The Green Bay Packers stepped out of the action briefly during their bye last week, but in Week 11, they were right back at it with a rivalry game against the Chicago Bears, kicking off their late-season push to the postseason. The Packers blocked a field goal on the final play to hold off the Bears.
The Packers may be in third place in the NFC North, but with seven wins and a now-rested roster, they could be poised for another run into the playoffs.
So, where does this all leave Green Bay in the NFC playoff picture?
Can the Packers Make the Playoffs?
After all the action in Week 11, the Green Bay Packers are 7-3 and now have an 80.4% chance to make the playoffs.
They have a 3.5% chance for the 1 seed, a 1.3% chance for the second seed, a 0.5% chance for the third seed, a 0.0% chance for the fourth seed, an 18.9% chance for the fifth seed, a 31.6% chance for the sixth seed, and a 24.5% chance for the seventh seed.
Can the Packers Win the NFC North?
Here’s what the NFC North race looks like after all the Sunday action in Week 11:
- The Detroit Lions have a 67.2% chance to win the NFC North.
- The Minnesota Vikings have a 27.5% chance to win the NFC North.
- The Green Bay Packers have a 5.4% chance to win the NFC North.
- The Chicago Bears have a 0.0% chance to win the NFC North.
Current NFC North Standings
- Detroit Lions (9-1)
- Minnesota Vikings (8-2)
- Green Bay Packers (7-3)
- Chicago Bears (4-6)
Packers’ Super Bowl Chances After Week 11
Can the Packers win the Super Bowl? The PFN Playoff Predictor projects that Green Bay has a 4.6% chance to win it all.
Packers’ Remaining Schedule
- Week 12: vs. San Francisco 49ers
- Week 13: vs. Miami Dolphins
- Week 14: at Detroit Lions
- Week 15: vs. Seattle Seahawks
- Week 16: vs. New Orleans Saints
- Week 17: at Minnesota Vikings
- Week 18: vs. Chicago Bears
What PFN Predicted for the Packers vs. Bears Matchup
Green Bay returns from its bye in a favorable spot, albeit on the road against a division rival. Chicago is reeling from three straight losses, including a home loss in Week 10 to New England, which resulted in the firing of offensive coordinator Shane Waldron.
The position that stands to benefit the most from the Week 10 bye is quarterback, where Jordan Love has labored to recover from a Week 1 knee injury that caused him to miss the next two games.
Upon returning, Love performed solidly for the next four games (all wins), but he did fail to throw a touchdown pass in Weeks 8 and 9. Green Bay lost its Week 9 contest 24-14 to Detroit.
Even with the uneven start to the season, Green Bay’s passing game has posed a challenge to opposing defenses and stands to do so in Week 11 at Chicago. The Packers rank eighth in yards per attempt at 7.9, tied for fourth in touchdown passes with 18, and they’ve allowed the fewest sacks in the NFL (12).
Green Bay figures to lean even more into its dynamic running game down the stretch. Free agent signing Josh Jacobs has impressed in his debut season with the team. He leads a rushing attack that ranks fifth in yards with 1,593 and fourth with an average of 5.0 yards per carry.
Defensively, the Packers will be tasked with corralling No. 1 overall pick Caleb Williams and a talented cast of playmakers. While Williams and Co. have failed to demonstrate consistency, there’s no question the wide receiver trio of Keenan Allen, DJ Moore, and Rome Odunze is capable. Plus, veteran running back DeAndre Swift has shown no signs of slowing down. He averages 4.0 yards per carry and has four rushing touchdowns.
Green Bay is currently listed as a six-point favorite and the total for the game sits at 41.0.
PFN Prediction: Packers 23, Bears 16