The Battle Line Rivalry sees the Arkansas Razorbacks take on the Missouri Tigers for the Battle Line Trophy. However, there’s more at stake for one of these two teams, and we’ve got the latest college football betting odds, DFS and fantasy picks, and an Arkansas vs. Missouri prediction
Arkansas vs. Missouri Betting Preview
- Spread
Arkansas (-3) - Moneyline
Arkansas (-150); Missouri (+130) - Over/Under
55 points - Game time
3:30 p.m. ET - Location
Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field, Columbia, MO - Predicted weather at kickoff
53 degrees, mostly sunny, 5-6 mph winds - How to watch
fuboTV, CBS
Although Missouri holds a Battle Line Rivalry advantage of 9-4 thanks to a five-win streak between 2016 and 2020, Arkansas won the last time the two teams met, and the trajectory of the two seasons points very favorably towards the Razorbacks.
Arkansas is also 6-1 as the moneyline favorite this season while winning and covering every game where they’ve been a single-digit favorite against the spread. Arkansas for the win and against the spread should be the play here.
The Razorbacks have cleared the over in 72.7% of their games this season, and with Missouri coming into the game on the back of two high-scoring affairs, it’s tempting to hammer the over here. However, Missouri is 3-8 at covering the over and has scored less than 20 points in five of their 11 games this year.
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Top DFS Picks and Fantasy Plays
- QB K.J. Johnson, Arkansas ($10,500)
- QB Brady Cook, Missouri ($8,300)
- RB Raheim Sanders, Arkansas ($9,500)
- RB Cody Schrader, Missouri ($7,500)
- RB AJ Green, Arkansas ($5,200)
- RB Nathaniel Peat, Missouri ($5,200)
- RB Rashod Dubinion, Arkansas ($5,100)
- WR Matt Landers, Arkansasm ($8,000)
- WR Jadon Haselwood, Arkansas ($6,700)
- WR Luther Burden, Missouri ($6,600)
- WR Dominic Lovett, Missouri ($6,200)
- WR Ketron Jackson Jr., Arkansas ($5,500)
- WR Barrett Banister, Missouri ($5,200)
- WR Mookie Cooper, Missouri ($5,100)
- WR Warren Thompson, Arkansas ($5,100)
- WR Tauskie Dove, Missouri ($4,600)
- WR Bryce Stephens, Arkansas ($4,500)
- TE Trey Knox, Arkansas ($5,700)
- TE Ryan Hoerstkamp, Missouri ($5,00)
- TE Tyler Stephens, Missouri ($4,500) *Doubtful
With a stacked slate of college football action on Black Friday, this Arkansas vs. Missouri matchup might not feature prominently in your fantasy or DFS picks. That said, there are a couple of playmakers on either team who might warrant some attention.
For Arkansas, K.J. Jefferson is one of the top-scoring fantasy QBs in the SEC. His dual-threat ability lends itself to fantasy success, finding the end zone 26 times this year with just three interceptions. He’s clearly a better option than Brady Cook if forced to choose between the two quarterbacks in this game.
Meanwhile, Raheim “Rocket” Sanders offers you 10+ carriers every game without fail. The Arkansas running back has many games over 100 rushing yards this year and annihilated the Ole Miss defense to the tune of 261 total yards and three touchdowns. If you need a running back, he might be the hot hand to ride.
From a fantasy perspective, the more you can do, the better. And no one in this matchup epitomizes that more than Missouri’s Luther Burden. He’s averaged 5.4 yards per carry with two touchdowns when lined up in the backfield while adding 299 receiving yards and four touchdowns as a pass catcher. A porous Arkansas defense might struggle to contain the electric freshman.
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Prediction for Arkansas vs. Missouri
There’s more than the Battle Line Trophy on the, erm, line when the Razorbacks travel to Colombia to face the Tigers on Black Friday. While Arkansas has already secured bowl eligibility, Missouri is on the brink of missing out on a bowl game for the third time in three seasons.
They need to win to get in, but as our Arkansas vs. Missouri prediction points out, that might be easier said than done for the Tigers.
Arkansas has a terrible defense that ranks near the bottom of the SEC in most major metrics and was carved up on the ground by Ole Miss and through the air by Mississippi State. However, in a case of weakness meeting weakness, Missouri’s offense might struggle to take advantage.
Likewise, while Arkansas’ offense has shown it can be potent this season — ranking second in the SEC in rushing offense with 233.45 yards per game — Missouri has held opposing offenses to just 3.78 yards per carry and 128.45 rushing yards per game, amongst the best in the SEC.
This game, and the battle for the Battle Line Trophy, is likely to come down to red-zone success, and here, Arkansas has a slight advantage. While Missouri has held teams from a rushing yardage perspective, they’ve allowed 17 rushing touchdowns while giving up a touchdown on 65% of opponent red zone possessions.
That could prove the difference maker, bringing Missouri’s 2022 college football season to a miserable end and allowing Arkansas to walk away with the Battle Line Trophy for the second consecutive season.
Prediction: Arkansas 28, Missouri 21
