Super Bowl Week is upon us — and it’s a matchup worthy of the name. The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles were the best teams in their respective conferences and have earned the right to play for it all.
Who will win? Pro Football Network’s staff of experts make their Super Bowl 57 picks.
Pro Football Network’s Super Bowl Picks
Sunday is just the 14th time the Super Bowl is a showdown of No. 1 seeds. But the Chiefs and Eagles had very different paths through the postseason.
Philadelphia stomped overmatched opponents in the lucky-to-be-there Giants and insanely injured 49ers, while Kansas City beat the Jaguars and Bengals by a combined 10 points.
No surprise, then, that the Eagles are slight favorites. But will Vegas be right, or will Patrick Mahomes win his second ring in four years?
Eagles -1.5; Eagles -125, Chiefs +105; O/U 50
Adam H. Beasley, NFL Director
The Eagles and Chiefs keep telling us who they are. It’s time to believe them. The Chiefs are a solid team with an otherworldly (albeit injured) quarterback. The Eagles have an otherworldly roster with a better-than-solid quarterback. Philly is — dare we say — special.
Pick: Eagles 27, Chiefs 24
Matt Cannata, Chief Executive Officer
All this talk about Patrick Mahomes and not much about Jalen Hurts. It’s time for that to end.
The Eagles are a special team this year, and those inside the building and on the sidelines know that their window to win the Super Bowl is now with a large number of players set to hit free agency next month. It’s hard to see how they let that opportunity pass them by.
Sure, they may have gotten an easy path to the Super Bowl, to no fault of their own. Giants? Check. 49ers with their fourth-string quarterback? Check. But that would be dismissing their strong regular-season performance.
The Chiefs are the Chiefs, and you can never count them out. But the Eagles have the personnel in place to limit Travis Kelce. If they can do that, they’ll win this game.
Pick: Eagles 27, Chiefs 17
Jack Caporuscio, Director of Growth Marketing
Injuries at quarterback are the storyline of Super Bowl 57. With Hurts’ shoulder on the mend (and a dip in statistical output and efficiency since suffering said injury) and Mahomes three weeks removed from a high ankle sprain, everyone is focused on quarterback production when predicting an outcome for this game. While it is the most important position in the NFL, we should look to the run games of each team.
Each of these teams can and will run the football if needed. If either QB struggles, we could go the opposite of popular opinion and see a more clock-controlled, defensive contest. The Eagles have the better rushing defense of the two units, which is why I’m leaning toward Philadelphia in a close, lower-scoring affair.
Pick: Eagles 17, Chiefs 14
Ian Cummings, NFL Draft Analyst
All love to my colleagues at PFN, but let’s be honest: These predictions are weak. It’s time to put a little spice in the pot. I’m talking about the highest-scoring Super Bowl matchup to date.
To this point, the highest-scoring Super Bowl contest was in 1995, when the 49ers beat the Chargers 49-26, totaling 75 points. This year, the Eagles and Chiefs will hit 76, albeit in a much closer, more back-and-forth battle.
Philadelphia has the talent advantage to keep the points piling up on offense. They can dominate the trenches with their offensive line, and sustain running production.
A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith are two receivers built to overwhelm rookies in their own unique ways. And if L’Jarius Sneed doesn’t play, Trent McDuffie, Joshua Williams, and Jaylen Watson will all be at risk. Those rookies have performed admirably this year, but the Super Bowl is a different beast.
Even on the other side of the ball, the Eagles have a roster edge. But for all their pressure generation and adept coverage components, Patrick Mahomes is still Patrick Mahomes. If there was ever a QB who could navigate through an overwhelming situation like the one on deck, it’s him. Even if Philadelphia keeps racking up points, Mahomes has the ability to claw back into contention for KC and make a strong Eagles defense look beatable.
I still have the Eagles finishing a hair ahead of the Chiefs in what should be an instant classic. But even at less than 100%, Mahomes will make it close.
Pick: Eagles 39, Chiefs 37
James Fragoza, Content Marketing Specialist
Death, taxes, and Patrick Mahomes. All are inevitable. Mahomes is two weeks removed from his high ankle sprain, and the time off has done a depleted receiving corps wonders. As long as Travis Kelce remains healthy, the offense should be humming, especially with Isiah Pacheco being the engine on the ground.
The Eagles will put up a fight, with getting pressure on Mahomes their No. 1 priority — one they likely won’t have much resistance against. But Kansas City’s defense showed the world they can step up when necessary vs. the Bengals — down multiple key defenders at that. In the end, the Chiefs prove too much to handle for Jalen Hurts and Co.
