and Week 14 vs. Seattle.
Defense: Arizona’s red zone defense is keeping them competitive. They’ve allowed a touchdown on five of 15 red zone trips over their past five games.
Fantasy: None of James Conner’s 201 carries have gained more than 23 yards this season, but he’s caught 36-of-43 targets this season (last five games: 20 catches on 21 targets).
Betting: The Cardinals are one cover away from posting their second consecutive winning ATS record – the last time they accomplished that was 2013-15.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Chargers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Team: Tampa Bay has played three road overtime games this season – the last team with four such games in a single regular season was the 2003 Panthers.
QB: During the first quarter against the Raiders, Baker Mayfield reached the 30-pass TD plateau for the season, making him responsible for the fourth such season in franchise history (Jameis Winston did it in 2019, Tom Brady in 2020, and 2021).
Offense: For the first time since Week 3, the Bucs did not kick a field goal on Sunday (28-13 win over the Raiders).
Defense: Over the past four games, Tampa Bay has held its opponent out of the end zone on 10 of 14 red zone trips.
Fantasy: We’ve seen the Bucs force-feed Mike Evans in the past to get him to 1,000 receiving yards – he needs to average 102.5 the rest of the way to extend his streak.
Betting: The Bucs are 8-5 ATS, keeping their dreams of 12 covers alive – a 12-5 ATS mark would be their best cover rate during the 2000s.
Los Angeles Chargers
Team: The Chargers have lost a league-high 29 regular season games by a single possession during the Justin Herbert era (23-29 in such games).
QB: Herbert has dropped back on 121 third downs – none of his 104 passes on those plays have been intercepted (eight touchdowns).
Offense: Los Angeles failed to convert two of its first three fourth downs this season, but it has been six-of-seven ever since.
Defense: This defense is great, but can they stop the elite quarterbacks? They’ve faced Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson, and Patrick Mahomes in three of their past four games, and they’ve allowed over 2.0 points per drive in each of those contests.
Fantasy: Gus Edwards got the touchdown plunge to bail you out on Sunday, but with three targets and no touch gaining more than 12 yards this season, the upside is limited, even with a reasonable role.
Betting: The Chargers had a three-game home trip in Weeks 10-12 during which every game went over the projected total, a significant change of pace for a team that had seen nine of its previous 11 home games go under.
Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks (SNF)
Green Bay Packers
Team: The Packers have followed each of their past four regular season losses with a single-possession victory.
QB: On Thursday night, Jordan Love turned seven pressured dropbacks into just 26 passing yards (7.3 yards per pressured dropback through the first 13 weeks). His 17 non-pressured dropbacks netted 180 yards and a score.
Offense: Green Bay got on the board against Detroit in a very rare fashion in this era of football – an 11-play drive that featured nine rush attempts
Defense: Opponents have converted 10 fourth downs against the Packers over their past four games (first nine games: seven).
Fantasy: The late-season Josh Jacobs run is what fantasy managers dream of – he has three rushing scores or four catches in four straight games!
Betting: The Packers opened last week in Detroit – they’ve failed to cover their past five road games played on longer than normal rest.
Seattle Seahawks
Team: It’s a whole new year. In Weeks 11-14 last season, Seattle went 0-4 with three divisional losses. In Weeks 11-14 this season, the Seahawks went 4-0 with three divisional wins.
QB: Geno Smith has completed 16-of-19 passes against the blitz during Seattle’s current four-game win streak (he was three-of-seven in the weeks prior to this run, both losses).
Offense: Seattle’s five most productive offensive games in terms of points per drive have come on the road this season (their five worst have come at home).
Defense: After giving up seven-of-11 third down conversions to the 49ers in Week 11, the Seahawks have allowed just 12 third down conversions on 37 attempts (32.4%).
Fantasy: Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 70+ receiving yards in five straight games, tying the longest single-season streak by a Seahawk during the 2000s (DK Metcalf, 2020).
