The list of the NFL’s top Super Bowl 2023 contenders continues to take unexpected turns as each week passes. Week 5 was no different after seeing the Green Bay Packers lose to the New York Giants in London. We’re breaking down the latest 2023 Super Bowl odds in the aftermath of Week 5.
2023 Super Bowl Odds
We’re here to make sure you’re locking in the best payoffs for all of your NFL betting picks. Each franchise has a varying record, but as you can see below, they don’t all offer the same betting odds.
For example, a $100 bet on the team with the best Super Bowl odds — the Kansas City Chiefs at +500 — would pay a $500 profit if they manage to win Super Bowl LVII. Let’s take a look at the latest 2023 Super Bowl odds and break down the teams whose odds present the best value.
Rising Super Bowl 2023 Odds in Week 5
Minnesota Vikings (+2200)
At 4-1, the Minnesota Vikings have quietly put themselves in a frontrunner position for the NFC North and a potential first-round bye in the postseason. Very little about the Vikings is overly impressive, but the wins continue to pile up. Can a team that has so far been average break through as a Super Bowl contender?
First-year head coach Kevin O’Connell has done well to beat the teams he should, with his lone loss to a hot Philadelphia Eagles team. Beating Detroit, New Orleans, and Chicago by a combined 16 points isn’t anything to just write off. As numerous teams that have disappointed so far this season will tell you, a close win is still better than any form of loss.
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Minnesota’s lack of a strong identity is a concern that must be addressed after their Week 7 bye week passes.
The offense is 12th in points scored and 10th in total yards but is not overly effective in any one area. They’ve produced the eighth-most passing yards, but it’s taken the sixth-most attempts, and their net yards per attempt is a meager 6.2 (14th in the league). The rushing game sits 21st in attempts, yards, and yards per carry.
The Vikings’ defense has actually been worse across the board despite being 14th in points allowed. And that’s against a set of relatively bad teams over the last three weeks. With teams like Buffalo and Dallas looming on the back half of their schedule, they’ll either be exposed or need to step up.
Regardless, the Vikings seemingly have an upside not yet unlocked thanks to the presence of Dalvin Cook and a set of young defenders who can take their game to the next level as they develop throughout the season. Minnesota is a bold longshot to take to win the Super Bowl, but they could emerge in a wide-open NFC.
Los Angeles Chargers (+1800)
The Los Angeles Chargers somehow pulled out a win against a Cleveland Browns team that can’t get out of their own way. The Chargers stayed in the game thanks to incredible performances from Austin Ekeler and Mike Williams. If they didn’t step up, the Browns would’ve won this game easily. Yet, they still had the chance to win twice.
Ekeler finally enjoyed a massive breakout with 173 rushing yards and 26 receiving yards on only 20 touches. Williams dominated despite terrific coverage by the smaller Browns cornerback tandem of Greg Newsome and Denzel Ward. He finished with 10 receptions for 134 yards on 13 targets.
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While Cleveland made their own multitude of mistakes to allow LA the win, this is the type of game the Chargers have continued to fall short in for the better part of two decades. This Chargers team is highly talented, even if flawed, and their ability to win these coin-flip games they’d normally fall short in can pay off in the postseason.
I still like taking the Chargers as a second-tier Super Bowl bet. Justin Herbert isn’t playing as if he’s injured, and the offense continues to roll. The defense is more questionable, but the raw talent is in place when Joey Bosa is healthy.
Tennessee Titans (+6000)
You might’ve blinked and missed it, but the Tennessee Titans are back atop the AFC South with a 3-2 record. The division seems to be settling in after a tumultuous first month. We can’t say for sure the Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts are completely dead, but the Titans are back to winning with their trusted and tried formulaic approach.
With three straight wins heading into their bye week and some winnable games right after, the Titans are a dangerous foe even if they don’t boast an impressive profile. Their passing offense is a bottom-four attack and the pass defense is even worse. And yet, Tennessee has a relentless rushing game and great run defense.
There’s enough on Tennessee’s roster for playoff contenders to be worried about a bad stylistic matchup not going in their favor. If Ryan Tannehill can continue to be efficient (completing 65% of passes for 7.7 yards per attempt) and Derrick Henry keeps his 100-yard streak up, the Titans will be a real pain to face in January.
Only the NFL’s best rushing defense will have confidence against Tennessee.
Falling Super Bowl 2023 Odds in Week 5
Los Angeles Rams (+2500)
While it’s too early to write off the Rams from getting to contender status, time is certainly ticking. Now at 2-3 after suffering a beatdown by Dallas, the Rams have been thoroughly outclassed by three playoff-caliber foes. The offense has been overwhelmed thanks to a lack of trench talent and inconsistent play from Matthew Stafford.
Nothing about the offense is working besides getting the ball to Cooper Kupp. Stafford has been under duress thanks to the 19th-best pass-block win rate, and he’s responded with short throws (6.9 yards per attempt) and a league-leading seven interceptions. But the big plays have disappeared as Sean McVay hasn’t found an ability to scheme around the line’s issues and ineffective running game.
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The decision to swap out Robert Woods and Odell Beckham Jr. for Allen Robinson II was clearly a mistake. It’s not the lone issue, but the offense is functionally different with a worse line and receiver who doesn’t offer the same sharp route-running and blocking impact. Stafford suddenly looks out of his depth without the rhythm that normally comes with the comfortable confines of a McVay offense.
The Rams’ defense has mostly done its part in giving the offense a chance to win. They’re closer to average in almost every notable metric than the offense. As long as Aaron Donald continues to be otherworldly, the unit will be difficult to score on.
Arizona Cardinals (+6000)
While I was shocked to see the Cardinals only five-point underdogs this week, the Cardinals deserve some credit for covering the line as true champions do. But at 2-3 and losing in the manner they did — missing a field goal that would’ve tied the game with 22 seconds remaining — Arizona is close to being ruled out of the Super Bowl race.
The missed field goal was especially painful to watch as Fox showed a video of backup kicker Matt Ammendola missing practice attempts to the right over and over throughout the previous week.
This moment was a microcosm of their season, with a set of disjointed performances where the talent on the roster flashes but can’t tie their moments of good play together. With tough NFC battles against Seattle, New Orleans, and Minnesota coming soon, Arizona’s fate is soon to be determined.
I’m selling that DeAndre Hopkins will suddenly be the answer for this team. Kyler Murray hasn’t played well and has very little around him to help him elevate his consistency and explosiveness alike. The Cardinals’ 20-17 loss to the Eagles was an opportunity to rise to the occasion, but they instead continued to miss opportunities and fail to unlock Murray’s special playmaking.