Pick: Chiefs 27, Eagles 21
Eric Frosbutter, Managing Copy Editor
Let me start out by saying that I think the Eagles are the better team, and if they are to win, they’ll do so in dominant fashion. However, the Chiefs have experience and that guy named Patrick Mahomes on their side. Oh, and that Andy Reid fella for good measure.
Kansas City has reached an incredible five straight AFC Championship Games and are playing in their third Super Bowl in four years. As of now, they only have one Super Bowl victory to show for it, but Sunday marks the beginning of the “collection” of rings for Mahomes and Reid.
Pick: Chiefs 24, Eagles 20
Tommy Garrett, Senior Fantasy Football Analyst
Are the Eagles a team of destiny, or can the Chiefs cement themselves as the next dynasty in the NFL? If Philadelphia can use their dominant front seven similarly to what we’ve seen this season, Patrick Mahomes will have a tough time standing in the pocket, not entirely dissimilar to their Super Bowl matchup against the Buccaneers a few years back, which forced a complete re-build of KC’s offensive line.
However, Mahomes’ ankle injury limits his mobility, and injuries to Mecole Hardman and Kadarius Toney also limit some of the Chiefs’ explosive prowess. But when you have Mahomes and Travis Kelce, Kansas City is never out of a game.
Yet, instead of making excuses for the Chiefs, maybe we should admit that the Eagles are just that darn good. Jalen Hurts transitioned from a shaky QB despite previous success to one of the faces of the league with a dominant duo of pass catchers in A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. Plus, a rushing game led by Miles Sanders behind likely the best offensive line in the game.
Move over Frank Reich and Nick Foles because there’s a new statue coming to town. This roster is truly special. Fly Eagles Fly.
Pick: Eagles 27, Chiefs 24
Ryan Gosling, Senior Executive Director of Website Operations
When breaking down Super Bowl 57, I see eerie echoes of the same script that Super Bowl 55 followed. The Chiefs came into that game with a prolific offense, somewhat similar to that of the Eagles this year.
Yet, Kansas City ran into an overachieving Tampa Bay defense that forced Mahomes into key mistakes. And although the Chiefs’ defense hasn’t quite been on the same level as the 2021 Buccaneers, they’ve played well down the stretch.
I think Kansas City’s defense will be the surprise stars of the show in this one, and Mahomes will simply need to make a few key plays to pull away early. Philadelphia is a great team, but Hurts will make a mistake or two when the lights are at their brightest.
Andy Reid exacts revenge on his former team, and Mahomes wins the second Super Bowl of his young career.
Pick: Chiefs 31, Eagles 17
Arif Hasan, NFL Lead Writer
The Philadelphia Eagles are a more talented team with a great coaching staff, but I can’t ignore Patrick Mahomes, injured or not, as the difference in this game. Andy Reid has always been special when given more time, and I think he’ll prove it again — and we’ll get to talk about some more Mahomes heroics.
If the Chiefs can design a defense that runs counter to their tendency and actually stop the Eagles’ run, their offense can pull them ahead in a shootout despite that talented secondary.
Pick: Chiefs 31, Eagles 28
Justin Hier, Copy Editor/Writer
NFL fans couldn’t be luckier this week. We’ve got storylines galore: the two top elite quarterbacks from each conference, the two most complete rosters from each conference, the Andy Reid Bowl, the Kelce Brothers Bowl, Jalen Hurts’ ascent to the upper echelon of the league’s QBs, Patrick Mahomes going for his second ring, and many more that are sure to be fleshed out during the week of coverage.
In short, I simply can’t see this being anything but a stellar game chock full of explosive plays and highlight-reel moments. And not just from the offense. I’d put money (disclaimer: not betting advice) on there being a few game-changing defensive plays as well.
And counting on a game-changing defensive play or two is where I’m getting the inspiration for my pick below. Both offenses are more than capable of putting up points. They can win on the ground and through the air. But Philly has the edge on defense. Outside of Chris Jones, KC has been relying on some largely unheralded players to keep the defense afloat.
The Eagles have elite, proven talent up and down the defense. I think it’ll be a swing-the-momentum defensive play from the likes of Haason Reddick, Fletcher Cox, or Darius Slay that clinches a victory for Philly.
Pick: Eagles 33, Chiefs 31
Oliver Hodgkinson, College Football and NFL Draft Analyst
We’re set for an incredible National Championship, sorry, I mean Super Bowl, when the 14-3 Eagles and 14-3 Chiefs meet this Sunday in Arizona. On paper, the two teams are evenly matched. But, as we all know, football isn’t played on paper. It’s a rich cacophony of circumstances, and the one circumstance that could prove to be a deciding factor on Super Bowl Sunday is the relative health of the two teams.