Betting: Overs are 4-1 in Seattle’s past five primetime games (2-0 this season, to games the Seahawks failed to cover).
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (MNF, 8:00p)
Chicago Bears
Team: Chicago’s last road win came with Justin Fields under center for them and Joshua Dobbs calling the shots for Minnesota (Week 12 of last season).
QB: There are plenty of nits to pick, but Caleb Williams has completed 13-of-16 red zone passes over the past three weeks against stiff competition (Vikings, Lions, and 49ers).
Offense: Sunday was the fifth time this season in which Chicago averaged under 20 yards per drive.
Defense: The Bears gave up five touchdowns on six red zone drives to the 49ers last week (previous four games: nine-of-22, 40.9%).
Fantasy: Rookie to rookie connection? Rome Odunze caught 80% of his targets and scored twice in San Francisco on Sunday (first six games out of the bye: 53.3% catch rate with zero touchdowns).
Betting: Unders are 6-1 across Chicago’s past seven games played on extended rest.
Minnesota Vikings
Team: Jordan Addison and Justin Jefferson both had 130+ receiving yards, and multiple TD catches on Sunday, the 10th duo to do that (third this millennium: Tyreek Hill/Jaylen Waddle did it in 2022, and Antonio Brown/Chris Godwin in 2021).
QB: Sam Darnold posted a 92.2 QB+, the best showing by a Vikings QB in our database that goes back to 2019 (previous best: Kirk Cousins 91.0 in Week 18 of 2021).
Offense: Lance Alworth and Julio Jones are the only two players in NFL history to reach 7,000 passing yards faster than Justin Jefferson.
There it is!
Justin Jefferson with his first touchdown in two months for the Vikings to give them the lead 💪
📺: FOX pic.twitter.com/kHhMFOyPgl
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) December 8, 2024
Defense: Over the past two games, the Vikings have allowed just three touchdowns on their opponents’ 11 red zone trips.
Fantasy: After the three-touchdown performance on Sunday, Jordan Addison’s rate of PPR points scored via the touchdown is up to 44.1% for his career.
Betting: The Vikings have failed to cover each of their past four games played within the division and on entered rest.
Atlanta Falcons at Las Vegas Raiders (MNF, 8:30p)
Atlanta Falcons
Team: The Falcons are averaging 30.0 PPG in wins this season and 14.0 PPG in losses.
QB: Kirk Cousins is the first starting quarterback with 0 pass touchdowns and 8+ interceptions in a 4-game span since Ben Roethlisberger in 2005-06.
His 4 straight games without a Pass TD is twice as long as any other streak of his career.
Offense: Atlanta has picked a fourth down in seven straight games.
Defense: The Falcons allowed the Vikings to convert eight of 12 third downs on Sunday (66.7%, the highest rate they’ve allowed in a game this season).
Fantasy: That’s three straight games without a touch gaining more than 15 yards for Bijan Robinson, but he has caught all 12 of his targets over that run despite the struggles of Cousins (season: 53 catches on 58 targets).
Betting: The Falcons have covered five straight, long-rest games played on the road (2-0 this season with overs in Carolina and Philadelphia).
Las Vegas Raiders
Team: The Raiders are the only team in the NFL that has not cleared 20 points scored in multiple games since Week 4.
QB: Just 2.9% of Raider passes have resulted in touchdowns this season, a rate that only tops that of the Giants (2.7% of their passes have been intercepted).
Offense: Las Vegas has converted just 11 of 39 third downs over the past three weeks (28.2%).
Defense: The Raiders gave up three touchdowns on three Buccaneer red zone trips last week, the first time this season with a 0% stop rate.
Fantasy: Brock Bowers set the rookie tight end reception record on Sunday, but is the QB situation finally taking a pound of flesh from his fantasy potential? On Sunday in Tampa Bay, Bowers’ on-field target share was a season-low 12.8%.
Betting: This is the Raiders’ first home game on extended rest this season – they are 4-0-1 ATS in the past five such spots.