Though it is not guaranteed the 2020 NFL regular season will begin without hiccups, the PFN betting team is preparing itself by going on a division by division look at the NFL futures market. Season-long NFL win totals should stay fairly constant until the beginning of the season, catastrophic injury notwithstanding, so let the deep dives begin! As always, whether betting over or under on these NFL win totals by team, check multiple sportsbooks for the best profit return for your bet.
Why listen to us? In our first year making our picks public, which are absolutely free 100% of the time, we finished with a profit margin of $354.75 for our 2019 season-long futures ($25 unit bet), which included yardage futures, award futures (MVP, offensive rookie of the year, etc..), win total futures, and other prop futures like who will make the playoffs and which coach will get fired first.
In addition to the running list of season-long win totals in this article, there will be comprehensive analysis of other components of the futures market — keep up-to-date by clicking here and bookmarking us!
Context for PFN’s NFL futures landing page
For ease of discovery, betting analysis will be organized by division, and the page will be updated when a PFN betting analyst posts a new season-long win total article so you have all of our analysis in one location.
Each individual article may involve both official bets and leans, with the former having a higher confidence level than the latter. Articles with official bets will have specific wagering amounts, and feel free to adjust those amounts to be in line with your own betting system.
Most content will be in the form of written deep dives, but in the event an official play is mentioned on social media or a podcast, those bets will be included here as well. Written articles may have additional NFL futures bets to consider beyond the over/under on the win total, like yardage props.
Context for NFL season-long win totals
Each and every year since the NFL expanded to 32 teams, the league results in 256 regular season wins for its clubs. You’d expect the sum total of teams’ season-long wins to be 256, but in reality, the totals offered by sportsbooks are higher.
For example, and it’ll vary from book to book, on Bovada, as of this writing, the sum of the combined wins is 261.5 — thought of another way, the book is giving us 5.5 “free” games compared to the known result of 256 wins per year. By default it makes the under a slightly more efficient bet to make, capitalizing on the hopes and dreams of the public wagering on their own team.
Vice versa, there will be over bets to make that the public has stigmatized, as we know each and every year there are worst-to-first scenarios and under-appreciated teams that shatter expectations.
NFL season-long win total analysis by division
- Buffalo Bills
- Miami Dolphins
- New England Patriots
- New York Jets
- Baltimore Ravens
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Cleveland Browns
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- Houston Texans over or under 7.5 wins? Official bet on exact finish in the division also provided. — James Aguirre
- Indianapolis Colts over or under 8.5 wins? Additionally, Philip Rivers pass yardage prop is discussed. — Drew Haynes
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Tennessee Titans
- Denver Broncos
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Las Vegas Raiders
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Dallas Cowboys
- New York Giants
- Philadelphia Eagles
- Washington Redskins
- Chicago Bears
- Detroit Lions
- Green Bay Packers
- Minnesota Vikings
- Atlanta Falcons
- Carolina Panthers
- New Orleans Saints
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Arizona Cardinals
- Los Angeles Rams
- San Francisco 49ers over or under 10.5 wins? Additionally, “making playoffs” and “exact division order” leans offered. — James Aguirre
- Seattle Seahawks
If you are a beginning bettor and would like an introduction into making bets, check this out: how to make bets and different bet types.
If you need help with betting jargon, check this out: betting terms everyone should know.
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