The early injury report makes for grim reading for the Chiefs relative to their NFL foes, and this game could ultimately be decided on just how healthy quarterback Patrick Mahomes is.
In a paragraph of cliches, let “defense wins championships” be the final one. The Chiefs have allowed the most passing touchdowns this season, the second-highest touchdown percentage, and rank 11th for QB completion percentage. While they may be able to thwart Philadelphia’s impressive ground game, give me a Jalen Hurts MVP-caliber performance, an Eagles defensive stronghold, and the post-Super Bowl shenanigans in the City of Brotherly Love.
Pick: Eagles 24, Chiefs 17
Matt Infante, Chief Operating & Financial Officer
Make no mistake, the Eagles are the more complete team from a roster construction standpoint. That said, they have not been tested in the NFL playoffs and have had perhaps the least challenging path to a Super Bowl that I can ever recall. The Chiefs, meanwhile, exorcised some demons by defeating the Bengals to get to this point.
I can go on and on about Patrick Mahomes, but there’s no need. He’s the best quarterback in the NFL — even on one good ankle — and I don’t think it’s particularly close. I like that KC has been here before. And I’ve been impressed with the Chiefs’ pass defense in the playoffs.
Kansas City will have to find a way to stop Philadelphia’s ground attack. But assuming they can contain it a bit and force Jalen Hurts to pass, I like the Chiefs’ chances to bring home another Lombardi Trophy to KC.
Pick: Chiefs 27, Eagles 23
Jason Katz, Fantasy Football Analyst
I am very torn on this game. The line pretty much being a toss-up is not a surprise at all. There is no debate as to who the better team is – it’s the Eagles. Up and down the roster, they are more talented.
But the Chiefs have this one guy. His name is Patrick Mahomes, and he is the best quarterback to ever play in the NFL. He won his first-ever Super Bowl appearance but came up short in his second. The Eagles should win this game, but I think Mahomes finds a way to will his team to victory, just as he did against the Bengals two weeks ago.
Pick: Chiefs 23, Eagles 20
Cam Mellor, Senior Director College Football & NFL Draft
While most of my knowledge of this game stems from my inquisition into each Kansas City and Philadelphia’s draft needs, there is one constant in every game of football: QB play is paramount.
That being said, is half-a-Mahomes better than a full-fledged Jalen Hurts?
For the sake of TikTok, please, let’s hope not. Hurts stops the Mahomeses (all of ’em), doing America a solid.
Pick: Eagles 28, Chiefs 24
Dalton Miller, Lead NFL Analyst
I couldn’t dream up a better matchup for the Super Bowl. The Eagles have the most complete roster in the NFL, and the Chiefs have the best player on the planet.
Both teams have fantastic coaching staffs, which could play the most significant role in who wins and loses this game. Shane Steichen vs Steve Spagnuolo and Andy Reid vs. Jonathan Gannon are outstanding matchups on the chalk.
If the Chiefs win, and a hobbled Patrick Mahomes shreds Philadelphia’s defense, it will massively improve his legacy. And while he’ll almost surely go down as one of the best quarterbacks of all time, the only way to have an argument for the top is to win a ton of Super Bowls.
In the end, the Eagles’ offense is so well-rounded that oftentimes they don’t even need to throw the ball to win. Jalen Hurts won’t be shying away from contact in this one, and there are simply too many weapons on that offense for the Chiefs to stop.
Pick: Eagles 27, Chiefs 24
Tyler Olson, SEO
Few players remain from the Eagles’ Super Bowl team that won five years ago. On the other sideline are the Chiefs, a team that’s been in two Super Bowls of their own since Philadelphia won theirs.
Experience is the name of the game once you get to high-pressure contests like the Super Bowl. That gives the advantage to head coach Andy Reid, quarterback Patrick Mahomes, and the entire Kansas City organization.
If Mahomes is still struggling with his ankle injury, it could flip the script in the Eagles’ favor, but we know he’s not one to follow any sort of script.
Pick: Chiefs 27, Eagles 23
Dallas Robinson, NFL Analyst
The Chiefs and Eagles have boasted two of the NFL’s best offenses all season long. Kansas City and Philadelphia rank top three in points scored and offensive efficiency, while Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts could finish first and second in MVP voting. But it’s the defensive side of the ball that could decide Super Bowl 57.
While the Chiefs’ defense ranks in the middle of the pack in most metrics, they’ve been torched by opposing No. 1 wide receivers. In his first season with the Eagles, A.J. Brown set new career highs in targets, receptions, and yardage while opening up more space for fellow wideout DeVonta Smith.
