NFL Week 1 Underdog Pick’ems for Monday Night Football include Noah Fant and Russell Wilson

Monday Night Football is your last chance to get in on some fantasy football action. What are my top Underdog Pick'em plays for MNF?

Fantasy football is more than just the weekly head-to-head game we’ve all grown to love. On Underdog, fantasy managers can put their player-projection skills to the test by predicting player stat lines. Here are my top Underdog Pick’em plays for the Monday Night Football Pick’em contest.

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Top Underdog Pick’ems for Monday Night Football

Underdog Pick’ems allows fantasy managers to predict stat lines and fantasy point totals for almost all fantasy-relevant players. You can make two picks that pay out 3x even money or add more selections to your entry for higher payouts. The levels are 3x, 6x, 10x, and 20x, progressing with each additional pick’em you add to your entry. Let’s take a look at this week’s NFL pick’ems.

Noah Fant less than 25.5 receiving yards

Remember when the Seattle Seahawks game Will Dissly a three-year, $24 million extension this offseason? And it surprised everyone? The truth is, they’re going to use him. And if the preseason is any indication, Noah Fant does not have the TE1 role all to himself.

Make no mistake about it, Fant is the better fantasy option. However, he’s still third, at best, on the target totem pole behind DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. If he’s only playing around 60% of the snaps while receiving passes from Geno Smith in a run-first offense, Fant will have a hard time exceeding 25 receiving yards.

Tyler Lockett less than 10.55 fantasy points

Although it’s a small sample size, Tyler Lockett averaged just 11.65 PPR fantasy points per game with Smith last season. Underdog uses half-PPR scoring. For Lockett to surpass 10.55 fantasy points, I feel like he has to score a touchdown. If that happens, so be it.

Smith’s guy should be Metcalf. The taller, faster, more athletic Seahawks receiver does not require the type of precision passing and pinpoint accuracy Lockett does to excel. If Smith throws a touchdown, I’ll roll the dice that it doesn’t go to Lockett.

Melvin Gordon more than 37.5 rushing yards

There is no doubt that Javonte Williams will be the 1A in this backfield this season. However, this line suggests Williams will be the clear No. 1. I just don’t see it playing out that way — not in Week 1.

Williams’ rushing yards projection is 60.5, and I just don’t agree that he should be projected to rush for 23 more yards than Melvin Gordon.

Last season, Gordon played in 16 games. In 12 of them, he rushed for over 40 yards. In a game the Denver Broncos should win, there should be plenty of carries for both Williams and Gordon, allowing Gordon to safely surpass this number.

Russell Wilson more than 14.5 rushing yards

There’s no denying Russell Wilson is not the prolific rusher he was early in his career. Last season, Wilson averaged a career-low 13.1 rushing yards per game. He was also banged up and quite possibly “over” being a Seahawk.

Every other year of his career, Wilson averaged at least 16 rushing yards per game. Even in last year’s down year from a rushing standpoint, Wilson reached 15 rushing yards in six out of 14 games.

I’m banking on the Broncos letting Russ cook in his first start with his new team against his old team. Wilson should drop back to pass plenty, and all he needs is one tactical scramble to reach 15 rushing yards.

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