College football Week 6 features multiple all-ranked matchups and some scintillating rivalry games, all with postseason permutations at their heart. There are currently 100 teams with a mathematical possibility of reaching the College Football Playoff. Before the Week 6 action begins, which teams are leading the postseason race?
Our latest College Football Playoff predictions ahead of Week 6 showcase the probabilities that the PFSN College Football Playoff Meter (FPM) gives every team to clinch a playoff place, reach the semifinal stage, play in the title game, and ultimately win the biggest prize in college sports. If you don’t see your team, our metric gives them a 0% chance of making the playoff. Sorry.
Ole Miss Rebels
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 80.4%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 16.6%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 8.7%
Ohio State Buckeyes
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 74.3%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 27.5%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 17.7%
Oregon Ducks
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 68.2%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 18.4%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 10.5%
Indiana Hoosiers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 51.0%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 8.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 3.7%
Iowa State Cyclones
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 49.3%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 8.7%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 3.8%
Texas A&M Aggies
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 48.9%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 7.7%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 3.7%
Tennessee Volunteers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 45.8%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 7.9%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 4.1%
Texas Tech Red Raiders
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 45.5%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 8.8%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 4.1%
Missouri Tigers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 43.0%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 4.4%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 1.9%
Texas Longhorns
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 40.7%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 9.5%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 5.1%
Georgia Bulldogs
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 38.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 6.6%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 3.4%
Oklahoma Sooners
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 36.5%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 5.8%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 2.8%
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 36.3%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 5.3%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 2.2%
LSU Tigers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 35.8%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 5.6%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 2.7%
Miami Hurricanes
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 34.8%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 7.6%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 3.6%
Vanderbilt Commodores
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 33.9%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 3.5%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 1.5%
Alabama Crimson Tide
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 33.8%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 6.9%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 3.5%
Louisville Cardinals
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 28.9%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 5.3%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 2.3%
BYU Cougars
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 28.3%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 4.5%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 2.0%
Arizona State Sun Devils
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 26.8%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 5.6%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 2.5%
Penn State Nittany Lions
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 20.3%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 4.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 2.1%
Tulane Green Wave
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 20.0%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.4%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.1%
Illinois Fighting Illini
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 19.8%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 2.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.9%
Michigan Wolverines
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 17.5%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 2.6%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 1.1%
Memphis Tigers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 16.5%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.3%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.1%
North Texas Mean Green
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 16.5%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.2%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.1%
USC Trojans
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 15.9%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 1.7%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.7%
Utah Utes
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 15.4%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 2.3%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 1.0%
Duke Blue Devils
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 12.0%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 1.4%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.5%
Mississippi State Bulldogs
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 9.9%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.6%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.2%
South Florida Bulls
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 9.6%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Virginia Cavaliers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 9.6%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 1.4%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.5%
Navy Midshipmen
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 9.3%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Maryland Terrapins
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 8.6%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.3%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.1%
Houston Cougars
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 8.4%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.5%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.1%
Florida State Seminoles
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 8.3%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 1.3%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.5%
Washington Huskies
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 7.8%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.6%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.2%
Boise State Broncos
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 7.6%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.2%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
UNLV Rebels
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 7.4%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 6.4%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.7%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.3%
Auburn Tigers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 6.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.3%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.1%
California Golden Bears
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 5.7%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.5%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.2%
Minnesota Golden Gophers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 5.5%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.5%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.2%
James Madison Dukes
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 4.9%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Arizona Wildcats
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 4.2%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.3%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.1%
Cincinnati Bearcats
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 4.2%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.4%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.1%
TCU Horned Frogs
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 4.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.3%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.1%
SMU Mustangs
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 3.9%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.4%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.2%
South Carolina Gamecocks
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 3.6%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.3%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.1%
Nebraska Cornhuskers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 3.5%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.1%
Baylor Bears
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 3.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.4%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.2%
Syracuse Orange
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 2.7%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.3%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.1%
Iowa Hawkeyes
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 2.7%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.3%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.1%
Fresno State Bulldogs
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 1.7%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
UCF Knights
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 1.5%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
New Mexico Lobos
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 1.2%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
North Carolina Tar Heels
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 1.2%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Kansas State Wildcats
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 1.2%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.2%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.1%
Virginia Tech Hokies
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 1.2%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Kansas Jayhawks
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 1.2%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
East Carolina Pirates
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 1.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Texas State Bobcats
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 1.0%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Michigan State Spartans
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.9%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Pittsburgh Panthers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.9%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Ohio Bobcats
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.8%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
NC State Wolfpack
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.8%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Clemson Tigers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.6%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
UTSA Roadrunners
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.4%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Old Dominion Monarchs
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.4%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Utah State Aggies
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.3%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Temple Owls
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.3%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Stanford Cardinal
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.3%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Rice Owls
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.3%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Boston College Eagles
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.2%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.2%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Colorado Buffaloes
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.2%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
San Diego State Aztecs
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Arkansas Razorbacks
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Kentucky Wildcats
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
West Virginia Mountaineers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Florida Gators
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Purdue Boilermakers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Oklahoma State Cowboys
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Toledo Rockets
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.1%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Wisconsin Badgers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.04%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Northwestern Wildcats
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.04%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Troy Trojans
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.04%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.04%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Bowling Green Falcons
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.02%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Western Michigan Broncos
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.02%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.02%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
South Alabama Jaguars
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.01%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Miami RedHawks
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.01%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Army Black Knights
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.01%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Appalachian State Mountaineers
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.01%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
Central Michigan Chippewas
- College Football Playoff Percentage: 0.01%
- College Football Playoff National Championship Game Percentage: 0.0%
- College Football National Champion Percentage: 0.0%
