Jordan Addison’s Fantasy Profile: A Shaky WR3 Option in 2024

We’ve seen productive secondary receivers working alongside a surefire superstar produce some great fantasy football seasons in recent memory. Names like DeVonta Smith, Jaylen Waddle, and Tee Higgins all come to mind. Yet, they all have quarterbacks who are firmly in top-10 conversations at that position — allowing a great complementary option to be a big-time fantasy producer in elite NFL passing offenses.

With some uncertainty regarding the Minnesota Vikings with a rookie quarterback under center and a second-fiddle role alongside Justin Jefferson, what can fantasy managers expect from Jordan Addison in 2024?

Should You Select Jordan Addison at His Current ADP?

PPR Industry Consensus ADP: 90th Overall (WR40)

• Impressive Rookie Season: Addison finished his rookie year with 70 receptions for 911 yards and 10 touchdowns, earning a WR23 overall finish. This performance was notable given the Vikings’ quarterback instability after losing Kirk Cousins in Week 8.
• Touchdown Efficiency: Addison’s 10 receiving touchdowns on 108 targets is an extraordinary rate, especially for a receiver of his size (5’11”, 175 pounds). Only six receivers have achieved double-digit touchdowns with fewer than 110 targets since 2019, mostly larger, contested-catch specialists.
• Concerns About Sustainability: Addison’s touchdown rate and production may be difficult to sustain, especially with a downgrade at quarterback to Sam Darnold this season. The presence of Justin Jefferson and T.J. Hockenson also adds to the uncertainty surrounding his 2024 outlook.
• Split with Jefferson in the Lineup: Addison’s production dipped when Jefferson was on the field, averaging just three receptions for 47 yards per game. In four of those 10 games, Addison scored fewer than six fantasy points in full-PPR formats.
• Off-Field Concerns: Addison was involved in an alleged DUI incident earlier this year, which could lead to a suspension and impact his availability for part of the season.
• Volatile WR3 Potential: While Addison proved he could be a productive complementary piece, the unknowns surrounding Darnold’s effectiveness, Jefferson’s dominance, and Hockenson’s role make Addison a potentially volatile WR3 heading into 2024.
• ADP Analysis: Despite his strong rookie year, Addison’s ADP of WR40 suggests fantasy managers are cautious. He’s being drafted behind Hollywood Brown and just ahead of Xavier Worthy in the eighth round, reflecting concerns about his touchdown regression and quarterback situation.
• Final Verdict: Addison has the talent to build on his rookie year, but the volatility of his situation makes him a risky pick. If you’re comfortable with the uncertainty, Addison could offer upside, but he also carries significant risk as a WR3 in 2024.

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PFN Consensus PPR Fantasy Ranking for Jordan Addison

Note that these rankings are the PFN Consensus Rankings and may not fully match my analysis. Since Addison is ranked outside the top 75 in the PFN Consensus Rankings, we’ve listed the consensus WR rankings instead. 

44) Keon Coleman, WR | Buffalo Bills
45) Rome Odunze, WR | Chicago Bears
46) Curtis Samuel, WR | Buffalo Bills
47) Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR | Seattle Seahawks
48) Jameson Williams, WR | Detroit Lions
49) Jordan Addison, WR | Minnesota Vikings
50) Jakobi Meyers, WR | Las Vegas Raiders
51) Tyler Lockett, WR | Seattle Seahawks
52) Christian Watson, WR | Green Bay Packers
53) Mike Williams, WR | New York Jets
54) Josh Downs, WR | Indianapolis Colts

Jordan Addison’s Fantasy Profile for the 2024 NFL Season

If not for Puka Nacua’s historic rookie season, Addison would’ve been the highest-scoring first-year receiver in 2023. His 70 receptions for 911 yards and 10 TDs helped him produce a WR23 overall finish last year. This is pretty impressive considering the team lost starting quarterback Kirk Cousins in Week 8, leaving Minnesota to start Joshua Dobbs, Jaren Hall, and Nick Mullens under center over the back half of the regular season.

Addison’s 10 receiving scores on just 108 targets is a pretty absurd rate considering just six WRs have scored double-digit receiving TDs with fewer than 110 targets in a season since 2019. The only other receiver who achieved this feat last year was Courtland Sutton.

However, most of those players that hit that threshold are bigger-bodied, contested-catch savants like Sutton, Mike Evans, and Adam Thielen. For those of you who are unaware, Addison stands at 5’11” and 175 pounds.

Please don’t think I’m trying to simply dismiss Addison’s great production from his rookie year. Rather, I simply have some questions as to whether or not it is sustainable in 2024. In particular, you have to take into consideration the unknown of his quarterback play and the presence of both Jefferson and T.J. Hockenson in this passing offense.

Speaking of Jefferson, Addison’s production splits when the former All-Pro was in the lineup deserves attention. Addison averaged just three receptions for 47 yards per game when Jefferson was in the lineup in 2023. Four of those 10 contests saw Addison produce fewer than six fantasy points in full-PPR formats.

Additionally, Addison was arrested for an alleged incident of driving under the influence earlier this calendar year, which potentially exposes him to discipline from the league in the form of a suspension that could cost him time on the field this season.

Did Addison have a successful rookie campaign by operating as a complementary piece to Jefferson and Hockenson who could efficiently exploit 1-on-1 matchups? Absolutely. Yet, with Darnold’s effectiveness under center being a bit of a mystery and some elite target competition already on the roster, Addison feels like a potentially volatile WR3 heading into 2024.

Is Addison a Good Value in Fantasy Drafts?

Despite Addison’s outstanding rookie season, his current ADP of No. 90 overall, going off the board as the WR40, certainly suggests fantasy managers are a bit weary of his situation heading into his second year in the NFL. For some additional context, he is coming off the board just behind Hollywood Brown and right before Xavier Worthy in the eighth round of fantasy drafts.

Addison’s potential touchdown regression and less-than-favorable usage split when Jefferson was in the lineup — and the completely unknown fantasy impacts of the recovering Hockenson and Darnold at QB in this offense — make him a volatile fantasy option in 2024.