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    NFL Week 14 Stats and Insights: Fantasy, Betting, and Other Notes For Every Game

    We are onto Week 14 of the NFL season and with that comes the beginning of bye weeks. What does this slate hold for fantasy managers, bettors, and casual fans? Let's dive in!

    Whether you’re setting your fantasy football lineups or you need just a bit more information before getting in on the NFL betting action at your favorite sportsbook, we’ve got you covered here at Pro Football Network with the most important stats, notes, and insights for every NFL matchup in Week 14.

    We all know how time-consuming gathering all the information can be, which is why we’re doing the research for you so you don’t have to.

    Bye Week Schedule

    • Week 14: Ravens, Broncos, Texans, Colts, Patriots, Commanders

    All stats are from TruMedia unless otherwise stated.

    Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (Thursday)

    Green Bay Packers

    Team: Green Bay doesn’t have an offensive snap when trailing in consecutive games, giving them five such games this season.

    QB: After throwing an interception in eight straight games to open the season, Jordan Love has gone consecutive games (51 attempts) with a pick (four touchdown passes).

    Offense: The Packers have averaged 3.14 points per drive over their past three games (Weeks 1-10: 2.23).

    Defense: The quick-release Dolphins couldn’t solve the Packers on Thursday night. Green Bay posted a 9.8% sack rate, their third-highest of the season.

    Fantasy: Jayden Reed showcased strong efficiency as a rookie last season (25.2% over expectation) and has only gotten better this year (+51.6%).

    Betting: Under tickets have come through in eight of Green Bay’s past 10 road games.

    Detroit Lions

    Team: The Lions have won the first half of their three games since the five-interception win over the Texans by a cumulative score of 58-12.

    QB: Jared Goff hasn’t thrown an interception on 99 attempts since the disaster game in Houston (five interceptions against 15 completions).

    Offense: Detroit’s NFL-record 25-game streak with a rushing TD came to an end on Thanksgiving against the Bears, though no Lion fan was complaining, with 194 yards in 33 carries.

    Defense: Detroit elected to sit back in converge against Caleb Williams on Thursday, blitzing on just 19.1% of his dropbacks, their lowest rate since Week 1.

    Fantasy: Sam LaPorta was able to make a six-yard performance work for you last week thanks to a pair of scores – 42.9% of his PPR points this year have come on touchdown receptions (2023: 35.8%).

    Betting: The Lions failed to cover on Thanksgiving – they haven’t failed to cover consecutive home games since Weeks 11-12 of last season.

    Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    Team: A 14-loss season remains a possibility for the Jaguars, and it would be their third in the past five seasons (the rest of the NFL has three to date over that stretch, with the Panthers, Bears, and Jets all having one apiece).

    QB: Mac Jones has completed 86.8% of his passes, throwing less than 10 yards downfield (otherwise:11-of-39, 28.2%)

    Offense: The Jags settled for two red zone field goals last week, matching their total from the previous five games.

    Defense: On a yards-per-drive standpoint, the Jaguars offered up their second-best effort of the season against the Texans last week (29.3 yards).

    Fantasy: Brian Thomas Jr. saw his targets total 215 air yards on Sunday against the Texans, his first triple-digit performance since Week 5 (vs. Colts).

    Betting: The Jaguars are 11-6 ATS in their past 17 road games.

    Tennessee Titans

    Team: Three straight double-digit loss seasons is more likely than not to occur for the Titans, something this franchise hasn’t done since the Oilers did in in four straight from 1983-86.

    QB: Will Levis has posted at least an 84.5 passer rating in four straight games (he had one such performance this season prior).

    Offense: The Titans averaged just 21.9 yards per drive last week, their lowest mark since Week 6 (vs. Colts).

    Defense: Tennessee allowed Washington to convert nine of 14 third downs on Sunday (in their two games prior, the Titans allowed eight third down conversions on 27 attempts).

    Fantasy: We are into December, and 73.1% of Nick Westbrook-Ikhine’s PPR fantasy points this season have come via touchdowns.

