After winning 12 games in each of the last three seasons, the Dallas Cowboys have taken a significant step backward right after giving lucrative contracts to stars Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb.
Now, Prescott is out for the season with a hamstring injury, and Mike McCarthy is on the hot seat. Can the Cowboys salvage their season and make the playoffs? In short, no, especially after losing to the Texans in Week 11.
Can the Cowboys Make the Playoffs?
After all the action in Week 11, the Dallas Cowboys are 3-7 and now have a 1.2% chance to make the playoffs.
They have a 0.0% chance for the 1 seed, a 0.0% chance for the second seed, a 0.0% chance for the third seed, a 0.0% chance for the fourth seed, a 0.0% chance for the fifth seed, a 0.3% chance for the sixth seed, and a 0.9% chance for the seventh seed.
Can the Cowboys Win the NFC East?
Here’s what the NFC East race looks like after all the Sunday action in Week 11:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have a 75.1% chance to win the NFC East.
- The Washington Commanders have a 24.9% chance to win the NFC East.
- The Dallas Cowboys have a 0.0% chance to win the NFC East.
- The New York Giants have a 0.0% chance to win the NFC East.
Current NFC East Standings
- Philadelphia Eagles (8-2)
- Washington Commanders (7-4)
- Dallas Cowboys (3-7)
- New York Giants (2-8)
Cowboys’ Super Bowl Chances in Week 11
Can the Cowboys win the Super Bowl? The PFN Playoff Predictor projects that Dallas has a 0.0% chance to win it all.
Cowboys’ Remaining Schedule
- Week 12: at Washington Commanders
- Week 13: vs. New York Giants
- Week 14: vs. Cincinnati Bengals
- Week 15: at Carolina Panthers
- Week 16: vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Week 17: at Philadelphia Eagles
- Week 18: vs. Washington Commanders
What PFN Predicted for the Texans vs. Cowboys Matchup
Dallas typically plays big brother to the Houston Texans, but the 2024 season has been a reversal of those fortunes Now, Houston can essentially put its in-state adversary’s season on ice on Monday Night Football in Week 11.
Playing at home has been a disaster for Dallas this season. The Cowboys have been outscored 153-59 (minus-94) in four home games this season, losing all of them. In the Super Bowl era, only five teams have had a worse point differential in their first four home games of a single season.
The Cooper Rush-led offense had an abysmal showing against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 10. The Cowboys averaged a heinous -0.61 EPA per play, which is their worst in a game since the 2000 season finale.
The game led to a memorable explanation about the positioning of the sun from Jerry Jones, who balked at the notion that the structure of AT&T Stadium was a disadvantage for the Cowboys. Top receiver CeeDee Lamb lost a likely touchdown in the sun, one of their many humiliating moments vs. the Eagles.
CeeDee Lamb on not catching the potential touchdown pass from Cooper rush in the sun:
“I couldn’t see.”
Are you in favor of curtains in AT&T stadium?
“1000 percent.”#DallasCowboys #cowboys #NFL pic.twitter.com/0i5y6Dvslq— Pat Doney (@PatDoneyNBC5) November 11, 2024
The other side of the ball has a little more hope with Micah Parsons back. Parsons’ return could help Dallas exploit Houston’s leaky pass protection. Since Week 6 (when top wide receiver Nico Collins has been out), C.J. Stroud has been pressured on a league-high 45.9% of his dropbacks. The only bad news for Dallas is that Collins is expected to return from a five-game absence.
Houston is currently listed as a 7.5-point favorite over Dallas; the game total sits at 42.0.
PFN Prediction: Texans 31, Cowboys 17