Maria Sakkari vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Preview — Head-to-Head and Prediction for Bad Homburg Open 2025

Here's a detailed overview for the upcoming match between Maria Sakkari and Ekaterina Alexandrova at the 2025 WTA Bad Homburg.

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Match Details

  • Fixture: Maria Sakkari vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
  • Date: Jun. 24, 2025
  • Tournament: Bad Homburg Open
  • Round: Round of 16 (Second)
  • Venue: TC Bad Homburg, Germany
  • Category: WTA 500
  • Surface: Outdoor Grass
  • Live telecast: Tennis Channel (USA)/ Sky Sports (UK)/ TSN & DAZN Canada

Maria Sakkari vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Preview

Playing as a wild card, Maria Sakkari won her first-round match at Bad Homburg, defeating Yulia Putintseva 7–5, 7–6. The Greek’s effort during the match showed she’s finding form on grass, despite struggling this season with a 15–18 win-loss record. She also battled shoulder issues early in the year, along with experiencing a dip in form, but somehow managed to regain momentum in Berlin and Bad Homburg.

Her clay court season also turned out to be disappointing with a first-round exit in Paris (losing to Elsa Jacquemot 6‑3, 7‑6) and mixed results in Rome.

Meanwhile, Ekaterina Alexandrova has been in much better rhythm lately, sitting at a strong 23–12 season record. She cruised past Belinda Bencic 6–1, 6–2 in the first round with a dominant service game, including 8 aces.

She won the WTA 500 title in Linz earlier this year, defeated Mirra Andreeva in Stuttgart with 19 winners and 8 aces, and reached the semis on grass at Rosmalen in the ongoing season. Alexandrova’s clay court season was marked by an 11–4 win-loss record with a success rate over 73%.

Maria Sakkari vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Head-to-Head

Maria Sakkari and Ekaterina Alexandrova have met 7 times in their overall careers, with Sakkari leading the head-to-head 6–1. Their most recent showdown was recorded in Doha, where Sakkari won 6‑3, 6‑2. Played on hard court, the match saw Sakkari control play with strong baseline hitting and Alexandrova struggling to seek momentum.

Maria Sakkari vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Prediction

Maria Sakkari heads into this match with a 15–18 record in 2025, highlighting her inconsistent form across surfaces while she struggled with a shoulder injury. She has had scattered success with an opening victory at Bad Homburg. However, her campaigns in Berlin and s‑Hertogenbosch saw her face disappointing early exits.

Ekaterina Alexandrova, on the other hand, holds a 23–12 season. This included semifinal runs at ’s‑Hertogenbosch and Stuttgart before a dominant first-round win in Bad Homburg (6‑1, 6‑2 with eight aces).

Alexandrova’s serve is in excellent shape, as she averages around 3.3 aces per match on hard courts and over 7 aces per match on grass, with a 59–63% first-serve win rate. She uses aggressive forehands and solid serve placement to dictate points. Sakkari, on the other hand, has slightly reduced her serve potency. She still serves well under pressure, but with fewer free points.

Prediction: Alexandrova to win in three sets

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