    Betting: The Titans have failed to cover five straight home games.

    New York Jets at Miami Dolphins

    New York Jets

    Team: The Jets might be a great college team, but this is the pro, and we play on Sundays:

    QB: Remember the version of Aaron Rodgers that was in scoring position the second he stepped on the field? It’s long gone. Halloween was the last time he had a 30-yard completion.

    Offense: New York picked up 56.8% of their third downs through two weeks, a rate that sits at just 34.2% since

    Defense: The Jets have not intercepted a pass since Week 5 (Sam Darnold).

    Fantasy: Garrett Wilson has been held at least 50% under his PPR expectation, given where his targets occurred in consecutive games (his two worst performances of the season).

    Betting: The Jets have covered just two of their past eight road games in the division.

    Miami Dolphins

    Team: The cold weather narratives gained steam last week, so it’s worth noting that Miami’s season ends with games in Cleveland and New York.

    QB: Should Miami just bank on Tua Tagovailoa from the jump? For the season, he’s completing 76.3% of first-down passes, a rate that sits at 84.8% over the past two weeks (28-of-33).

    Offense: After averaging 29 points per game in Tua Tagovailoa’s first five games back from the concussion, the Dolphins managed just 17 points against the Packers on Thursday night (seven coming on a tipped pass that found Tyreek Hill with just over three minutes left in what was a 19-point game).

    Defense: The Dolphins blitzed on one-quarter of Packer dropbacks last week and failed to record a single sack. They’ve called a blitz at least that often in six games this season and have failed to get home in four of those games.

    Fantasy: The bottom line for Tyreek Hill fantasy managers worked last week (6-83-1), but don’t lose track of the fact that 40.4% of his production came on a tipped pass in garbage time that was meant for Jonnu Smith.

    Betting: The Dolphins have covered 13 of their past 17 divisional games.

    Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings

    Atlanta Falcons

    Team: Atlanta plays three of its next four road games (it has lost consecutive road games, scoring a total of 23 points in each), but it plays indoors for each of its next three (at Vikings, at Raiders, vs. Giants).

    QB: Since 2011, only twice has a QB completed 18 passes with at least one interception and zero touchdown passes in three straight games – Case Keenum (2018) and Kirk Cousins (current).

    Offense: The Falcons turned the ball over on a season-high 40% of their drives on Sunday – they are 1-5 this season when they have a double-digit turnover rate.

    Defense: Atlanta allowed 0.90 points per drive against the Chargers, its best rate of the season. This success is nice, but this team is 0-3 in its past point-per-drive defensive showings this year.

    Fantasy: Bijan Robinson isn’t getting much help on the ground lately (under 1.0 yards per carry before contact in consecutive games), but he’s caught 27-of-28 targets over his past five games.

    Betting: The Falcons have failed to cover consecutive road games after covering their first three road games of this season.

    Minnesota Vikings

    Team: The Vikings are looking to improve upon their record from the previous season by at least four games this season (2023: 7-10), something they’ve already done four times since 2011.

    QB: Sam Darnold has led this offense to 1.9+ points per drive in 10 games this season, matching their total from a year ago.

    Offense: The Vikings didn’t commit an offensive penalty for the first time this season (they’ve committed a total of just 11 penalties over their past three games).

    Defense: Minnesota won despite their defense on Sunday – they forced a punt on just one-of-10 drives (10%, their first game under 20% this season).

    Fantasy: Aaron Jones bailed you out with a touchdown reception last week, but the lack of explosion on the ground is worrisome – he’s been held without a 15-yard rush in five of his past six games.

    Betting: After a 5-0 ATS start to the season, the Vikings are just 2-4-1 ATS since.

    New Orleans Saints at New York Giants

    New Orleans Saints

    Team: The Saints scored 91 points through the season’s first two weeks. Three months ago, would you have believed that they would be held under 15 points in five of 10 games since?

    QB: Over his past three games, Derek Carr has been 15-of-19 against the blitz for 240 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions (the Giants have led the league in blitz rate since Week 8).

