Our favorite Week 11 NFL player props focus on a few potentially high-scoring matchups. Week 11 is just the second time since Week 6 where we have at least 12 games being played Sunday, with only two teams on a bye. This means that we have an impressive slate of NFL betting options and player props to choose from!
NFL Player Props for Week 11 | NFC
The first game we are targeting for player props is the Dallas Cowboys vs. Kansas City Chiefs. With a total set at 56 (the highest of any game this week), there are bound to be a couple of players that hit on their Week 11 NFL player props.
Cowboys at Chiefs (-2.5)
We all know by now that the Dallas Cowboys have one of the most potent offenses in the NFL. Not only do they lead the league in yards per game (433.9), but they also score the most points per game (31.6).
While the Chiefs lead the league in passing yards per contest, the Cowboys are also a top-five unit in the metric. That means, if the Cowboys want to keep up with Kansas City, they are likely going to need to throw the ball.
With Dallas already ruling out Amari Cooper due to COVID-19, the rest of the Cowboys’ receiving corps should benefit. CeeDee Lamb is the clear No. 1 option, and Michael Gallup should slot in as the No. 2. With the Chiefs’ defense allowing the fourth-most passing yards per game and their focus on Lamb, I foresee a breakout game for Gallup.
After being on the injured reserve for most of the season, Gallup recorded 3 receptions for 42 yards last week. His Week 11 player prop is set at 54.5 yards. The Chiefs concede an average of 12 yards per reception, and we all know how much Dallas likes to throw the ball downfield. Gallup could go over this total with only 2 or 3 catches.
In addition to Gallup, I also think that Cedrick Wilson, who will now have a more prominent role with Cooper out, will easily surpass his current Week 11 player prop of 34.5.
NFL Week 11 Player Props Best Bet: Gallup to go over 54.5 receiving yards (-110)
NFL Player Props for Week 11 | AFC
Looking at the AFC, another projected high-scoring affair has caught my eye. The Cincinnati Bengals vs. the Las Vegas Raiders own a projected total of 50 points. Here is who I think will hit their Week 11 NFL player props.
Bengals (-1.5) at Raiders
The Bengals will head to Las Vegas to take on the Raiders in this important AFC clash. With both of these teams in tight divisions and fighting for playoff spots, the pressure will be on. A victory could be just what these clubs need to put themselves back into contention for their respective divisions.
With all that pressure on both offenses, I expect them to start the game as conservatively as possible. They will want to establish the run and get any jitters out of the way. That game plan plays perfectly into the hands of Cincinnati and Joe Mixon. Las Vegas is currently in the bottom half of the NFL in rushing yards allowed (1,162) and is forfeiting 4.5 yards per rush. They have also given up over 100 rushing yards in seven of nine games this year.
With that in mind, I love the over 65.5 rushing yards for Mixon. Out of the nine games he has played, he has gone over this number five times. Last week, he fell short by just 2 yards. Mixon has also scored a TD in six of his games this year. The -120 odds for him to score a TD don’t interest me all that much. However, +650 for him to score the first of the game is much more enticing. I would sprinkle a little on that Week 11 NFL player prop.
NFL Week 11 Player Props Long Shot: Joe Mixon to score first TD (+650)
NFL Week 11 Bonus Prop Bet: Joe Mixon over 65.5 (-110)
Additional props for Week 11
Here are a couple of quick hitters for our NFL Week 11 player props. Two AFC RBs provide intriguing betting options this week.
Austin Ekeler over 58.5 rushing yards (-115)
Pittsburgh’s defense is not as good as it once was and has struggled in the last three games specifically. They have allowed an average of 5.2 yards per carry over that time span. Ekeler has surpassed 50 yards in seven of his nine games and has gone over 58 in four.
I think this Chargers offense gets back on track this week, which usually means Ekeler and Herbert will have good performances. Herbert’s passing total is a meager 276.5, too — take the over.
Myles Gaskin over 13.5 rushing attempts (-120)
The Dolphins seem to have realized that Myles Gaskin is the best running back on their roster. Yes, that might not be saying much, but it still gives me hope that he should pass his NFL Week 11 player prop of 13.5 rushing attempts. In a game where the Dolphins were competitive and even leading for most of the time against the Ravens, Gaskin carried the ball 14 times for 31 yards.
In his last four contests, Gaskin has gone over 13.5 all but once. The Jets’ run defense is bad, and I expect the Dolphins to be up early in this game. They will likely pound the rock and give Gaskin at least 15 touches.