Two of the most surprising teams thus far through the 2022 NFL season are set to face off in Week 13. The New York Jets take on the Minnesota Vikings as both try to position themselves for a playoff seed. We’re diving into the best player prop bets for this matchup, including Dalvin Cook, Mike White, and Justin Jefferson.
We’re covering all sports betting aspects of this matchup, with lines courtesy of our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook. On top of grabbing these Jets and Vikings player prop bets, I highly recommend grabbing your no-sweat first bet for Week 13 while you can.
Jets vs. Vikings: Top FanDuel Prop Bets To Target
We’re using every tool at our disposal to make sharp prop bets for this matchup, including fantasy averages, player trends, and the best vig. Let’s dive into the best prop bets you can target.
Tyler Conklin Anytime TD (+310)
Despite Minnesota’s 9-2 record, their defense is certainly vulnerable through the air. They’re dead last in passing yards allowed and 31st in total yards allowed despite being 21st in points. The Vikings’ secret to winning? They force the sixth-highest turnover rate and 10th-best scoring rate.
Because Minnesota is below average or worse against both wide receivers and tight ends, I looked for the best value in the game for an anytime touchdown scorer bet. Jets tight end Tyler Conklin, who is second on the team in receptions, yards, and touchdowns, is an excellent value considering his involvement in the offense and the Vikings’ weakness.
Minnesota is allowing 4.4 receptions, 49.3 yards, and 0.45 touchdowns per game to the position this season. With almost a 50-50 shot of getting a touchdown, taking an anytime scorer bet at +310 odds is a no-brainer. Conklin is also coming off his highest percentage of snaps played since the first month of games, so he’s trending upward in the unit.
It’s also worth noting that a $5 bet on the over of Conklin’s receiving total would win $200 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Dalvin Cook Over 69.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
The Vikings have cut down on Dalvin Cook’s touches this year, but he’s continued to be efficient with his opportunities. Cook’s averaging 4.7 yards per carry and has tied his touchdown total from 13 games last season. Though he’s only averaging 76.5 rushing yards per game, he’s been more consistent than reliant on breakout performances.
MORE: Early Anytime TD Scorer Predictions Week 13
Of his 11 games played, only three have finished below 72 rushing yards. The Jets’ defense hasn’t been particularly effective at slowing the run, ranking 14th in rushing EPA allowed and 12th in total yards. They’re good but can be run on with the offense persistent like Minnesota tends to be.
Mike White Over 242.5 Passing Yards (-115)
I’m certainly not all-in on Mike White being an effective starter for the foreseeable future for the Jets, but he is capable of stringing together decent starts. Minnesota’s passing defense, as mentioned before, is only effective because they get sacks and force turnovers. We don’t have to worry about either of those factors when projecting his passing yards total.
MORE: Jets vs. Vikings Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Week 13
Minnesota is allowing an average of 276 passing yards per game and has the 19th-ranked passing defense EPA. White, who posted 315 yards on 22 completions against a worse Chicago defense last week, is being given too much of a cushion this week. I don’t think the Jets will be overly effective running the ball, meaning it’s likely on his shoulders once again to lead the offense.
That means volume and we hit the over.
Justin Jefferson Under 84.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
I hate betting against stars like Justin Jefferson, but when the data tells you to, sometimes you just have to hold your breath.
Sauce Gardner has been fantastic for the Jets, contributing to what’s been the third-best defense against wide receivers this season. D.J. Reed isn’t a slouch, either, and the combination of Jordan Whitehead and Lamarcus Joyner has been surprisingly effective.
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Jefferson is certainly one of the top two receivers in the NFL alongside Tyreek Hill. He can turn two plays into an 85-yard day and make this under look bad. However, the Jets have allowed the fewest yards per game to receivers this season with 120.6.
It might feel inevitable that Jefferson goes over, as he’s in the midst of a stretch with 98 or more yards in seven of his last eight games. He’s only one game removed from a 33-yard showing, though, and the Jets can pressure quarterback Kirk Cousins all game long. It’s possible Jefferson has a human performance and doesn’t go off.