    Offense: On Sunday, the Saints reached the red zone on two of eight drives. They are 0-4 this season when they enter the opponents’ 20-yard line on 25% or fewer of their possessions.

    Defense: The percentage of passes in which New Orleans allows a first down is steadily on the rise over their past four games: 30.8% to 31.6% to 36.2% to 37.5% on Sunday against the Rams.

    Fantasy: Marquez Valdes-Scantling has seen 69.8% of his PPR production this season come on touchdown receptions, plays that have an average depth of target of 21.5 yards.

    Betting: Five of the Saints’ past six road games have been decided, for better or worse, by at least eight points.

    New York Giants

    Team: The Giants have lost seven straight, but three of the past four have come by seven or fewer points.

    QB: No one is suggesting that Drew Lock is a franchise building block, but he did complete eight-of-12 passes last week when pressured.

    Offense: The Giants averaged 51.1 yards per drive against the Commanders in the Week 9 loss, but it’s been downhill since: 29.2 in Week 10, 24.9 in Week 12, and 18.3 in Week 13 (their second lowest rate of the season).

    Defense: The Giants have failed to record a single sack in consecutive games (and in three of their past four).

    Fantasy: Malik Nabers recorded his seventh double-digit target game of the season – the volume is a must-have, not a nice to have, given the lack of quality play under center in New York. Just twice this season has Nabers produced over expectations, two instances that both came in September.

    Betting: Overs are 6-1 in New York’s past seven home games.

    Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles

    Carolina Panthers

    Team: The Panthers have the longest active streak of double-digit loss seasons (five straight) and are angling to extend that run sooner rather than later

    QB: Bryce Young is far from perfect (60% complete or less in three straight games), but he hasn’t thrown an interception in any of those games and has taken just four sacks (106 pass attempts).

    Offense: Carolina has cashed in just three of their 10 red zone trips into touchdowns over the past two weeks (Chiefs and Buccaneers).

    Defense: The Panthers allowed a touchdown on just two of 14 drives against the Bucs, a 14.3% rate that is their best defensive showing of the season.

    Fantasy: The game script hasn’t been an issue, and that helps the few pieces in this offense that you’re considering – Carolina is 2-2 over their past four games with a cumulative score of 93-92.

    Betting: Overs have come through in four of the Panthers’ past five games.

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Team: The Eagles close the regular season with four of their final five games at home (except Week 16 at Commanders). Each of their past seven games played at home or in a neutral setting has been decided by a single possession.

    QB: Jalen Hurts has improved his completion percentage in enemy territory every season of his career, and he completed five-of-six such passes in the big win over the Ravens last weekend.

    Offense: Philadelphia averaged just 4.7 yards per play on Sunday, their lowest mark in a win this season (second lowest overall).

    Defense: The Eagles pressured Lamar Jackson on 56.8% of dropbacks last week, their best rate of the season.

    Fantasy: Over 11% of Saquon Barkley’s carries have gained 10+ yards in five of his past seven games (13% on Sunday in Baltimore against an elite run defense).

    Betting: The Eagles have seen three of their past four home games go over the total (under tickets chased in their previous six games).

    Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers

    Cleveland Browns

    Team: The biggest win total dropoff from year to year in franchise history is six games (it has happened multiple times, most recently in 2008). This team was 11-6 a season ago.

    QB: Through six weeks this season, Will Levis had 125 pass attempts, and Jameis Winston had one. Through 13 weeks, Winston has more passing yards than Levis.

    Offense: The Browns scored seven points in the first quarter against the Broncos, their highest-scoring first 15 minutes since September—they haven’t won a first quarter since Week 8 against the Ravens.

    Defense: This team has allowed 62 points played on the road over the past five quarters.

    Fantasy: Jerry Jeudy has five straight games with at least five catches and 70 receiving yards. That’s the second-longest such streak in the NFL this season (Justin Jefferson) and the longest such run in franchise history.

    Betting: The Browns have covered each of their past five games played on short rest.

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    Team: The Steelers won on Sunday despite allowing 38 points to the Bengals — they’ve allowed just 20 PPG in their three losses this season.

