Green Bay Packers WR Romeo Doubs was mostly overlooked in fantasy football drafts in favor of Christian Watson heading into last year.
Well, history appears to be repeating itself in fantasy football drafts, with the third-year receiver being overlooked again in 2024.
Will Doubs see another leap in fantasy production in 2024?
Romeo Doubs’ 2024 Fantasy Forecast
Doubs’ 2023 production of 59 receptions for 674 yards and eight TDs on 96 targets for a WR36 finish in full-PPR formats may not feel like a breakout season, but he drastically outperformed his ADP last year.
Doubs quietly saw his numbers rise across the board in every major statistical category — receptions, yards, TDs, and targets — in his second season, and he quickly became one of Jordan Love’s favorite targets in 2023.
Additionally, Doubs actually led the Packers in targets last year, but still finds himself with a lower ADP than Watson and Jayden Reed this draft season. Why is that?
For starters, Doubs’ yards per route run (1.33) and yards after catch (172) last year both rank outside of the top 60 at the position. To further that point, Doubs produced no 100-yard receiving games in 2023 and failed to top 40 receiving yards in 12 of his 17 games last season.
The engine to Doubs’ fantasy production last year was his eight receiving scores, which means he found the end zone every 7.3 receptions. That feels like a tough rate to sustain in 2024.
Lastly, Doubs didn’t firmly establish himself as the definitive alpha target earner among a hobbled Watson and the newcomer Reed last year. This doesn’t include the potentially expanded roles of Dontavyion Wicks, Luke Musgrave, or Tucker Kraft, who were all rookies in 2023.
All that being said, Doubs is a very underrated route runner and will continue to see the field in 2024 with an ascending quarterback under center. He’s already shown us he can be a productive player during his first two years in the NFL. If he continues to improve, Doubs could present a great draft day value for your fantasy team this year.
And don't sleep on the route from Romeo Doubs
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Doubs’ ADP of No. 140 overall in the 12th round as the WR53 off the board has him as the third Packers pass catcher off the board behind both Reed and Watson, but barely ahead of Wicks in fantasy drafts. For some additional context, Doubs is currently being selected after Curtis Samuel, Tyler Lockett, and Jameson Williams.
Doubs’ healthy snap and target share make him feel like a reliable contributor in this Green Bay passing attack heading into the 2024 NFL season. Yet, the presence of other young options does make it a bit tricky to project a full-blown breakout campaign for the Nevada product this upcoming year.
Doubs’ production and role increasing across the board in Love’s first year under center feels like a big plus, which makes his price point a potential steal on draft day.
Since the Green Bay passing offense still doesn’t have a clearly defined alpha target earner heading into the 2024 season, Doubs’ current draft day value means you can get a piece of this Packers unit at a very reasonable price.
Jason Katz’s Fantasy Insights on Romeo Doubs
Doubs averaged 10.3 fantasy points per game last season, finishing as the overall WR46. While those numbers justify rostering him, Doubs was often a desperation Flex play due to his erratic production.
The Packers have a deep WR room, making it difficult to predict who will perform each week. While Jordan Love’s development is promising, there isn’t a clear standout WR, and targets are likely to be spread out among several players.
Doubs saw a 17.1% target share last season, which was in line with other Packers’ WRs like Jayden Reed and Christian Watson. The team rotates all its receivers, which limits Doubs’ upside and makes it challenging to trust him as a consistent fantasy option.
Doubs is currently being drafted as WR53, No. 138 overall. I have him ranked similarly at WR56, indicating limited upside and minimal interest in targeting him in drafts.
Doubs is a capable WR, but the crowded WR corps in Green Bay and the uncertainty surrounding target distribution make him a risky pick. While he may have some value, there are likely better options available at a similar ADP.