It’s the final weekend before the NBA regular season begins, which means you’re coming here for your fantasy basketball drafts.
Should you draft Luka Dončić this season? Here’s the latest outlook, projections, and rankings for the Los Angeles Lakers Point Guard.
Should You Draft Luka Dončić in Fantasy Basketball?
Luka Dončić begins his first full season with the Lakers healthy, in shape, and positioned as the team’s centerpiece alongside LeBron James. Even in a relatively down 2024-25 campaign after a midseason trade from Dallas, he still posted 28 points, 8 assists, and 8 rebounds per game.
His combination of high usage, shot volume, and three-level scoring keeps his fantasy floor among the safest in the league. If his conditioning upgrades lead to improved efficiency, Doncic can re-enter the top-three conversation across formats.
Last season’s move to Los Angeles brought mixed results. His field-goal percentage dipped compared to his Dallas numbers but he saw modest gains in 3-point shooting and free-throw percentage. Turnovers climbed as he adjusted to playing with LeBron and Austin Reaves, but injuries were the bigger cap on production. The Lakers have started building for Doncic’s prime, though James’ usage will still impact his ceiling.
Doncic’s nightly triple-double threat and elite all-around skill set still make him a consensus first-round fantasy pick. LeBron’s injury concerns could further tilt volume toward Luka, creating opportunities for a statistical surge. If he stays healthy and maintains his offseason conditioning, Doncic is well-equipped to post near 30-point triple-double averages and deliver another dominant year in fantasy basketball.
Looking for more fantasy basketball outlooks? Head over to our NBA landing page for analysis on 200 players.
What Are Luka Dončić’s Fantasy Basketball Projections This Season?
Based on our proprietary metrics here at PFSN, we project Dončić to score 3,752.5 fantasy points this season, with him averaging 28.3 points per game.
This includes 9.5 field goals per game, 2.9 three-pointers per game, and 6.4 free throws per game. It also includes 8.0 rebounds per game, 7.1 assists per game, 1.5 steals per game, and 0.5 blocks per game.
Where Does Luka Dončić Rank in the Upcoming Fantasy Basketball Season?
Dončić is ranked fifth overall and third at his position. The four players ranked ahead of him overall include Nikola Jokić, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Cade Cunningham.
The five players ranked behind him overall include Paolo Banchero, Alperen Sengün, Domantas Sabonis, Jaylen Brown, and LeBron James.
The two players ranked ahead of him at his position include Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Cade Cunningham. The five players ranked behind him at his position include Trae Young, Tyrese Maxey, Stephen Curry, Jalen Brunson, and De’Aaron Fox.