    QB: Russell Wilson threw for 257 yards in the first half against the Bengals on Sunday, a career-best for a half of football – he had five players in the first 30 minutes that recorded more receiving yards than any player on Cincinnati’s roster.

    Offense: This offense scored 37 points on 11 drives last week, following their 37 points across 24 drives in the two weeks prior.

    Defense: In Weeks 1-11, Pittsburgh didn’t once allow a touchdown on 28% of opponent drives.

    If road games are the issue, things could get ugly. The Steelers head to Philadelphia (Week 15) and Baltimore (Week 16) for their two remaining away games this season.

    Fantasy: George Pickens has three straight games with a catch on a ball thrown 25+ yards and four straight with a red zone touch.

    Betting: The Steelers have covered five straight home divisional games.

    Las Vegas Raiders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Las Vegas Raiders

    Team: The Raiders have dropped eight straight games. Twice this millennium, they have had a longer single-season losing streak (nine straight in 2006 and 10 straight to open the 2014 season).

    • Week 14 at Buccaneers
    • Week 15 vs. Falcons
    • Week 16 vs. Jaguars
    • Week 17 at Saints
    • Week 18 vs. Chargers

    QB: Aidan O’Connell completed nine of 12 passes last week when the Chiefs blitzed him (14-of-23 otherwise, 60.9%).

    Offense: The Raiders join the 2015 Titans as the only teams to have a fourth-quarter turnover in 11 games through 13 weeks (their lone game without a fourth-quarter turnover was the Week 2 upset of the Ravens).

    Defense: All of those giveaways in fourth quarters and they are just as bad a taking the ball away in those spots (one turnover forced).

    Fantasy: Since 2000, three rookies have had three double-digit catch games: Odell Beckham (2014), Jaylen Waddle (2021), and Brock Bowers (2024).

    Betting: The Raiders have covered each of their past four games played on short rest.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Team: The Bucs rattled off four straight wins in Weeks 13-16 last season, a run that included a three-point win against the Panthers. They’ve won both games following their Week 11 bye and are coming off a three-point win over the Panthers.

    QB: Baker Mayfield has turned 12 pressured dropbacks into just 10 passing yards and an interception over the past two weeks.

    Offense: Tampa Bay settled for three red zone field goals against Carolina last week – they had three such kicks over their previous four games.

    Defense: The red zone offense wasn’t very good, but the defense has held up in those spots by allowing just three TDs on 11 such drives over the past three games.

    Fantasy: Bucky Irving has 14 red zone touches over his past three games, exceeding fantasy expectations by over 30% in each of those contests.

    Betting: The Bucs are 3-1 ATS as a favorite this season.

    Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals

    Seattle Seahawks

    Team: Seattle plays three of its remaining five games on the road, and its only two home games come against arguably the best division in football (NFC North).

    QB: Geno Smith completed five-of-seven deep passes against the Jets, a nice improvement over the two games prior (five-of-13, 38.5%).

    Offense: Seattle’s offense averaged 4.5 yards per play against the Jets, its lowest rate of the year, and it’s all happened in the past three weeks.

    Defense: The Seahawks improved to 5-0 on Sunday when allowing points on under 30% of drives in a game this season (Sunday at Jets: 18.2%)

    Fantasy: Kenneth Walker produced a season-worst 61.6% below expectations on Sunday and hasn’t overachieved since Week 7 (at Falcons).

    Betting: Overs are 9-2-1 in the Seahawks’ past 12 divisional games.

    Arizona Cardinals

    Team: Arizona has back-to-back home games over the next two weeks – they’ve won three straight at home, allowing a total of 30 points across those 12 quarters.

    QB: Kyler Murray’s aDOT is below his career average, and that can work if his teammates are making plays – that wasn’t the case on Sunday (3.2 yards per catch after the reception, their second-worst showing of the season).

    Offense: Sunday was the fourth time this season that Arizona scored on the majority of its drives in a game (it scored on six of 10 drives against the Vikings).

