The China Open 2025 is set for a blockbuster quarterfinal as Amanda Anisimova takes on Jasmine Paolini, a clash between two of the season’s most in-form players. Anisimova arrives here off a remarkable run. She secured her first WTA 1000 title at the Qatar Open, before a deep run at the US Open, where she defeated Iga Świątek and Naomi Osaka en route to her second career Grand Slam final.
At the China Open, Anisimova defeated Karolina Muchova to punch her ticket to the quarterfinals. On the other hand, Paolini holds a 35-15 season record and secured her QF spot after defeating Marie Bouzkova in straight sets.
Amanda Anisimova vs Jasmine Paolini Match Details
Date: Oct. 2, 2025
Tournament: China Open 2025
Round: Quarterfinals
Venue: National Tennis Center, Beijing, China
Category: WTA 1000
Surface: Outdoor Hard Court
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, TVA, TSN, ESPN International
Anisimova vs Paolini Head-to-Head
The head-to-head between Anisimova and Paolini currently stands 1-0 in favor of the American. The two clashed in the first round of the 2021 Emilia-Romagna Open in Parma, on clay. That match lasted 56 minutes and saw Anisimova dominate baseline rallies and service returns to win 6-2, 6-1.
Anisimova vs Paolini Prediction
Anisimova certainly has considerable firepower in her hard-court performance. Her season record of 39-16 is impressive. Her ability to generate aces (183) suggests she can take control with service games, though her 230 double faults might prove to be a liability. With a 71.2 % win rate in service games and 65.5 % first-serve points won, the 2025 US Open runner-up is efficient when she lands her first serve.
At the same time, Anisimova’s return game (39.0 % return games won) shows she can apply pressure when the opponent’s serve falters.
Meanwhile, Paolini is no slouch, especially in consistency and court craft. The World No. 8 possesses relatively stable service metrics: 68.3 % service games won, 40.6 % return games won, and 62.1 % first-serve points won. Compared to Anisimova, the Italian’s ace count (66) is quite modest and suggests she doesn’t rely on sheer serving power, but makes up for that with steadiness, good shot selection, and fewer high-risk efforts. Her double faults (86) are a lower burden relative to hers, which gives her a cleaner margin in tight moments.
Anisimova will try to dominate with power, pressing Paolini off the court, dictating rallies, and using her strong first serve to open up points. However, against a handler like Paolini, extended exchanges might favor the Italian, especially if the American error count grows. Nonetheless, considering their recent form, this matchup tilts slightly in Anisimova’s favor.
Prediction: Anisimova to win in three sets
