Easily the most time-consuming and most frustrating part of fantasy football is lineup decisions. Zack Moss and Devin Singletary are mired in a timeshare that could prove difficult for fantasy managers to navigate. So, which Bills RB is the better start?
Update 9/12/21: The Buffalo Bills have announced that RB Zack Moss is going to be inactive for their game against the Steelers.
Buffalo Bills RBs are not a valuable fantasy asset
Both Zack Moss and Devin Singletary were the Bills’ primary running backs last season. Singletary was the superior fantasy option, averaging 9.1 PPR ppg, while Moss averaged a putrid 7.8 ppg.
The Bills just don’t run the ball, which spells trouble for Zack Moss and Devin Singletary
The Bills ran the ball just 40.8% of the time last season, and 102 of those rushes were from quarterback Josh Allen. Last season against the Steelers, the Bills had a neutral-to-positive game script throughout. In Buffalo’s 26-15 win, the Bills passed or Allen ran on 70% of the team’s offensive plays. Moss and Singletary, meanwhile, combined for just 75 yards on 20 carries.
The Steelers project to be a bit of pass-funnel defense
The Steelers lost cornerbacks Steven Nelson and Mike Hilton this past offseason as well as top pass rusher Bud Dupree. This leaves the team more vulnerable through the air.
Passing is more efficient than running. The Bills have one of the highest neutral-game-script passing rates in the NFL. As such, this doesn’t project to be a game where Moss or Singletary will be asked to do a whole lot.
So, Zack Moss or Devin Singletary?
The answer, truthfully, is neither. In Week 1, everyone is healthy, and you are mostly starting players based on where you drafted them. Moss and Singletary were being drafted anywhere from the 8-10 round range. Even in leagues with deeper starting lineups, they are not starters.
Both Moss and Singletary are low-floor/low-ceiling players — the worst possible combination. There are easily over 50 wide receivers that are better options than the Bills’ running backs.
What if I absolutely must start Moss or Singletary?
To be clear, do everything in your power to avoid starting either of these two players. With that being said, if you were forced to start one of them, I feel obligated to give you an answer.
Singletary is the more talented player and the one that catches passes. Last season, despite splitting time with Moss, Singletary saw 50 targets. Moss, on the other hand, saw just 18 targets.
The hope for Moss is that he could fall into the end zone somehow. Unfortunately, Allen is the real goal-line back on this team. With Moss, we have a two-down running back that doesn’t catch passes or receive goal-line carries. And, heading into this season, he may not even have most of the early-down work as Singletary thoroughly outplayed him in the preseason.
Ultimately, this is a situation to avoid, but Singletary is the preferred fantasy option if you must start one.