    Defense: The Cardinals have allowed a touchdown on just three of 10 trips to the red zone over their past four games,

    Fantasy: Murray had a 20+ yard run in three straight games to open this season – he’s ripped off such a run in just two games since (five straight games without such a gain).

    Betting: Five of the Cardinals’ past six home divisional games have gone over the total.

    Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams

    Buffalo Bills

    Team: This is Buffalo’s first of two straight on the road. They had a three-game road trip earlier in the season, and that’s where they ran into problems (1-2 from Weeks 4-6, road games against the Ravens, Texans, and Jets).

    QB: Josh Allen’s reckless aggression is gone, and it looks good on him. On non-pressured pass attempts this season, his average depth of throw sits at just six yards (career average: 7.4), and that has supported an upward ticking passer rating in such spots (2022: 96.6, 2023: 101.9, and 2024: 108.4).

    Offense: Buffalo has scored a touchdown on seven of eight red zone trips over their past two games (Chiefs and 49ers) – they converted at a 62.8% rate this season prior.

    Defense: The Bills have forced a turnover on over 20% of opponent drives in three straight games, a rate they hit just once in the first nine weeks of this season.

    Fantasy: Teams are loading up to stop the run against Buffalo, and it doesn’t really matter. James Cook has run into a loaded box 49.7% of the time this season (2023: 24.9%,) and despite the chaos in front of him, his yards per carry after contact this season are up 15.9% from a season ago.

    Betting: Unders are 5-2 in the Bills’ past seven road games.

    Los Angeles Rams

    Team: Nine of Los Angeles’ 12 games this season have been decided by a single score

    QB: Matthew Stafford has completed just one of his 12 pressured pass attempts over the past two weeks.

    Offense: For just the second time this season, on Sunday, the Rams converted all of their red zone drives into touchdowns (three-for-three at Saints).

    Defense: Bend-don’t-break. The Rams allowed the Saints to average 8.5 plays per drive, the most they’ve allowed in a game this season, but they surrendered just 14 points.

    Fantasy: Kyren Williams ran for a season-high 104 yards against the Saints on Sunday and ran for his 10th score, but the pass game involvement has evaporated (one target over the past three weeks), and the splash plays are non-existent (zero gains of over 30 yards on his 248 touches this season).

    Betting: The Rams have failed to cover four of their past five home games.

    Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers

    Chicago Bears

    Team: Chicago is 0-6 since their bye, losing to a divisional foe in each of the past three weeks (cumulative score in those games: 73-66).

    QB: Caleb Williams threw a pair of deep touchdown passes last week, his first since Week 6, but don’t let that mask the fact that 12 of his other 14 deep attempts hit the turf.

    Offense: Over the past three weeks, the Bears have converted 45.8% of their third downs (first 10 weeks: 28.7%).

    Defense: The Bears blitzed 38.9% of the time on Thursday, a stark difference from their season rate of 24% and even further ahead of the direction they were headed entering Week 13 (Weeks 11 and 12 were both under 16%).

    Fantasy: The Keenan Allen profile is changing. It gave you what you needed last week (5-73-2), but be careful in assuming that his increased reliance on deep passes recently is going to result in consistent production.

    Weeks 10-11: 103 total air yards
    Weeks 12-13: 119.1 air yards per game

    Betting: Eight straight games that the Bears have played on long rest have gone under the total.

    San Francisco 49ers

    Team: This is San Francisco’s first of two straight at home, though that might not be as comforting as it sounds. They are 1-3 over their past four home games despite holding a +22 point differential through the first three quarters of those games (-30 in the fourth quarter).

    QB: Brock Purdy’s yards per third down attempt went down from 8.8 a season ago to 6.8 this year (Sunday in Buffalo: 4.2).

    Offense: The 49ers have converted just three-of-10 third down attempts in consecutive games (season prior: 45.4% conversion rate).

    Defense: Over the past three weeks, the Seahawks, Packers, and Bills reached the end zone 11 times against San Francisco — they walked away from those drives with 11 touchdowns.

