College football picks and predictions against the spread for Week 11

Multiple midweek MACtion games headline the early picks for Week 11 in college football. Which contests should pique your interest?

The college football season continues with yet another full week of midweek MACtion. We take a look at our early college football picks and predictions against the spread ahead of the Week 11 slate.

College football predictions, picks, and odds for Week 11

Here are the current lines for all the NCAAF games as of Monday, November 8 at 11:30 AM ET.

Tuesday

  • Akron @ Western Michigan (-26)
  • Buffalo @ Miami (OH) (-7)
  • Ohio @ Eastern Michigan (-6.5)

Wednesday

  • Toledo @ Bowling Green (+10)
  • Ball State @ Northern Illinois (+2.5)
  • Kent State @ Central Michigan (-2.5)

Thursday

  • North Carolina @ Pittsburgh (-6)

Friday

  • Cincinnati @ South Florida (+23)
  • Wyoming @ Boise State (-14)

Saturday

  • Michigan @ Penn State (-1)
  • Northwestern @ Wisconsin (-24)
  • Oklahoma @ Baylor (+5.5)
  • Houston @ Temple (+24)
  • Rutgers @ Indiana (-6.5)
  • Mississippi State @ Auburn (-5.5)
  • West Virginia @ Kansas State (-6)
  • Syracuse @ Louisville (-3)
  • UCF @ SMU (-7.5)
  • UConn @ Clemson (-40.5)

More Saturday lines

  • New Mexico State @ Alabama (-51.5)
  • East Carolina @ Memphis (-6)
  • Utah @ Arizona (+24)
  • Western Kentucky @ Rice (+18.5)
  • Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina (-10)
  • South Alabama @ Appalachian State (-21)
  • Georgia Southern @ Texas State (-2.5)
  • Purdue @ Ohio State (-20)
  • Georgia @ Tennessee (+20)
  • Minnesota @ Iowa (+6)

More Saturday lines

  • Duke @ Virginia Tech (-11)
  • Boston College @ Georgia Tech (-2)
  • Miami (FL) @ Florida State (+2.5)
  • USC @ Cal (+1.5)
  • Iowa State @ Texas Tech (+10.5)
  • FIU @ Middle Tennessee (-10)
  • UAB @ Marshall (-5.5)
  • FAU @ Old Dominion (+6.5)
  • Louisiana @ Troy (+6)
  • Charlotte @ Louisiana Tech (-6)

More Saturday lines

  • Southern Miss @ UTSA (-32.5)
  • Maryland @ Michigan State (-13)
  • South Carolina @ Missouri (-1)
  • Hawaii @ UNLV (+3)
  • Tulsa @ Tulane (+3)
  • UTEP @ North Texas (+1.5)
  • Arkansas State @ UL-Monroe (-3)
  • Stanford @ Oregon State (-10)
  • Kentucky @ Vanderbilt (+21)
  • Texas A&M @ Ole Miss (+2)

More Saturday lines

  • New Mexico @ Fresno State (-24.5)
  • Arizona State @ Washington (+6.5)
  • Air Force @ Colorado State (+3)
  • Notre Dame @ Virginia (+5.5)
  • Kansas @ Texas (-29.5)
  • NC State @ Wake Forest (-2)

More Saturday lines

  • Arkansas @ LSU (+2.5)
  • TCU @ Oklahoma State (-13)
  • Colorado @ UCLA (-15.5)
  • Washington State @ Oregon (-14)
  • Nevada @ San Diego State (-2.5)
  • Utah State @ San Jose State (-4.5)

Early Week 11 college football picks and predictions

Let’s break down some of my favorite early lines for Week 11. Early-week MACtion leads the way for our college football picks and predictions.

Ball State @ Northern Illinois (+2.5)

Time: Wednesday, November 10, 7 PM ET

This Northern Illinois team is still 6-2 with a Power Five win on their schedule. The Kent State loss does more to bolster the Golden Flashes than it does to hurt the Huskies. In fact, NIU rallied late to make it a game, all the while showcasing how talented this bunch actually is.

In a battle for MAC West supremacy, Northern Illinois poses the most potent offense the Cardinals have faced all season long. NIU has five ball carriers who have eclipsed 200 yards this season and two receivers who have topped 500 yards.

An extremely balanced offense, they rarely tire and rarely fail to attack. An emerging star is WR Trayvon Rudolph, who ranks seventh in the country by averaging 20 yards per catch. He’s hauled in just 32 receptions but 639 yards and 7 touchdowns.

Ball State will have to contend with Rudolph and Tyrice Richie, but they can’t forget about the rushing attack of Jay Ducker and Harrison Waylee. The Cardinals have kept just two opponents under 100 yards on the ground, but even when they did hold Eastern Michigan below that mark, they still allowed 3 rushing scores. NIU gets back on track, but it’s close, thanks to Ball State QB Drew Plitt.

Kent State (+2.5) @ Central Michigan

Time: Wednesday, November 10, 8 PM ET

Dustin Crum is playing some of his best football, and that’s saying something. He’s completing 62.8% of his throws and is on pace for a career-high in passing yards. Noticeably, he’s averaging the same yards per attempt as he did in his breakout 2019 campaign.

The passing touchdowns haven’t quite come in as many bunches, but you’d have to expect they should start to catch up. Crum has also rushed for 440 yards and 8 touchdowns this season, with the latter a career-high.

Related | College Football Bowl Projections Week 11: Michigan State falls, Ohio State rises

Central Michigan has been largely up and down this season. It seems to be one way or the other for the Chips this year. Either they slow down the opposing offense, or they allow them to run and throw all over them. Against Northern Illinois, the Huskies threw for 351 and ran for almost 200 yards. The following week, CMU allowed 276 yards through the air and 169 on the ground to Western Michigan.

Kent State is no WMU and should present a bevy of challenges for CMU’s defense. Lew Nichols III will have to run wild, and Daniel Richardson will have to take care of the football. It’s a lot of ifs, and it all hinges on the defense containing Crum. That’s the biggest if factor.

Cincinnati @ USF (+23)

Time: Friday, November 12, 6 PM ET

The USF rushing attack is starting to take hold. They’ve made their opponents sweat in four of their last five losses and knocked off Temple in between. Timmy McClain has improved in each week as well, and they recently scored a season-high 42 points against Houston.

The Cincinnati defense was great against the run to start the year, but once AAC play hit, they fell off a touch. The fight to “look good” and “remain undefeated” in every contest has started to catch up to them. They failed to deliver against Tulsa and were almost upended. The Bearcats have allowed the following rushing performances:

  • Miami (OH) – 169 yards, 1 TD
  • Murray State – 93 yards, 1 TD
  • Indiana – 152 yards, 1 TD
  • Notre Dame – 84 yards, 1 TD
  • Temple – 85 yards, 0 TDs
  • UCF – 155 yards, 2 TDs
  • Navy – 192 yards, 2 TDs
  • Tulane – 187 yards, 1 TD
  • Tulsa – 297 yards, 1 TD

Making matters even more difficult for Cincinnati is the fact that RB Jerome Ford exited the Tulsa game and their rushing attack was stymied. In fact, their entire offense struggled after Ford left the contest. With his status uncertain on a short week, this feels more like a 14-point victory for the Bearcats — not enough points to cover the 23-point spread.

Cam Mellor is the Senior Director of NFL News/Analysis for Pro Football Network. He is also the co-host of Between the Hashes, a college football and NFL draft podcast. You can find his writing here. Follow him on Twitter @CamMellor

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