2024 Redraft Mock Draft (Non-PPR 1QB): Do Bijan Robinson and Breece Hall Climb Into the Top 5?

Given the drastic impact non-PPR formats have on the WR position, where did RBs like Bijan Robinson and Breece Hall land in this 2024 1QB non-PPR redraft mock?

The difference in strategy between full-PPR and non-PPR fantasy football leagues should be very different towards the top of your draft, given the drastic impact it has on the WR position.

Need proof? Well, in full-PPR formats, 33 WRs scored over 200 fantasy points in 2023. When you switch the scoring setting to non-PPR rules, only four WRs scored north of 200 fantasy points.

In comparison to the RB position, 18 backs scored 200+ points in full PPR, while eight backs reached that benchmark in non-PPR formats.

Given the drastic scoring difference in this format, here is how our 2024 redraft mock shook out in a non-PPR 1QB league setting.

2024 Redraft Mock Draft in a Non-PPR 1QB Format

1.01) Christian McCaffrey, RB, San Francisco 49ers

In full-PPR formats, the discussion can certainly become a bit more of a debate as to who the 1.01 overall pick should be. In non-PPR leagues, I don’t see a compelling argument for anyone other than San Francisco 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey.

McCaffrey’s 2,023 total yards and 21 touchdowns from scrimmage made him the top Flex scoring player by a margin of 56.1 fantasy points in 2023.

Outside of him approaching the age cliff, there is nothing about his performance or situation that suggests McCaffrey shouldn’t be the top overall selection in fantasy drafts.

1.02) CeeDee Lamb, WR, Dallas Cowboys

The player McCaffrey outscored by 56.1 fantasy points last year was Dallas Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb, whose outstanding 135 receptions for 1,749 yards and 12 TDs made him an elite fantasy performer.

Lamb is in search of a new contract at the moment, which could cast a small cloud of uncertainty for his 2024 outlook. Yet, his elite target share, usage in the red zone, and outstanding overall production — with his targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns all increasing every single year of his NFL career — make him an easy top-five pick in fantasy drafts, even in this format.

1.03) Bijan Robinson, RB, Atlanta Falcons

This is where you will begin to see my preference to load up on RBs over WRs in this scoring format.

The Atlanta Falcons’ offense was a confusing mess last year, with head coach Arthur Smith refusing to feature Bijan Robinson and the substandard quarterback play of quarterback Desmond Ridder. Well, both of those issues have been resolved this offseason.

The Falcons addressed the quarterback position this year by signing veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins to a lucrative four-year deal and using the No. 8 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft on QB Michael Penix Jr., which could act as an insurance policy to Cousins, who is still recovering from a torn Achilles from last season.

Additionally, the team hired Zac Robinson — who worked under Sean McVay as a member of the Los Angeles Rams coaching staff last year — as their new offensive coordinator, and the Rams weren’t shy about featuring Kyren Williams as their bell cow back in 2023.

If Robinson’s offense can generate more scoring opportunities with improved quarterback play and Robinson justifiably sees an uptick in usage — where he still finished the year as the RB12 in non-PPR formats last season — we could see a huge jump into the fantasy elite in 2024.

1.04) Breece Hall, RB, New York Jets

In full-PPR formats, Breece Hall’s league-leading 76 receptions at the RB position was nothing short of fantasy gold and led to an RB2 overall finish on one of the worst offenses in the NFL.

Unfortunately, those receptions not accounting for anything in non-PPR formats pushed him all the way down to RB7 overall, with his 1,485 total yards and nine total TDs lowering his fantasy production a bit in a putrid offense.

Yet, we still saw a ton of encouraging signs from Hall despite being forced to play with Zach Wilson, Trevor Siemian, and Tim Boyle under center for the majority of last year while working his way back from a torn ACL.

If Aaron Rodgers produces even middle-of-the-road quarterback production in 2024, Hall’s TD ceiling will rise immensely, ultimately raising his upside in standard scoring formats.

