Emma Raducanu vs Peyton Stearns Canadian Open Preview — Head-to-Head and Prediction

Here's a detailed overview for the upcoming match between Emma Raducanu and Peyton Stearns at the Canadian Open.

The upcoming second-round clash at the National Bank Open between Emma Raducanu and Peyton Stearns promises high intensity. The British WTA star returns to Montreal after a deep run in Washington, while Stearns takes centre stage as the 32nd seed in Canada in search of a breakthrough on hard courts.

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Emma Raducanu vs Peyton Stearns Head-to-Head

Raducanu enters this match fresh from a notable semi‑final run at the Citi Open in Washington. She defeated Naomi Osaka, Marta Kostyuk, and Maria Sakkari during this campaign before losing to Anna Kalinskaya. She defeated Elena‑Gabriela Ruse 6‑2, 6‑4 in straight sets, sealing her first career win in Canada and moving up 13 spots to world No. 33 (her highest rank since 2022).

Stearns, currently seeded No. 32 in Montreal, has had a more inconsistent season. She reached her career‑high ranking of No. 28. This made her the first player in the Open Era to win three straight WTA Tour main‑draw matches in third‑set tiebreaks at the Italian Open by taking down Madison Keys, Osaka, and Elina Svitolina.

Raducanu and Stearns have faced each other twice on the professional tour, with Raducanu leading the head‑to‑head 2–0. Both matches took place on hard courts in 2024, and Raducanu won each match in straight sets, dropping just four games across the four sets contested.

Their most recent meeting was at the first round of the 2024 Korea Open in Seoul, where Raducanu won 7‑6(4), 7‑6(5) in a tense contest lasting approximately two hours and 43 minutes.

Match Details

  • Fixture: Emma Raducanu vs Peyton Stearns
  • Date: July 30, 2025
  • Tournament: Canadian Open (Omnium Banque Nationale présenté par Rogers)
  • Round: Round of 64
  • Venue: IGA Stadium, Montreal, Canada
  • Category: WTA 1000
  • Surface: Outdoor hard courts
  • Live telecast: USA – Tennis Channel, TC Plus| UK – Sky Sports | Canada – Sportsnet, TVA

Emma Raducanu vs Peyton Stearns Prediction

Raducanu enters this clash with strong hard‑court credentials in 2025. She holds an 11–7 record outdoors on the surface, with 67 aces in 18 matches (averaging about 3.5 per match) and converting break points at a nearly 47% rate.

Her aggressive baseline game, marked by early ball striking and a world‑class two‑handed backhand, pairs with a high‑velocity first serve (peaking at ~110 mph) and a solid second serve around 93 mph to keep opponents on the defensive.

Stearns, on the other hand, has recorded seven wins from 16 outdoor hard‑court matches (7–9), hitting an average of 3.2 aces per match and saving about 65% of break points while winning just under 52% of pressure points overall on the surface. Stearns relies on consistency and shot selection over raw power, though her win‐rate on indoor hard (~68%) suggests she’s most effective under controlled conditions.

Raducanu’s serve efficiency on this hard‑court swing is notable, with around 66% first‑serve percentage, roughly 59% first‑serve points won, and minimal double faults (~3.4 per match), winning over 56% of pressure points.

Considering the statistical contrast and playing styles, Raducanu is expected to control the match from the baseline and on serve, leaving Stearns to try and wrestle through extended rallies.

Prediction: Raducanu to win in straight sets

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