Jared Goff has revitalized his career in a major way, racking up over 13,000 yards through the air without missing a game over the past three seasons. The Lions have built a solid foundation around him and are positioned to succeed for years to come, but with Ben Johnson leaving the control center, questions are being asked about Goff’s status as a viable fantasy threat.
Should you buy his stock now while concerns are high?
Jared Goff Fantasy Outlook
To make a limited skill set work in fantasy football 2025, you have to be nearly perfect at the quarterback position.
Goff was essentially that a season ago, and with essentially the same on-field supporting cast back in the mix, the path to a repeat is undoubtedly there.
2024 Rankings
- YPA when blitzed: Fifth
- QB+: Third
- Passer rating: Second
- Third down completion percentage: First
Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta profile as floor elevators for Detroit’s pass game, while Jahymr Gibbs and Jameson Williams can transform an ordinary game into a special one with a single missed tackle.
Top 2024 QBs by fantasy points per dropback (FP/DB) vs. Man Coverage
1. Jared Goff (1.03) – 145% better than against zone 👀
2. Josh Allen (0.79)
3. Jalen Hurts (0.77)
4. Jayden Daniels (0.63)
5. Joe Burrow (0.62) pic.twitter.com/QWZl2Ysvks— Fantasy Points Data (@FantasyPtsData) June 25, 2025
My worry for fantasy purposes is the upside. Goff was better than any of us could have expected last season — he set career highs in completion percentage, yards per attempt, and touchdowns for a team that was consistently atop our power rankings.
All of that happened and yet …
- QB1: Lamar Jackson, 25.3 PPG
- QB2: Josh Allen, 22.3 PPG
- QB3: Joe Burrow, 21.9 PPG
- QB4: Baker Mayfield, 21.5 PPG
- QB5: Jalen Hurts, 21 PPG
- QB6: Jayden Daniels, 20.9 PPG
- QB7: Goff, 19.1 PPG
He’s appeared in 134 regular season games, and his career rushing total would have ranked fifth at the position had he done it all in one season. He ran as statistically hot as you could hope for last season, and he still finished with more weeks outside of the top-20 at the position than inside the top-5.
Don’t get me wrong, I think Goff is the right guy for the job in Detroit and is plenty capable of leading them to Super Sunday this winter. That, however, doesn’t mean he is a locked-in, set-it-and-forget-it starter in our game.
I like the fact that his yards per pass have increased in three straight seasons and that, seven times last season, he was a top-8 producer at the position. It always depends on the price you’re asked to pay on draft day, but I don’t think drafting Goff will be the reason you don’t win a fantasy title this year.
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But, in 2025, the quarterback position is about winning you weeks, not losing them. He’s a good bet to throw for another 4,500 yards this season (he’s done it in consecutive seasons; Mayfield is the only other QB to reach even 4,000 yards in both campaigns). Still, if we include a few poor outdoor performances along with a learning curve to a new offensive coordinator, it’s hard to rank him as a top-10 fantasy quarterback this season.
- Would you rather have the upside of Kyler Murray?
- Would you rather bet on the growth we saw from Jordan Love late last season?
- Would you rather bet on a rebound season from C.J. Stroud?
I think the answer to all of those questions is “yes.” When considering the opportunity cost (Justin Fields, Trevor Lawrence, and Dak Prescott all have a strong WR1 and a path to outproducing their discounted price in a big way) that comes with this investment, it’s a tough sell.
If the price is right, go for it. For me, I’m not going into a draft with the plan of drafting Goff. If the price dictates that I invest, I’ll do it, but he’s not a highlighted name on my cheat sheet.
Dan Fornek’s Jared Goff Fantasy Projection
Goff is coming off the best statistical season of his career in 2024. The veteran quarterback set career-highs in completion percentage (72.4%) and receiving touchdowns (37) with the third most passing yards in a season (4,629) in his career. That statistical output led Goff to a QB7 finish in 2024 with 19.1 points per game.
From a skill player’s perspective, not much has changed in Detroit. Goff will have access to the same weapons (Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Sam LaPorta, Jahmyr Gibbs, and David Montgomery) that led him to a top-10 quarterback finish last season. However, changes along the offensive line and at the play-caller introduce questions about what his 2025 will look like.
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The Lions lost two interior offensive linemen this offseason to free agency (right guard Kevin Zeitler) and retirement (center Frank Ragnow). Additionally, offensive coordinator Ben Johnson left Detroit to be a head coach. Goff averaged 4,547 passing yards and 32 touchdowns with Johnson calling plays the last three seasons, well above his career marks in his five previous seasons (4,065 yards and 24 touchdowns).
It is already challenging for pocket-passing quarterbacks to consistently achieve high-end fantasy finishes year after year. The Lions’ offense should be well again in 2025, but Goff will probably struggle to maintain his 2024 fantasy output.