MORE: 6 Fantasy Football Sleepers to Target in Redraft Leagues

1.05) Tyreek Hill, WR, Miami Dolphins

It could feel like stealing to draft a player who has produced a minimum of 119 receptions for 1,700+ yards over the last two years at 1.05 overall, but Miami Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill does have a legitimate 1.01 overall case regardless of format with his exceptional play and fit in this Mike McDaniel offensive scheme.

Could age begin to become a factor for a player who is well renowned for his revolutionary speed if he even loses half a step this year? Sure, but his on-field GPS metrics and elite fantasy numbers last year suggest he hasn’t lost a step yet.

Assuming his role remains the same in this high-powered Dolphins offense, then Hill is one of the safest picks in all of fantasy football.

1.06) Ja’Marr Chase, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

Despite setting a career-high with 100 receptions last year, Cincinnati Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase’s WR13 finish in non-PPR formats still feels like a major disappointment for those who spent a first-round pick in their fantasy draft on the talented receiver.

Well, I’m willing to double down on a player like Chase seeing as he still is as talented as any receiver in the league. Not to mention, he still has Joe Burrow throwing him the football, and Tee Higgins’ contract situation isn’t exactly one that inspires a ton of confidence this upcoming season.

After the slow start for the entire Cincy offense due to Burrow’s calf injury through the first month of the season, Chase still rattled off three performances with five+ receptions, 100+ yards, and at least one score from Weeks 5 to 10 (five games) to showcase he still has the elite upside that warrants this type of pick.

1.07) Justin Jefferson, WR, Minnesota Vikings

There is no denying how special of a player Minnesota Vikings WR Justin Jefferson has been through the first three years of his career. In fact, no player has more receiving yards under the age of 25 than Jefferson — 5,899 yards — in NFL history.

The problem with his 2024 outlook is the unknown level of quarterback play with either veteran Sam Darnold or rookie J.J. McCarthy set to take over under center with Cousins now in Atlanta.

Does this mean Jefferson’s production is automatically going to fall off a cliff? Absolutely not. But could his fantasy ceiling be lowered a bit without the reliability of Cousins feeding him the football early, often, and always? Sure, it is within the range of outcomes.

Jefferson is still in the conversation for the best WR in the NFL, but his situation does come with a bit less certainty than some of the other players listed ahead of him on this list.

1.08) Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Detroit Lions

One such player we don’t have to worry about the level of his quarterback play — or the offense’s output in general — is Detroit Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, who has improved in every major statistical category every year of his NFL career.

Despite the additions of both Sam LaPorta (TE1 overall) and Jahmyr Gibbs (RB10 overall), who saw a combined 191 targets last year, St. Brown still posted a career year of 119 receptions for 1,515 yards and 10 TDs on 164 targets in 2023.

The exact same cast of characters is returning for this season, which makes it difficult to project any significant reduced role for the Sun God in 2024.

1.09) Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Detroit Lions

Speaking of Gibbs, he actually didn’t finish as the top-scoring fantasy back in his own backfield in non-PPR formats last year, with David Montgomery producing an RB9 finish of 1,015 yards and 13 rushing TDs in 2023. Yet, Gibbs was far more efficient, explosive, and utilized in the passing game than Montgomery last year.

The rushing workload was much closer to a 50-50 split over the back half of the year with Gibbs still dominating the volume in the passing game during that stretch.

If Gibbs sees his role expand on the ground enough to slightly see more carries than Montgomery and earn some carries from inside the 5-yard line this season, then Gibbs could have an RB1 overall fantasy ceiling in 2024.

1.10) Jonathan Taylor, RB, Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts RB Jonathan Taylor had a second consecutive weird fantasy season after a contract holdout that went public. He missed four games to start the year and dislocated his thumb in the middle of the season, disappointing managers again in 2023.

It wasn’t all bad, though. Taylor finished very strong by scoring a rushing touchdown in his final three games while capping off his 2023 campaign with a 188-yard rushing performance in the season finale.

Taylor is still an elite back in the NFL and could be playing in the best scoring offense of his career if second-year quarterback Anthony Richardson elevates this offense among the elite this upcoming year.