    Fantasy: Jordan Mason has produced 12.2% over PPR expectations for his career. He is one of two healthy backs (minimum 100 rush attempts), picking up 10+ yards on 15% of his carries this season (other: Jahmyr Gibbs).

    Betting: Three of the 49ers’ past four home games have seen them both fail to cover and the under to come through.

    Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday Night Football)

    Los Angeles Chargers

    Team: The Chargers have lost six straight to the Chiefs, but the basic stats suggest that is unlucky. Five of those games have been decided by seven or fewer points (three by a field goal or less), with the Chargers winning the time-of-possession battle five times and losing the turnover margin just twice.

    QB: In games played on November 25 or later, Justin Herbert has one touchdown pass on 157 attempts since the beginning of last season.

    Offense: Los Angeles averaged 18.5 yards per drive on Sunday against the Falcons, their lowest mark in a victory this season.

    Defense: For the sixth time in their past seven games, the Chargers held the opposition out of the end zone on at least half of their red zone drives (Sunday at ATL: one touchdown on four red zone trips).

    Fantasy: Ladd McConkey has surpassed fantasy expectations based on his targets in six straight games and has done so with only earning a single look in the end zone — he’s caught 81% of his targets across those contests.

    Betting: Seven of the Chargers’ past nine divisional games have gone under the total.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    Team: Of Patrick Mahomes’ 100 wins as a starter, nine have come when scoring fewer than 20 points. Three of those wins have come this season, meaning six of his first 90 wins came in such a spot.

    QB: Mahomes completed a season-low 56.5% of his passes on Black Friday, and it was the sixth time he failed to throw multiple touchdown passes in a game this year.

    Offense: One week after scoring a touchdown on a season-best 37.5% of their drives (at Carolina), Kansas City found paydirt on a season-low 8.3% of drives against the Raiders.

    Defense: The Chiefs held the Raiders to a field goal on their red zone trip, making Week 13 the first time this season in which they did not allow a red zone TD.

    Fantasy: Isiah Pacheco played 32.8% of the Chiefs snaps in his return to action, and while he had just eight touches in the win over the Raiders, he had a 34-yard run, something he only did twice last season.

    Betting: Under tickets have come through in seven of the Chiefs’ past eight games played on short rest.

    Cincinnati Bengals at Dallas Cowboys (MNF)

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Team: The Bengals have three road wins this season against bad teams (Panthers, Giants, and Browns). They play in Dallas and Tennessee over the next two weeks.

    QB: The Bengals are averaging 27.8 PPG in their losses this year. That’s on track to be the highest in a season in NFL history (min. 5 losses).

    Highest PPG Average in Losses, Single Seasons

    • 2024 Bengals 27.8
    • 2009 Packers 27.4
    • 2013 Cowboys 27.3
    • 1965 49ers 25.7

    Offense: This offense has averaged over 40 yards per drive three times this season:

    Defense: Sunday was the fifth time this season that the Bengals allowed a passer rating north of 119.

    Fantasy: Joe Burrow is averaging 27 fantasy points per game in primetime this season, passing for 1,316 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions in those four games.

    Betting: The Bengals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.

    Dallas Cowboys

    Team: Dallas has won their two games coming out of Thanksgiving in each of the past three seasons.

    QB: You don’t look straight into the sun, and you don’t blitz Cooper Rush. Or something like that. Over the past two weeks, Rush has completed 15-of-19 passes for 154 yards and a pair of scores when blitzed.

    Offense: The Cowboys picked up 46.7% of their third downs on Thanksgiving against the Giants, their highest rate since Week 5’s win in Pittsburgh (60%).

    Defense: The Cowboys created 24 pressures last week, their highest for the season. When they cleared a dozen pressure situations, they pushed their record up to 4-1.

    Fantasy: Rico Dowdle has been given the keys to this backfield, and it looks good on him – he’s averaged north of 3.0 yards per carry after first contact in five straight games.

    Betting: The Cowboys get the benefit of the super extended week as a result of playing on Thanksgiving (10+ days of rest) – overs home come through in each of their past three spots.