The third-round clash between Jessica Pegula and Victoria Azarenka at the US Open promises to showcase the energy of a rising American contender against the experience of a battle-tested former World No. 1, Azarenka.
Seeded fourth and last year’s runner-up in New York, Pegula entered this year’s Major eager to shake off a patchy North American swing, where she suffered early exits in Washington, Montreal, and Cincinnati. However, under the lights of Flushing Meadows, she’s swept aside Mayar Sherif and Anna Blinkova in dominant fashion.
Across the net stands Azarenka, now ranked outside the top 100 but still one of the sport’s fiercest competitors. The two-time Australian Open champion has endured a subdued 2025 season, yet looked rejuvenated in New York, moving past Hina Inoue and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova without dropping a set.
Jessica Pegula vs. Victoria Azarenka Match Details
- Date: August 29, 2025
- Tournament: US Open
- Round: Third Round
- Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, Queens, New York City
- Category: Grand Slam
- Surface: Outdoor hard
- Live telecast: ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPN+, Hulu + Live TV, YouTube TV and Sling TV
Pegula vs. Azarenka Head-to-Head
Pegula and Azarenka have battled six times on the professional tour, with both holding three match wins apiece. Their head-to-head is evenly poised at 3–3.
It will be another WTA 1000 final before she heads to Fort Worth ✈️
🇺🇸 @JLPegula overcomes Azarenka, 7-6(3), 6-1 in Guadalajara!#GDLOPENAKRON pic.twitter.com/djE9bnejDo
— wta (@WTA) October 22, 2022
Their most recent showdown occurred in the Credit One Charleston Open quarterfinals on April 5, 2024, where Pegula won in a classic three-set duel with a final scoreline of 6–4, 3–6, 7–6(7).
Pegula vs. Azarenka Prediction
Pegula enters the US Open with a solid 2025 hard-court win-loss record of 24–9, maintaining a strong season on fast surfaces. Overall, her year-to-date record stands at 39–16. On the other hand, Azarenka remains a seasoned player on hard courts, with consistent success at major events, and currently holds a modest 6-6 win-loss record on hard courts this season.
Pegula maintains a respectable first-serve percentage of 61.5%, averaging 2.4 aces per match, while committing just 2.36 double faults per match. Azarenka’s service stats include a 1st serve percentage: 62.0%; first-serve points won: 63.7%, alongside a serve games won rate of 60.5%.
MORE: Jessica Pegula Gets Honest on What Makes US Open ‘Much More Open’
Pegula relies on baseline precision and a counter-punching court craft. Her serve is steady, allowing her to stay aggressive yet controlled. On the other hand, Azarenka remains a heavy-hitting, aggressive returner with a fierce drive and mental grit, especially in Grand Slams. The Belarusian’s return games, particularly on second serves, are still feared, making her a potent threat if she’s fully match-ready.
Considering their current form, Pegula’s superior seasonal overall results (39–16 vs. Azarenka’s 11-11) and more consistent serve metrics, the American holds a clear edge going into this matchup.
Prediction – Pegula to win in three sets.
