The NFL Draft and free agency flew by in our quickly-changing world and the regular season is upon us — the PFN betting team gets you prepared by going on a division by division look at the NFL futures market. NFL win totals should stay fairly constant until the beginning of the season so with the oddsmakers set, let the deep dives begin! As always, whether betting over or under on these NFL win totals by team, in all sports betting situations, check multiple sportsbooks for the best profit return — every little bit counts.
Why listen to us? In our first year making our picks public, which are absolutely free 100% of the time, we finished with a profit margin of $354.75 for our 2019 season-long futures ($25 unit bet), which included yardage futures, award futures (MVP, offensive rookie of the year, etc..), win total futures, and other prop futures like who will make the playoffs and which coach will get fired first.
In addition to the running list of 2020 NFL win totals in this article, there will be comprehensive analysis of other components of the futures market — keep up-to-date by clicking here and bookmarking us![sv slug=mocksim]
Context for PFN’s NFL futures landing page
For ease of discovery, betting analysis will be organized by division, and the page will be updated when a PFN betting analyst posts a new NFL win total article so you have all of our analysis in one location.
Each individual article may involve both official bets and leans, with the former having a higher confidence level than the latter. Articles with official bets will have specific wagering amounts, and feel free to adjust those amounts to be in line with your own betting system.
Most content will be in the form of written deep dives, but in the event an official play is mentioned on social media or a podcast, those bets will be included here as well. Written articles may have additional NFL futures bets to consider beyond the over/under on the win total, like yardage props.
Context for NFL win totals
Each and every year since the NFL expanded to 32 teams, the league results in 256 regular season wins for its clubs. You’d expect the sum total of teams’ season-long wins to be 256, but in reality, the totals offered by sportsbooks are higher.
For example, as of this writing, the sum of the combined wins is 261.5 at one particular book — in other words, the book is giving us 5.5 “free” games compared to the known result of 256 wins per year. By virtue of this discrepancy, it makes the under a slightly more efficient bet to make, capitalizing on the hopes and dreams of the public wagering on their own team.
Vice versa, there will be over bets to make that the public has stigmatized, as we know each and every year there are worst-to-first scenarios and under-appreciated teams that shatter expectations.
Without further ado, click on the link with the projected win total and begin your quest to make some money!
NFL win total analysis by division
Buffalo Bills over or under 9.5 wins? Division winner prop analyzed. — Drew Haynes
Miami Dolphins over or under 6.5 wins? Making playoffs prop discussed. — Chris Smith
New England Patriots
New York Jets over or under 6.5 wins? — Ben Rolfe
Cleveland Browns over or under 8.5 wins? Making playoffs prop included. — Chris Smith
Pittsburgh Steelers over or under 9 wins? — Ben Rolfe
Houston Texans over or under 7.5 wins? Official bet on exact finish in the division also provided. — James Aguirre
Indianapolis Colts over or under 8.5 wins? Additionally, Philip Rivers pass yardage prop is discussed. — Drew Haynes
Jacksonville Jaguars over or under 5.5 wins? — Ben Rolfe
Denver Broncos over or under 7.5 wins? Making playoffs prop analyzed as well. — Chris Smith
Kansas City Chiefs over or under 11.5 wins? — Ben Rolfe
Las Vegas Raiders over or under 7 wins? Lean on making playoffs prop discussed. — James Aguirre
Los Angeles Chargers
Dallas Cowboys over or under 9.5 wins? Making playoffs prop investigated as well. — Marcus Mosher
New York Giants over or under 6 wins? — Ben Rolfe
Philadelphia Eagles over or under 9.5 wins? — James Aguirre
Detroit Lions over or under 6.5 wins? Division winner prop and exact AFC North division finish included. — Drew Haynes
Green Bay Packers over or under 9 wins? Alternative win totals and making playoffs prop detailed. — James Aguirre
Carolina Panthers over or under 5.5 wins? DJ Moore yardage future prop discussed as well. — James Aguirre
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Arizona Cardinals over or under 7 wins? Kyler Murray and Kenyan Drake futures investigated, as well as making playoffs prop. — Chris Smith
Los Angeles Rams over or under 8 wins? Jared Goff passing yardage prop detailed as well. — James Aguirre
San Francisco 49ers over or under 10.5 wins? Additionally, making playoffs prop and exact division order analyzed. — James Aguirre
Seattle Seahawks over or under 9 wins? Making playoffs prop also explored. — Ben Rolfe
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