The Philadelphia Eagles, fresh off their blowout win over the New York Giants, head to Ohio to face the hot Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals are short home favorites; after an 0-3 start, they are looking to get back to .500. Here are picks and predictions from PFN Fantasy Analysts Kyle Soppe and Jason Katz and Chief Content Officer David Bearman.
Odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and correct as of Oct. 25, 2024. Stats are from TruMedia unless stated.
Eagles at Bengals Odds and Betting Lines (-2, 48), 1 p.m. ET
Soppe: When you look at this line, it might surprise you to see the 3-4 Bengals favored over the 4-2 Eagles after Philadelphia’s defense imposed its will over the Giants and has allowed just 19 points in the two weeks since coming out of its Week 5 bye.
That said, those were two of the worst EPA offenses in the league. The Eagles travel to face the sixth-best offense in the sport, led by Joe Burrow and his 8.3 yards per pass attempt over his past five games.
Jalen Hurts is a surprising 2-11-1 ATS (15.4%) in his past 14 games against teams that enter the game with a losing record, a box these Bengals check despite a 3-2 mark when both of their star receivers are healthy.
Pick: Bengals -2
Stats and Insights: Fantasy, Betting, and Other Notes
Philadelphia Eagles
Team: Since 2022, the Eagles have been the best team in Weeks 1-9 (20-3, 87% win rate) but rank 12th in win percentage after Week 9 (9-8, 52.9% win rate).
QB: Hurts is coming off of a double Tush Push game, his 13th regular season game with multiple rushing scores since 2021, the most in the league.
Offense: The Eagles are still the only team yet to score in the first quarter this season. Philly’s six-game streak without scoring in the first quarter is tied for the longest streak to begin a season since 2000 (done most recently by the 2021 New York Jets).
Defense: The Eagles allow 9.3% of passes to the slot to result in a touchdown, the third-highest rate in the league (only the Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts have been worse).
Fantasy: You had more receiving yards than DeVonta Smith last week, and with the Eagles allowing pressure at the highest rate in the league (46.1%; no other team is at even 43%), the down weeks could continue.
Betting: The Eagles are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games against the AFC North (0-2 ATS in Cincinnati over that stretch).
Cincinnati Bengals
Team: The Bengals are 3-3 over their past six games, with their three wins coming against teams with five victories this season (Carolina Panthers, Giants, and Cleveland Browns). The three losses came against teams on the other end of the spectrum (Kansas City Chiefs, Washington Commanders, and Baltimore Ravens).
QB: Burrow wasn’t himself when active last season — he completed just 29.4% of his deep passes with a 59.3 passer rating on such passes after consecutive seasons with at least a 50% completion rate and 107 passer rating. Through seven weeks this season, he’s completed 57.6% of his deep passes with a 129.1 passer rating.
Offense: The Bengals are blitzed at the second-lowest rate in the league (17.3%).
“We’re on a breakup right now.” 😂#Bengals RB Chase Brown has a twin brother (Sydney) who plays safety for the Eagles.
They’ve never played against each other, but that will change this Sunday.
He said they normally talk every night, but haven’t talked at all this week. pic.twitter.com/MpKid6Fobt
— Caleb Noe (@CalebNoeTV)
Defense: The Bengals own the third-lowest sack rate in the NFL (4.6% of dropbacks) through seven weeks.
Fantasy: Chase Brown received 60% of the Bengals’ rush attempts in Week 7, the third straight week he’s led them in carries. Brown’s percentage of team carries has increased six weeks in a row (every game since Week 2).
Betting: The Bengals are 0-3 ATS at home this season — they covered eight of 12 such games in the two previous seasons.
