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Myles Gaskin Start/Sit Week 12: Has Gaskin’s inefficiency caught up with him?

Can fantasy managers trust Myles Gaskin in Week 12, or is he too inconsistent to plug into lineups as they face the Carolina Panthers?

With fantasy football managers making final tweaks to their roster as the remainder of Week 12 quickly approaches, Myles Gaskin has become a problematic start/sit call as the Dolphins are set to take on the Carolina Panthers. Can Gaskin be trusted this week, or should fantasy managers find a different option due to his inconsistency?

Myles Gaskin has struggled to find consistency this season for fantasy

I’ll be honest, I completely whiffed on Myles Gaskin. When the Miami Dolphins opted to pass on selecting an RB during the draft, I thought it signified their belief in Gaskin, and in turn, he would have a solid season.

I mean, last season Gaskin averaged 18.3 touches per game, which were more than Alvin Kamara. Sure, he was the RB28, but that was due to missed games (6) because his 16.4 PPR points per game average were 12th-best amongst RBs. I believed he could be an RB2 this season. Boy, I was wrong about that.

Hard to trust this RB2

While Gaskin is the RB16 in PPR scoring, it certainly doesn’t feel like it. He averages only 15.9 opportunities per game, 3.5 yards per carry, and 12.1 points per game.

He’s playing on just 57% of the offensive snaps and, on the season, has finished as an RB2 or better in five of 11 games. In fairness to Gaskin, he has been playing better as of late, but that comes from the Dolphins giving him more work.

From Weeks 1 through 5, Gaskin averaged 6.5 rushes, 5.3 targets, 52 total yards, and was the RB20 (11.2 ppg). Since then, Gaskin has averaged 16.8 rushes, 3.4 receptions, and 66 yards as the RB11. It’s worth noting Gaskin has not yet had his bye week, while most other RBs already have.

The downside of all this volume is Gaskin isn’t doing much with it. He’s averaging just 3.06 yards per carry as the Dolphins’ offensive line continues to struggle. They are ranked 31st in DVOA (Football Outsiders’ efficiency metric) and are 31st in adjusted line yards at 3.53.

Miami added RB depth this week with Phillip Lindsay

On Wednesday, it was announced the Dolphins claimed RB Phillip Lindsay after the Houston Texans waived him. Lindsay joins Gaskin, Salvon Ahmed, Patrick Laird, and Duke Johnson (who was added before Week 11).

Lindsay signed a one-year deal in the offseason after being released by the Denver Broncos. He played on just 17% of the offensive snaps and rushed 50 times for 130 yards with a touchdown while catching 3 of 4 targets for 37 yards with another score.

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A former Pro Bowl running back, Lindsay will factor in the offense but is unlikely to play in Week 12. Head coach Brian Flores told reporters he’s “excited to get him on board” but added it is difficult to get a player ready to compete with just a walkthrough.

They will get him up to speed as quickly as possible — something fantasy managers with Gaskin on their roster do not want to hear.

Gaskin has a low floor in Week 12 vs. Carolina

Here is the crux of the problem — it’s an even week. I know, hard-hitting analysis, but hear me out because there is a method to my madness/genius.

Gaskin has failed to score more than 8.6 fantasy points in any even-numbered week this season. He has double-digit points in every game in every odd week, with his last four over 15 points. Of his 133.2 PPR points, even weeks account for just 19.7% of his totals (26.3 points).

Am I crazy? You know what, don’t answer that. But here is what I do know. The Panthers are a stout rush defense. They have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to RBs at 18.55 and have allowed six RBs to score double-digit points.

I don’t see Gaskin joining those ranks. Even if he does, it likely will not be by a lot. He comes in as an RB3/flex play this week, but with eight teams either having played already or on bye this week, odds are your options are limited. I can’t recommend him, but I can’t fault fantasy managers for starting him, either.

Tommy Garrett is a Fantasy Analyst for Pro Football Network and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA). You can read all of Tommy’s work here, listen to him on PFN’s Fantasy Football podcast, and check out his contributions in PFN’s free fantasy newsletter. Give him a follow on Twitter: @TommyGarrettPFN.

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