Reigning BNP Paribas Open champion Jack Draper faces the resurgent Daniil Medvedev in the quarterfinals on Thursday. The Brit has been in excellent form at Indian Wells, eliminating Novak Djokovic in the last round. Meanwhile, Medvedev enters this match on an extended winning streak.
Jack Draper vs. Daniil Medvedev Match Details
Date: March 12, 2026
Tournament: BNP Paribas Open 2026
Round: Quarterfinals
Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California, USA
Surface: Outdoor hard
Category: ATP Masters 1000
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, TSN, TVA
Jack Draper vs. Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head
This will be only the second meeting between these two players, with the last one coming in Rome in 2024. Medvedev won that encounter in straight sets.
Draper is a much better player on hard courts, however, and will be full of confidence after defeating five-time Indian Wells champion Novak Djokovic in the last round in a grueling 4-6, 6-4, 7-6(5) battle.
The big-serving Brit’s service game has been on point so far in the Southern California desert. He fired 13 aces against Djokovic, taking his tally for the tournament to 26.
Medvedev’s defensive style of play could make him well placed to counter Draper. The Russian is also in excellent form at the moment. He has already won two titles this year, in Brisbane and Dubai, and has breezed through his first three matches at Indian Wells, taking his 2026 record to 16-3.
After a 6-2, 6-4 win over Alex Michelsen in the last round, Medvedev will be eager to continue his strong run on Thursday.
Jack Draper vs. Daniil Medvedev Prediction
The quick turnaround might work in Medvedev’s favor, as Draper goes into this one having already been pushed to three sets in two of his three matches at the tournament. Medvedev will certainly be the fresher of the two players, and he will hope to use that to his advantage by extending rallies.
It will be interesting to see whether Draper can execute his aggressive style of play and keep points short. But if Medvedev can negate Draper’s serve, which he is adept at, he would become the favorite to win this one.
Draper has had his fair share of injury struggles, and how far this match goes will certainly depend on his physical shape after his 4-6, 6-4, 7-6(5) win over Djokovic.
Ultimately, we believe that Medvedev’s experience and defensive approach will help him see off the challenge of Draper on Thursday. Make sure to predict all matches at the 2026 BNP Paribas Open with the help of the PFSN Simulator.
Pick: Medvedev to win in straight sets.
