NFL Power Rankings: Top Betting Trends for Each Team Heading Into 2023

Heading into the 2023 season, what are our power rankings of the top NFL betting trends for all 32 teams?

When it comes to sports betting, finding an edge can be key to making a profit. One such way to do that is to identify trends for each team that might present the opportunity for value. Below, we have our NFL power rankings of the top betting trend for each of the 32 teams.

NFL Power Rankings of Top Betting Trends Entering 2023

1) Miami Dolphins

Since 2020, the Dolphins are the best against-the-spread (ATS) team when facing opponents that do NOT make the playoffs (19-9, 67.9%).

2) New York Giants

Daniel Jones owns an 18-7 ATS record for his career on the road (6-1 last season), despite owning a 9-16 outright record in those 25 games.

3) Dallas Cowboys

Dallas owns the best ATS record in December over the past three seasons (10-3 ATS).

4) Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens have the best ATS record as an underdog over the last five seasons, and it’s not close: 17-3-1 (85%). In addition, they are 11-10 outright as an underdog.

5) Chicago Bears

The Bears are the worst ATS over the past three seasons (19-30-1, 38.8%), a rate that is magnified when facing the rest of the NFC North (4-14 ATS, 22.2%).

6) Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings are the worst ATS December team in the NFL over the past three seasons (3-9 ATS).

7) Buffalo Bills

Despite having QB Josh Allen and a high-powered offense, the Bills rank 21st in over cash rate during those four seasons (45.3%). Even Houston Texans games have gone over more often.

8) Cincinnati Bengals

With Joe Burrow as QB for the Bengals, they own the best road cover rate in the league (68%) over the last three seasons.

9) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Last season, the Buccaneers became the fifth team this decade to fail to cover 75% of their games in a season.

10) New York Jets

The last time Aaron Rodgers had a losing ATS record in September was 2016 (he is 10-3 ATS over the past four seasons).

11) Tennessee Titans

The Titans are one of four teams (Chiefs, Steelers, and Ravens) in the NFL with an outright winning record over the past five seasons as an underdog (20-18).

12) New Orleans Saints

The Saints are one of five teams (Chiefs, Bills, Vikings, and Bears) that have won 75% of their games as a favorite over the past five seasons.

13) Carolina Panthers

The Panthers have been the worst ATS team in December over the past five seasons (6-12-1 ATS).

14) San Francisco 49ers

During the Kyle Shanahan era (2017-23), the 49ers rank second in December cover rate (64.5%) and first in December over rate (63.3%).

15) Philadelphia Eagles

Over the past decade, the team that lost the Super Bowl the season prior has covered just 44.1% of September games.

16) Los Angeles Rams

The Rams own the best ATS record in December over the past five seasons (16-6 ATS).

17) Detroit Lions

Over the past two seasons, the Lions own a league-best 76.5% cover rate at home (13-4).

18) Indianapolis Colts

Over the past five seasons, no AFC team has a higher cover rate against the NFC than the Colts (66.7%, 14-7-1).

19) Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders were the seventh-best ATS team at home last season and the fifth-worst on the road.

20) Seattle Seahawks

Over the past three seasons, the Seahawks are the fourth-best ATS team through October (63.6%). It’s after that when the problems occur … they rank 31st at 35.7%.

21) Los Angeles Chargers

Since 2019, the under is 11-2 (84.6%) when the Chargers play in September.

22) Cleveland Browns

Over the past five seasons, the Browns own the lowest cover rate when the game goes over the projected point total (14-25-1, 35.9%).

23) Kansas City Chiefs

Just one of the past 11 Super Bowl champions had more games go over than under in the season following their title (2021 Buccaneers).

24) Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jags covered eight of 15 games when the spread was under seven points after covering just three of 15 such games over the two seasons prior.

25) Green Bay Packers

The Packers haven’t had a losing ATS season against the NFC North from 2019-2022 (62.5% divisional cover rate, third-best in the NFL).

26) Pittsburgh Steelers

Over the past three seasons, the Steelers are a league-best 8-2 ATS in games with a closing total north of 45 points.

27) Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons covered at a 52.9% clip last season, their best since 2016 (62.5%). They are seeking consecutive winning ATS seasons for the first time since covering at least half their games in seven straight seasons from 2006-12.

28) Denver Broncos

Over the past two seasons, favorites are just 9-16 ATS when playing at Denver.

29) Houston Texans

Over the past two seasons, the Texans have been favored just once, but they do hold a respectable 16-17-1 ATS mark (identical to that of the Eagles and Vikings over that stretch).

30) New England Patriots

Mac Jones is 7-9 ATS at home during his career (overs: 9-7) and 9-6 on the road (overs: 6-9). Either fade them and play the over at home or back them and play the under on the road.

31) Washington Commanders

The Commanders were the eighth-best team ATS outside of their division (6-4-1) but underachieved in the division (2-4).

32) Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals are the only team slated to be an underdog in all 17 games this season, per DraftKings Sportsbook.

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