Caleb Williams’ Dynasty Rookie Profile | USC QB Fantasy Football Outlook

As the 2024 NFL Draft process begins to heat up, should Caleb Williams be the consensus top pick for upcoming rookie dynasty drafts in Superflex formats?

Nothing generates the type of buzz around NFL Draft season when you have a potentially surefire quarterback prospect entering the league.

There may be some debate as to who the top quarterback prospect is in this QB class, but Caleb Williams is widely considered one of the better quarterbacks to come from the collegiate ranks since the arrival of Trevor Lawrence back in 2021.

Since Williams is essentially a lock as a top-three pick in the upcoming NFL Draft, what exactly is his value in dynasty fantasy football leagues where you can start more than one quarterback every week?

Should You Draft Caleb Williams in Dynasty Fantasy Football?

The debate has already started on whether or not Williams should be the consensus 1.01 selection in Superflex dynasty rookie drafts. The inflation of value the QB position demands in these formats makes it difficult to select an elite prospect like Marvin Harrison Jr. over a highly touted QB prospect.

Regardless of where you stand on that subject, Williams is certainly in the conversation for 1.01 in your 2024 rookie draft. Williams has flashed all of the elite traits of a potential superstar at the next level during his days at USC.

Sure, the miss rates on quarterbacks entering the NFL can be far more volatile than some of the top receiver prospects, but when you hit a home run on a top-tier option in Superflex, they can provide you with a foundation that can anchor your team for more than a decade.

Landing spot plays a significant role in the early success and development of young quarterbacks entering the league, but some of the top prospects usually prove pretty quickly that they’re able to make even a bad situation work.

Williams may not be quite the dynamic dual-threat weapon that Jayden Daniels is at the quarterback position and doesn’t boast the prototypical size profile of a prospect like Drake Maye, but he certainly still has a potentially elite fantasy ceiling with his elite off-script playmaking ability, plus-level arm talent, and sneaky athleticism to offer some rushing production at the NFL level.

Who Is Williams?

Background

Williams was a highly touted four or five-star quarterback prospect — depending on which recruiting system you swear by — during his days at Gonzaga College High School in Washington, D.C.

His prep-days highlights included being named the Washington, D.C. Gatorade Football Player of the Year after throwing for 2,624 yards and 26 scores while adding another 10 TDs on the ground as a sophomore in 2018.

MORE: Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart

He was also named the Elite 11 finals MVP after his junior year.

Williams is listed at 6’1” and 218 pounds and will be entering the NFL at the age of 22.

College Production

Williams started his career off playing behind Spencer Rattler at the University of Oklahoma, but he made an impact as a true freshman with 1,912 passing yards and 21 scores once he took the starting job. After his freshman year, he followed head coach Lincoln Riley to USC, and the rest is history.

Williams exploded in his sophomore season with 4,537 passing yards and 52 total TDs in 14 games played, which earned him the Heisman Trophy in 2022.

The expectations were then sky high for Williams entering his junior year, but his numbers dropped a bit across the board, with just 3,633 passing yards and 30 passing touchdowns in 12 games played.

Injury History

Williams suffered a hamstring injury in the team’s loss to Utah back in 2022 but still managed to play in the 2023 Cotton Bowl against Tulane — where he lit up the Green Wave for 462 yards and five scores through the air.

Williams also battled through a finger injury in the middle of the 2023 season.

Williams’ Strengths and Weaknesses

Strengths

  • Elite off-script creator and play extender.
  • Excellent arm talent that has everything from a fastball to the ability to feather in touch throws on every level of the football field.
  • Great feel for the pocket; maintains wide base when going through progressions; climbs and resets when going through progressions.
  • A plus-level athlete who is hard to get to the ground and can regularly extend plays with athleticism.
  • Showed ability to go through full field progressions with poise and timing.
  • Had multiple reps showcasing the ability to get to third or fourth options in the progression while maintaining a great throwing base and manipulating the pocket.
  • Exceptional ability to throw on the run.
  • Lightning quick release and can generate velocity effortlessly.

Weaknesses

  • Tends to hold onto the ball for lengthy periods; the average time to throw was 3+ seconds every year of his collegiate career.
  • Had some head-scratching turnovers in 2023; would have occasions where he would try to play hero ball and uncharacteristically put the ball in harm’s way.
  • Williams’ excellent off-script moments sometimes came at the expense of bypassing easier completions and getting a bit greedy with forcing the ball into dangerous situations; it could bring up some questions about his consistency and willingness to play within structure in the NFL.
  • Some may think he’s a bit undersized for the QB position in the NFL.
  • A bit inconsistent with his mechanics; sometimes makes life a bit more difficult on himself with off-platform throws off of his back foot when they weren’t necessary.

KEEP READING: Dynasty Rookie Draft Strategies

With the fantasy football season behind us, why not start preparing for your rookie drafts with our dynasty rookie rankings? Additionally, as you look to improve your team heading into 2024, our dynasty trade calculator can help you find the perfect deal to boost your championship chances.

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