Sheep Report: Early Week 6 NFL odds and last week’s picks recap

The PFN betting group takes an early look at the Week 6 NFL odds and recaps NFL picks from the sheep, the sharps, and PFN's own.

Despite the bizarro world Week 4 slate, the Pro Football Network betting team is beating books with a vengeance. It is difficult to argue with these kinds of results, with our team’s NFL picks bringing in nearly ten units worth of profit in one Sunday! There were some games that came down right to the wire, while others were “easy” wins. Betting on the NFL is never a guarantee, but this week we can guarantee a profit! Before we get into the recap of each handicapper, here’s a sneak peek at the early Week 6 NFL odds.

Week 6 Opening Lines and NFL Odds

  • New York Giants @ New England Patriots (-16)
    Over/Under                   44½
  • Carolina Panthers  @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (pick ’em)
    Over/Under                   48
  • Seattle Seahawks @ Cleveland Browns (-2½)
    Over/Under                   47½
  • Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs (-8½)
    Over/Under                   56
  • Washington Redskins (-3½) @ Miami Dolphins
    Over/Under                   41
  • Philadelphia Eagles @ Minnesota Vikings (-3)
    Over/Under                   44
  • New Orleans Saints  @ Jacksonville Jaguars (Pick’em)
    Over/Under                   45
  • Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens (-12)
    Over/Under                   47½
  • San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams (-4)
    Over/Under                   48½
  • Atlanta Falcons (-2) @ Arizona Cardinals
    Over/Under                   51
  • Tennessee Titans @ Denver Broncos (-2½)
    Over/Under                   39½
  • Dallas Cowboys (-8½) @ New York Jets
    Over/Under                   43½
  • Pittsburgh Steelers @ Los Angeles Chargers (OFF THE BOARD)
  • Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers (-6)
    Over/Under                   46½ 

Week 5 NFL Picks: PFN Rundown

Whether it be on our Against the Spread podcast, our numerous articles on the site, or our live Twitter plays, we will always do our best to bring profitable NFL picks to our subscribers! Here is a look at how each handicapper did in their respective category (records are accurate as of Sunday Night Football).

Ben Rolfe: Totals Expert

This week Ben silenced the critics with more than two units of profits after bumps in the road in Week 3 and 4. Maybe it was the fact that the NFL came to his home town of the United Kingdom, or maybe it was the market starting to adjust. Either way, Ben’s only loss on the week came courtesy of the Oakland under in London. He was at the game, watching the under slowly slip away thanks to a surprising offensive performance from the Oakland Raiders.

The Houston team total over was nearly in the bank before the first half. They scored 53 points in their matchup against the lowly Falcons secondary. As expected, Buffalo and Tennessee weren’t able to muster much firepower against their stingy defenses.

“The Texans’ big Achilles heel this season has been their offensive line, but the lack of pass-rush for the Falcons should give Deshaun Watson plenty of time.”

As you can see, Ben was able to read this game with precision. He knew the weaknesses of both teams and was able to profit from them.

2019 Record: 13-12 (-1 unit)

Jason Sarney: The Prop Master

Another excellent performance for our resident player prop handicapper. It all started Thursday night with a Russell Wilson rushing prop. The profits continued to roll in off the ten games comprising the 1:00 pm slate. He hit four straight player props, including an Adam Thielen, Tyler Boyd, Teddy Bridgewater over. His only loss was Melvin Gordon, who unfortunately wasn’t able to find the end zone in his return.

Not only did Jason finish the week 5-1, but he also hit his two-unit play on David Johnson. That brings his yearly record to 3-1 on two-unit plays.

“With a Week 5 NFL picks and player props line set at 57.5 rushing yards, watch for Johnson to take advantage of this anemic rush defense. Air-Raid or not, a fourth-quarter lead should all but clinch this low yardage mark for a once-prominent running back, looking for his bust-out game of 2019.”

2019 Record: 18-14 (5 units)

Chris Smith: Handicapping Specialist

Our expert handicapper brought profit to our subscribers once again. His Tommy Teaser and his Patty Parlay are wonderfully named winners.

By the way, another Survivor winner with the Eagles!

2019 Record: 16-13 (3 units)

James Aguirre: The Volatility Expert

Unfortunately, James had the roughest week out of the handicapping team. He came into the week up nearly $300 himself but struggled early. His Tyler Lockett reception prop Thursday night was one catch away from being a winner. He also put faith in Tampa Bay, not expecting Bridgewater to continue his dominance for New Orleans. All said and done; it wasn’t too bad with a final record of 3-4 on the week.

At the end of the day, he still remains our most profitable handicapper long-term.

2019 Record: 26-16-2 (10.4 units)

Against the Spread Podcast NFL Picks

A huge week for the podcast, with our plays going 4-1. The most disappointing part of that record? The only loss was co-host Ryan Gosling’s beloved Dallas Cowboys, a play he was hesitant to add to his card.

Other than that, unders for New England and Buffalo were the right side. Minnesota finally decided to cover a spread to help bring in over two units of profit.

2019 Record: 9-4-1 (3 units)

The sheep and the herd

The oddsmakers were once again able to bring in significant amounts of money this past week. Huge public sides like the Kansas City Chiefs and the Dallas Cowboys both lost outright. Luckily for the herd, some favorites were able to cover the big spreads. Both the Eagles and the Patriots won and covered double-digit numbers.

Week 6 NFL odds and early action

Atlanta Falcons at the Arizona Cardinals: Over 47, 83% of the money

The Falcons and their lowly secondary will be heading into Arizona to take on the Air-Raid with Klif Kingsbury and Kyler Murray. The Falcons have allowed over 20 points in every game they’ve played this year, and their secondary continues to be banged up. Arizona, on the other hand, has allowed over 20 points as well every game against teams like Detroit and Carolina.

Money is pouring in on this over, with it having already climbed all the way up to 52 in most books. Looking at the Week 6 NFL odds, this is the second-highest total behind the 55 of Kansas City and Houston. I will join the herd and take this over. Both these defenses have significant issues, and Arizona seems to be finally putting the pieces together. Murray is starting to use his legs more, something we expected to see more often during the first few weeks. Against Cincinnati, he rushed ten times for 93 yards and a touchdown. He’ll be able to do the same thing here against Cinci.

The Falcons are struggling to find wins, but Matt Ryan and the offense are still putting up points. Ryan has thrown for over 300 yards in all five of his games this year but has only won one of them. This team will put up points and so will Arizona. Join the herd and take this over.

Dallas Cowboys (-7) at New York Jets: 98% of the bets and 94% of the money on Dallas

The Cowboys will be heading into New York to face off against a winless Jets team. This number has done nothing but grow since it opened, and is now sitting at -8.5. The public is pounding the Cowboys with no clear starter at quarterback for the Mean Green. Sam Darnold might start after his battle with mono. If not, Luke Falk will continue to disappoint. He hasn’t looked good since being forced to become the starter. 

As for the Cowboys, they will be coming off a big loss at home to the Green Bay Packers. The offense looked good, but three turnovers meant they were never really close to winning. Dak Prescott struggled, but his connection with Amari Cooper was undeniable. If the team can get their ground game going, they should be able to cover this number. The Eagles were able to do so as 14.5 point favorites; the Cowboys should be able to do the same. I’m going to join the herd on this one and take Dallas. If Darnold plays, this number should drop, so I would wait to see who the starting QB will be.

It is a long and difficult season in the world of NFL picks. The team has now won All-Access pass members over $500 of profit with a $25 unit count. We will continue to take positive weeks when they come.

Current 2019 Pro Football Network NFL Picks Record: 88-63-3, 58%

 

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