The counting numbers through three seasons for New York Giants wide receiver Wan’Dale Robinson aren’t going to overwhelm you. He’s scored on just five of his 176 receptions and has a career yardage total that trailed what Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Jefferson put on paper last season alone.
That said, there is a regression case to be made for New York’s slot specialist, and savvy fantasy football managers will be looking his way at a very reasonable price this summer.
Wan’Dale Robinson’s Fantasy Outlook
Before I start working dark magic with numbers, everything you think about Robinson is true. Nearly three-quarters of his career routes have come out of the slot, he has more games with under five total air yards than contests with 80+, and he’s never reached 700 receiving yards OR scored four touchdowns in an NFL season.
That’s not exactly a resume that screams “target” and hence a spot easily outside the top 150.
Jerry Seinfeld once told George Costanza, “If every instinct you have is wrong, then the opposite would have to be right.” “The Constanza Rule” wasn’t brought about in a fantasy football conversation, but if everything the Giants have done recently has been wrong (they haven’t had a positive point differential since 2016 and are coming off of a season in which they set a franchise record for losses in a season), wouldn’t change have to be right?
Gone is Daniel Jones, and with a trio of quarterbacks vying for the top spot on the depth chart (Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston, and first-round pick Jaxson Dart), we are certainly looking at a different situation at the very least.
How bad was last season?
Robinson finished 13th in the league in receptions (93), and it was a minor miracle. The average NFL throw travels 7.7 yards in the air, and on balls thrown under eight yards last season, Robinson was a 21st-percentile producer in terms of catch rate.
No, not his fault. Sure, he had some drops, but the quarterback play was miserable, and while there is no promise that it improves this season, it’s hard to see it getting worse in a meaningful way. Heck, even if it just levels off, variance alone could make Robinson more efficient and get him to triple figures in receptions.
- 2023 Giants: 22nd in passer rating, 27th in yards per pass
- 2024 Giants: 30th in passer rating, 31st in yards per pass
Both of those seasons are pathetic, but Robinson was an 84th percentile short-reception rate player in the former and 21st in the latter, as mentioned. Despite the promising catch total that he finished with a season ago, there was room for much more, and I expect that to continue to be the case as Malik Nabers blooms into a bona fide superstar.
With all of that going on, Robinson was still better than you remember. His weekly standard deviation when it comes to PPR finish position was 11.2% tighter than Jayden Reed, and 13.6% tighter than Zay Flowers.
I’m not making the case that Robinson should be drafted ahead of either one of those receivers who play in far superior offenses, but the 80-110 pick difference feels a bit extreme.
MORE: Free Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
And while we are on the Robinson hype train, don’t rule out a few more splash play opportunities this season (yea yea yea, a few would technically count as “a few more”, but you get the idea):
Wan’Dale Robinson believes he’ll be used more downfield with a new QB pic.twitter.com/xWWVdarmx7
— Giants Nation Show (@GiantsNationPod) June 5, 2025
We aren’t looking at a league winner. Heck, I don’t think we are looking at a week winner. But we are looking at an underpriced player who holds value in our game that can help build out your roster, and that’s exactly what you need in the double-digit rounds. It’s OK to take a few high-upside players at this point in the draft, but just like your diet, you need balance.
Broccoli Robinson may not be a fun click, but if you pull the trigger and embrace his per-game stability, you’ll be a healthier fantasy manager.
Dan Fornek’s Wan’Dale Robinson Projection
Wan’Dale Robinson quietly had the best season of his career in 2024 despite the Giants adding Malik Nabers in the draft. Robinson obliterated his previous career-highs in targets (140) and receptions (93). Unfortunately, the terrible quality of targets from Daniel Jones, Drew Lock, Tim Boyle, and Tommy DeVito resulted in just 699 yards and three touchdowns. Robinson was a reliable PPR scam wide receiver due to his volume, but still averaged just 10.7 PPR points per game due to his lack of production.
MORE:Â Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer
The Giants upgraded their entire quarterback room ahead of the 2025 season, signing Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston in free agency and drafting Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft. All three players are upgrades over the 2024 quarterback room, but it does make projecting Robinson’s workload difficult. Wilson is expected to win the job, but he has historically thrown deep more than over the middle. His slot receiver with Pittsburgh in 2024 (Calvin Austin) had just an 11.2% target rate with Wilson under center.
Robinson showed the ability to earn a high volume of targets in 2024 with a more talented wide receiver in the passing attack. However, his questionable fit with his new quarterback makes it hard to imagine that will be repeated in 2025. Robinson is a fine bench stash until we see who the Giants are calling plays for (besides Nabers) next season.
