As the US Open progresses into the third round, American sensation Ben Shelton and veteran Adrian Mannarino prepare for a fascinating clash that pits youthful firepower against seasoned finesse. Shelton, fresh off powerful straight-set triumphs over Peru’s Ignacio Buse and Spain’s Pablo Carreno Busta, has looked dominant. The 22-year-old has dropped no service games while showcasing a strong net game.
This tournament represents another opportunity for the 22-year-old, currently ATP world No. 5, to edge ahead in the race for the mantle of American No. 1. His breakout season includes semifinal runs at the Australian Open and a Masters 1000 title in Toronto, enhancing his credibility as a Grand Slam contender.
Ben Shelton vs. Adrian Mannarino Match Details
- Date: Aug. 29, 2025
- Tournament:Â US Open
- Round: Third Round
- Venue:Â USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, Queens, New York City
- Category:Â Grand Slam
- Surface:Â Outdoor hard
- Live telecast:Â ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPN+, Hulu + Live TV, YouTube TV and Sling TV
Shelton vs. Mannarino Head-to-Head
As of August 2025, Shelton and Mannarino have met twice before on the ATP Tour, each emerging victorious once, which makes their head-to-head tied at 1–1. Their most recent encounter was recorded on Jul. 30, 2025, in the second round of the National Bank Open in Toronto.
The match saw Shelton win in straight sets, 6-2, 6-3. Before that, Mannarino claimed their first meeting in an exciting clash at the 2024 Australian Open, outlasting Shelton in five sets. The showdown lasted approximately four hours and 47 minutes.
Shelton vs. Mannarino Prediction
Shelton has quickly established himself as one of the most dangerous young players on the ATP Tour. With a career win-loss record of 106-70 and a service games won rate of 87%, his attacking baseline game and aggressive serving have been particularly effective on hard courts.
Mannarino, meanwhile, has secured a career win-loss record of 311-353, built more on consistency and tactical variety than outright power. His 1st-serve points won rate stands at 70%, and he has struck 3,064 aces to date.
A sharp performance from Ben Shelton! pic.twitter.com/VEOLU4MB5b
— US Open Tennis (@usopen) August 28, 2025
Shelton’s serve is one of his biggest weapons. He has delivered 1,728 aces, maintained a 65% first-serve percentage, and won 76% of first-serve points along with 54% on his second serve. He has also saved 69% of break points faced, a figure among the best on tour.
Mannarino’s serve, though less explosive, is steady; he owns a 60%first-serve percentage, wins 70% of first-serve points, and 51% of second-serve points, while his break-point save rate is 59%.
Shelton’s game thrives on first-strike tennis, with heavy groundstrokes and a willingness to close points at the net. His break-point save percentage of 67.1% ranks him fifth on tour overall and third among top 10 players, only behind Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz.
Based on the statistical profile, Ben Shelton is the stronger pick. His serve metrics, particularly the combination of a high first-serve points won percentage and an elite break-point save rate, suggest he can dictate play and weather pressure moments more effectively than Mannarino.
Prediction: Shelton to win in straight sets
