Four quarterbacks come off the board with the first four picks in Ian Cummings’ latest three-round 2027 NFL mock draft. Three in the first four selections has happened four times since 1936. Four straight has never happened at all. What makes it plausible here is that every one of those franchises committed to a quarterback this spring and apparently doesn’t trust the commitment.
Arizona used the 65th pick on Carson Beck. The Jets traded up to take Cade Klubnik at 110. Cleveland grabbed Taylen Green at 182. Miami handed Malik Willis $67.5 million with $45 million guaranteed. Cummings has all four right back in the market next April.
Arch Manning Headlines Cummings’ 2027 NFL Mock Draft QB Class
The Cardinals take Manning at No. 1, though Cummings doesn’t have him as the best passer in the class.
“My scouting grade of Manning is 87.27, which ranks him as the QB2 in the class behind Dante Moore,” the PFSN analyst said on the Hot List. “Absolutely needs to keep improving his accuracy, his situational precision, and his processing still has a level to rise before it can reach the ranks of the elite. But Arch Manning has elite athleticism, arm talent.”
Manning’s 2025 supports both halves of that. In his first year as Texas’ full-time starter he threw for 3,163 yards with 26 touchdowns against seven interceptions, added 399 yards and 10 scores on the ground, and posted a 78.0 QBR. Thirty-six total touchdowns is real production. It wasn’t the coronation anyone forecast in August.
Arizona’s appeal, in Cummings’ telling, is infrastructure. “Over the past four cycles since 2022, they’ve invested nine top-100 picks in offensive support players, including Paris Johnson Jr., Michael Wilson, Marvin Harrison Jr., Trey McBride, and Chase [Bisontis] and [Jeremiyah] Love this past cycle.” Love cost them the third overall pick and the largest guarantee ever handed a running back, which is a striking way to spend on a roster that still has no answer at quarterback.
Dante Moore goes second to Miami as Cummings’ actual QB1 at 89.22, and the fit is engineered rather than convenient. “Dante Moore does bear striking similarity to CJ Stroud. That’s my player comp for him, and that’s a QB that the Dolphins’ current offensive coordinator, Bobby [Slowik], had extensive experience with in Houston.”
CJ Carr and Drake Lindsey Are the Bets Nobody Else Is Making
Picks three and four are where this board separates from the field. Tankathon’s 2027 rankings put Carr outside their top 15 and don’t carry Lindsey among their listed quarterbacks at all. Cummings has them going back to back.
The Jets logic is bleak and specific. “The last time they had a top-15 QB in [PFN] impact was Ryan Fitzpatrick, FitzMagic, in 2015. And since then, it’s been a lot of sorrow, to be frank. And trading for Geno Smith, I don’t think, is gonna solve the issue. I think he’s a stopgap at best.”
Cleveland’s is worse. “They had four QBs who qualified for [PFN] QB Impact through 2024 and 2025, Jameis Winston, Shedeur Sanders, Deshaun Watson, and Dillon Gabriel, and their average [PFN] QB Impact grade between them was 63.9. You gotta stop kicking the can down the road and just get your guy.”
The omission is louder than any of the picks. Julian Sayin threw for 3,610 yards and 32 touchdowns, led the nation with a completion rate above 77%, and finished fourth in Heisman voting as a redshirt freshman. He’s 2027 eligible, ESPN lists him among the top 10 quarterbacks to know for the class, and he does not appear anywhere in Cummings’ 99 selections. Maybe that’s a bet he returns to Columbus. The mock doesn’t say.
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Trinidad Chambliss is the fifth passer, landing with Pittsburgh at No. 46, three rounds after the Steelers spent a third-rounder on Drew Allar in April. Chambliss turns 25 during his first training camp, which Cummings acknowledges before waving it off: “For me, Chambliss would be a no-brainer at this value.”
Cummings offers the standard July disclaimer that mocks this early explore fits rather than predict outcomes. Fine. But five franchises put real money or draft capital into a quarterback this spring, and one analyst’s board says none of it survives the season.
