The NFL is back to its regular schedule now that Thanksgiving is in the rearview mirror. Three prime-time football games on Thursday were fun, but they also left us wanting more on Sunday. With Week 13 already approaching, it’s becoming clear that the AFC East has several potential Super Bowl contenders.
We’re breaking down the latest 2023 Super Bowl odds in the aftermath of Week 12 and heading into Week 13. Let’s dive into our AFC East-centric breakdown of the Super Bowl odds for the Buffalo Bills, Miami Dolphins, and New York Jets.
NFL Super Bowl Odds Heading Into Week 13
We’re here to make sure you’re locking in the best payoffs for all your NFL betting picks. Each franchise has a varying record, but as you can see below, they don’t all offer the same betting odds. Our friends at DraftKings Sportsbook are my go-to, thanks to their favorable odds and betting options.
For example, a $100 bet on the team with the best Super Bowl odds — Buffalo at +300 — would pay a $300 profit if they win Super Bowl LVII. Let’s take a look at the latest 2023 NFL Super Bowl odds and break down the teams whose odds present the best value.
Buffalo Bills (+450)
Starting the season as the favorite to win the 2023 Super Bowl, it’s safe to say the Bills are slightly disappointed they haven’t been quite as dominant as planned. Much of this has to do with injuries. Being 8-3 and tied for first place in the AFC East is a good position, even if there are worrisome trends over the last five weeks.
The biggest storyline for the Bills as the regular season winds down is the performance and health of quarterback Josh Allen and edge rusher Von Miller. Allen is an unquestioned star, but he’s burdened himself with being the entire offense far too often. The offense has bogged down in key moments as Allen has dealt with an elbow injury over the last three games.
This team has struggled to win in close games throughout Allen’s tenure with the franchise, almost becoming like an NBA team too reliant on its main star to create in waning moments. Allen’s penchant for risky throws has also resulted in turnovers too often. It’s possible Allen tweaks his game, and his elbow heals over the next six weeks. But that’s an unknown that has directly affected these odds.
Playing Detroit on Thanksgiving was supposed to be a godsend that led to a comfortable win, but instead, the Bills sweated out a 28-25 victory. They needed a last-second field goal to avoid going into overtime with the Lions.
Most concerning was Miller’s injury. Though he didn’t tear his ACL, it’s hard to say the Bills are a smart Super Bowl pick if he’ll be out an extended amount of time. Buffalo has been struggling against teams we thought were clearly worse than them.
At some point, that’s a sign they’re just not as good as we had hoped. Losing Miller won’t help quell those fears.
Miami Dolphins (+1600)
Currently enjoying a five-game win streak that has brought four games with 30 or more points scored, the Dolphins are surging at the right time. They took care of business against lesser teams, as expected. Now, with three road games against San Francisco, Los Angeles (Chargers), and Buffalo, we’re about to learn even more about this team.
Their strengths are absolutes. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and head coach Mike McDaniel has formed a fearsome pairing that has gelled incredibly quickly. Tagovailoa’s excellent pre-snap diagnostic ability has improved, and the trio of Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, and Trent Sherfield has been phenomenal. Tagovailoa’s quick release and stellar accuracy have elevated this unit to be one of the NFL’s best passing games.
We’re still waiting to see whether this Dolphins defense will be what we saw last year. They’ve been good but not great throughout this year, bending to uncomfortable levels too often. Either they need to produce turnovers at a higher clip than 29th in the league or stifle opponents earlier in drives to force punts.
Still, not many teams will want to face Miami in the playoffs. Their playmaking on both sides gives them a high upside. I wouldn’t bet on them to win the Super Bowl because of their youth as a staff and roster core, but they can be the team that puts a scare into Kansas City and pushes them to the brink.
New York Jets (+7000)
It’s Mike White season once again in New York. We’ve seen White come out with a blaze of fury and then quickly come back down to earth when defenses pressure him. However, he provided a glimpse of what this offense can look like with a solid passer under center.
Whether it’s White who proves to be that guy long-term or the Jets pursue a veteran like Derek Carr or Jimmy Garoppolo this offseason, it’s performances like White’s in Week 12 that bode well for the future of the franchise. Zach Wilson was the problem for this offense.
White won’t be able to sustain the stat line he produced against the lowly Chicago Bears last week when tougher foes challenge him. No one should expect him to replicate his 315-yard, three-touchdown performance moving forward. However, even mere competence from White makes this Jets team much more difficult to match up against.
I can’t recommend betting on the Jets to win the 2023 Super Bowl, but this is an ascending franchise with many of the right pieces in place to build with. Keep this in mind for the 2023 regular season.