1.11) Kyren Williams, RB, Los Angeles Rams

When you and McCaffrey are the only two names that come up when you mention the stats of fantasy points per game and total touches per game, then you know it’s a player worth getting excited about for fantasy football.

Kyren Williams came out of nowhere to finish as the RB4 overall in non-PPR leagues with 1,144 rushing yards and 12 rushing TDs to go with an additional 206 yards and three more scores on 32 receptions in the passing game last season. It is worth mentioning he did this while missing five games.

If you are scared off by the team drafting Blake Corum in the third round, I would suggest you ask yourself this question: What do you feel Corum does definitively better than Williams?

If you have a handful of answers to that question, then don’t draft Williams here.

My ranking makes it clear that Williams offers everything Corum does as a runner but is an exponentially better option in the passing game, which makes it hard for me to believe he is going to get Williams off the field enough to make him not a top-10 fantasy back in 2024.

1.12) Garrett Wilson, WR, New York Jets

This may seem a bit aggressive for a player who hasn’t finished higher than the WR21 in non-PPR formats over his two years in the NFL. Yet, can we provide this production with just a little bit of context?

We can all agree that catching passes from quarterbacks like Zach Wilson, Trevor Siemian, and Tim Boyle isn’t likely to help you realize your full fantasy potential, correct? Yes.

Can we all agree that quarterback Aaron Rodgers has a lengthy track record of helping elevate dynamic playmakers at receiver to elite top 5 fantasy producers at the position during his NFL career? Yes.

I understand he hasn’t done it yet, but let’s not pretend the potential impact of a future Hall of Fame quarterback can’t elevate his game to the next level.

2024 Redraft Mock Draft | Rounds 2-6

2.01) A.J. Brown, WR, Philadelphia Eagles
2.02) Josh Jacobs, RB, Green Bay Packers
2.03) Derrick Henry, RB, Baltimore Ravens
2.04) Puka Nacua, WR, Los Angeles Rams
2.05) Saquon Barkley, RB, Philadelphia Eagles
2.06) Travis Etienne Jr., RB, Jacksonville Jaguars
2.07) Michael Pittman Jr., WR, Indianapolis Colts
2.08) De’Von Achane, RB, Miami Dolphins
2.09) Marvin Harrison Jr., WR, Arizona Cardinals
2.10) Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills
2.11) Drake London, WR, Atlanta Falcons
2.12) Rachaad White, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

3.01) Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles
3.02) Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco 49ers
3.03) Brandon Aiyuk, WR, San Francisco 49ers
3.04) Chris Olave, WR, New Orleans Saints
3.05) Isiah Pacheco, RB, Kansas City Chiefs
3.06) Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3.07) D.J. Moore, WR, Chicago Bears
3.08) Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs
3.09) Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens
3.10) Davante Adams, WR, Las Vegas Raiders
3.11) Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs
3.12) Jaylen Waddle, WR, Miami Dolphins

4.01) Sam LaPorta, TE, Detroit Lions
4.02) Malik Nabers, WR, New York Giants
4.03) Amari Cooper, WR, Cleveland Browns
4.04) Joe Mixon, RB, Houston Texans
4.05) James Cook, RB, Buffalo Bills
4.06) Trey McBride, TE, Arizona Cardinals
4.07) Cooper Kupp, WR, Los Angeles Rams
4.08) Anthony Richardson, QB, Indianapolis Colts
4.09) Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints
4.10) Mark Andrews, TE, Baltimore Ravens
4.11) Nico Collins, WR, Houston Texans
4.12) Keenan Allen, WR, Chicago Bears

5.01) Kenneth Walker III, RB, Seattle Seahawks
5.02) Raheem Mostert, RB, Miami Dolphins
5.03) D.K. Metcalf, WR, Seattle Seahawks
5.04) DeVonta Smith, WR, Philadelphia Eagles
5.05) C.J. Stroud, QB, Houston Texans
5.06) Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals
5.07) Zay Flowers, WR, Baltimore Ravens
5.08) Christian Kirk, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars
5.09) Rashee Rice, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
5.10) Stefon Diggs, WR, Houston Texans
5.11) Aaron Jones, RB, Minnesota Vikings
5.12) Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

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