The Green Bay Packers have won six of seven, sending their playoff chances through the roof.
But Jordan Love and friends have designs on far bigger goals than simply making the 14-team postseason field. And to win it all, they need a ticket. Work in that department remains.
Here’s a rundown of the Packers’ playoff chances after they defeated the Miami Dolphins in Week 13.
Will the Packers Make the Playoffs?
Heading into Week 14, the Green Bay Packers are 9-3 and now have a 96.4% chance to make the playoffs.
They have a 6.2% chance for the first seed, a 4.5% chance for the second seed, a 0.2% chance for the third seed, a <0.1% chance for the fourth seed, a 32.1% chance for the fifth seed, a 42.8% chance for the sixth seed, and a 10.5% chance for the seventh seed.
Can the Packers Win the NFC North?
Here’s what the NFC North race looks like heading into Week 14:
- The Detroit Lions have a 62.4% chance to win the NFC North.
- The Minnesota Vikings have a 26.7% chance to win the NFC North.
- The Green Bay Packers have a 10.9% chance to win the NFC North.
- The Chicago Bears have a 0.0% chance to win the NFC North.
Current NFC North Standings
- Detroit Lions (11-1)
- Minnesota Vikings (10-2)
- Green Bay Packers (9-3)
- Chicago Bears (4-8)
NFC Playoff Race | Week 18
1. Detroit Lions (14-2)
2. Philadelphia Eagles (13-3)
3. Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7)
5. Minnesota Vikings (14-2)
6. Washington Commanders (11-5)
7. Green Bay Packers (11-5)
In The Hunt
9. Atlanta Falcons (8-8)
Eliminated From Playoffs
8. Seattle Seahawks (9-7)
10. Dallas Cowboys (7-9)
11. Arizona Cardinals (7-9)
12. San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
13. New Orleans Saints (5-11)
14. Chicago Bears (4-12)
15. Carolina Panthers (4-12)
16. New York Giants (3-13)
Packers’ Super Bowl Chances After Week 13
Can the Packers win the Super Bowl? The PFN Playoff Predictor projects that Green Bay has a 6.6% chance to win it all.
Packers’ Remaining Schedule
- Week 14: at Detroit Lions
- Week 15: at Seattle Seahawks
- Week 16: vs. New Orleans Saints
- Week 17: at Minnesota Vikings
- Week 18: vs. Chicago Bears
What PFN Predicted for the Dolphins vs. Packers Matchup
Historically, this type of a game is a loss for the Dolphins.
In the Mike McDaniel era, the Dolphins have been bad against good teams (5-14, with a total offensive EPA of -90.79 against teams who enter the matchup .500 or better), bad in cold weather (2-10, including playoffs, when the game-time temperature is 55 or below), and bad in prime time (3-9, including playoffs).
So a win Thursday night would not only keep the Dolphins’ season on track, but it also change national perceptions that this is a paper-tiger franchise.
“I’m excited to kill narratives, so let’s go,” Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa said this week. “Bring it on.”
Added Dolphins defensive coordinator Anthony Weaver: “I’ve been around big-time football now since 1998. I’ve never lost a game and looked back and thought, ‘Guys, it was just too cold outside,’ so I don’t expect that to happen this week. … It doesn’t matter what the temperature is, they can go and snap this in the mall parking lot and we’re going to go and do everything we can to try to win.”
It’ll be up to Weaver to slow down a Packers offense that ranks in the top eight in points (26.2 per game), yards per play (6.2), yards per pass (8.0), OFF+ (82.2), and dropback EPA (.177).
Plus they have the NFL’s No. 3 running back in Josh Jacobs, who has 944 yards and seven touchdowns on 202 carries (4.7 per).
The only thing that has stopped the Packers offense this year? Love turnovers. His 11 interceptions in just nine games are second most in the league.