If injuries force Kansas City to start three rookie cornerbacks, Brown could have a field day, regularly gaining chunk yards before Philadelphia’s elite run game takes over in the red zone.
Meanwhile, I trust Eagles defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon to come up with a plan to limit Travis Kelce. There’s no stopping the future Hall of Fame tight end, but Philadelphia can use multiple defenders to slow him down while Darius Slay and James Bradberry handle Kansas City’s subpar WR options on the outside.
Pick: Eagles 32, Chiefs 27
Ben Rolfe, Fantasy Football Director
These two teams are even in terms of offensive ability, finishing the 2022 season as the two in points scored. Even when you look at their defensive output, both teams have been superb on that side of the ball this season.
Across their roster, the Eagles are the more complete team, and the experience of their secondary compared to the rookies in the Chiefs’ secondary could very well prove to be the difference when this game ultimately opens up in the second half.
Pick: Eagles 27, Chiefs 23
B.J. Rudell, Betting Director
The Eagles were the final undefeated team this season. This century, only one final undefeated team (the 2006 Colts) has won the Super Bowl. That year, Philadelphia lost in the playoffs to the Saints, led by 27-year-old Drew Brees. This year’s Eagles must defeat a more seasoned Chiefs franchise, led by 27-year-old Patrick Mahomes.
No doubt, Philly has the edge on defense and in the running game. But the otherwise dominant Miles Sanders has averaged only 3.9 yards per carry when trailing, while Jalen Hurts’ QB rating is roughly nine points worse when trailing. Like so many final undefeated teams before them, Philadelphia’s not at their best when confronting the relative unfamiliarity of playing from behind.
Pick: Chiefs 22, Eagles 17
Aaron Sutton, Chief Development Officer
All things equal, give me the team that’s motivated by pain. The Eagles likely have small advantages overall on paper, but these are two evenly-matched teams. Kansas City reclaimed Burrowhead by knocking off the Bengals, and I believe they’ll have the motivational edge to avenge their mildly embarrassing Super Bowl LV loss.
Pick: Chiefs 24, Eagles 19
Rachel Wells, Graphic Design Specialist
The mighty must fall eventually. Coming into the Super Bowl undefeated is what makes Philly truly special. However, the defensive stronghold hasn’t faced an elite QB all season.
Their defense tends to match up well against a team with multiple threats, especially at the TE position. There is one drawback about being lossless in February — playing at a deficit is unusual for the Eagles this season.
The game comes down to just how healthy Mahomes is, and if that final run of the Bengals game will come back to haunt him. KC takes the lead early, riding the high of taking back Arrowhead in the AFC Championship, and never looks back. Hurts puts up near an MVP effort but struggles to mount a comeback and falls short.
Pick: Chiefs 24, Eagles 21
Ian Wharton, Fantasy Football Analyst
We’re heading toward a classic matchup of a well-rounded team against a star QB-driven roster. The last time we saw this, the Chiefs were derailed by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 31-9. Since then, Kansas City has traded Tyreek Hill and reshaped their defense to get younger and more athletic.
It’s hard for me to go against Mahomes, considering how magical he is. But the Chiefs tend to play sloppily, and this Eagles team punishes mistakes. Philadelphia’s deep pass rush and physical secondary will force the very best out of Andy Reid and Mahomes.
My pick rests on the health of Jalen Hurts. Since losing to Washington, Hurts has been closer to an average QB than an MVP candidate. He’s had a lot of rest time, plus two unnaturally easy wins, to help get closer to 100%, swaying my pick to the Eagles.
Pick: Eagles 31, Chiefs 27
Brett Yarris, Content Creator
This is quite simple: The metrics that actually matter favor the Chiefs, along with a host of other things.
Kansas City has an extreme edge at the most important position on the field. Additionally, they’ll have the biggest game-breaker in Travis Kelce on the field that no team, no matter how well-positioned they think they are, can fully stop.
On top of that, KC is battle tested. They have played the NFL’s best at their peak, while themselves being at their weakest, to get to this point.
Conversely, the Eagles are here in part due to luck and the easier journey. To their credit, they’ve taken care of business when they needed to. However, winning a Super Bowl is among the hardest accomplishments in sports. Playing the Chiefs for the game’s biggest prize is a test unlike any this Eagles team has encountered, coming off of a game where their passing offense was awful, and their pass defense was untested.
The Super Bowl is not a “get right game.” My Behavior Bets model is undefeated in the playoffs — minus the fluke NFC Championship Game — and it’s hard to argue with this time around.
Pick: Chiefs 24, Eagles 21