2022 dynasty rookie rankings: Where do Breece Hall, Kenneth Walker III, and Treylon Burks sit?

As focus turns toward the incoming class ready to make their mark on the NFL, here are our updated post-draft 2022 dynasty rookie rankings.

Those deeply ingrained in the dynasty fantasy football world know there is no true offseason. The transition from redraft and traditional fantasy football leagues gives way to one of the best times of the year as we dive into the upcoming class of rookies set to join the NFL. With the NFL draft in the rearview mirror, here are the overall 2022 dynasty rookie rankings.

2022 dynasty rookie rankings | 1-10

For these rankings, we are using 1QB as the default roster and PPR as the scoring format. Starting with the 1.01, let’s work our way through the first 10 spots.

1) Breece Hall, New York Jets (RB1)

Breece Hall did everything at Iowa State. He rushed for 3,931 rushing yards, including 1,472 in 2021. He set an FBS record with a touchdown in 24 straight games and was fourth in the nation in all-purpose yards at 147.2 per game. Hall then went on to run a 4.39 40-yard dash and posted a class-best 40″ vertical and 126″ broad jump.

The RB1 in the eyes of the vast majority of the fantasy community was also the first running back selected in the NFL draft. Not only was he drafted, but the New York Jets traded up to pick No. 36 to select the Iowa State bell cow.

Hall will come in as the lead back, pushing Michael Carter into the No. 2 role, absorbing the roles of both Tevin Coleman and Ty Johnson. While Carter can match Hall in the receiving game, Hall is a more well-rounded rusher. He will lead the RB touches/opportunities as the Jets move to a two-back scheme. It’s hard to make a case for anyone else to be the 1.01 in 2022 dynasty rookie rankings.

2) Kenneth Walker III, Seattle Seahawks (RB2)

A transfer from Wake Forest, Kenneth Walker III was a completely different back once he landed in East Lansing. On his very first carry as a Spartan, he had a 75-yard house call and eventually ended the game against Northwestern with 275 yards and four TDs. Walker finished the season with 1,636 rushing yards and 18 touchdowns.

Walker was No. 1 in the NCAA in yards after contact (1,169) and would rank 19th in the nation in rushing using only that total. He was No. 1 in the FBS in carries of 10+ yards (46) and 15+ yards (30).

From a pure-rushing standpoint, Walker is the best of the class. Knowing the injury history of both Rashaad Penny and Chris Carson, along with their current contract situations, Walker is set to become the No. 1 in Seattle. The question is when, as they will likely run a committee for the 2022 season.

Yet, as we know, this can quickly change. Given there are really just two running backs worth targeting in this class, positional scarcity — along with talent — pushes Walker to the second overall pick.

3) Drake London, Atlanta Falcons (WR1)

Drake London has a big body (6’3 3/8″ and 219 pounds) and can win over top of you and generate separation at all three levels of the route. Now, he gets to be the focal point at the receiver position alongside Kyle Pitts at tight end. Behind London, it’s a newly added Bryan Edwards, Olamide Zaccheaus, KhaDarel Hodge, and Auden Tate. London is the undisputed No. 1, and it’s not even close. He’ll see a ~25% target share starting Day 1.

London lined up in the slot 96% of the time during his first two seasons at USC, but he flipped to 85% perimeter in 2021 and had a breakout campaign. Those saying he is just a contested-catch receiver either have not watched the film or want to push a narrative. Receiving a massive 38% target share, London had 88 receptions, 1,084 yards, and 7 touchdowns. That’s not a contested-catch stat line. Atlanta can rotate him and Pitts inside and out to create mismatches on every play.

Add in the fact that he’s one of the younger players in the draft (21 in July), and you have a WR1 for a long time on your roster. London to the freaking moon. My pre-draft WR1 holds his spot in post-draft updates.

4) Treylon Burks, Tennessee Titans (WR2)

At 6’2″ and 225 pounds, Treylon Burks has the mix of size and speed we covet in next-level alpha receivers. Yes, he did disappoint at the NFL Combine. I get it. However, I’m not letting this offset all his high-level game tape, and neither are the Tennessee Titans.

After pulling off a blockbuster trade, sending superstar WR A.J. Brown to the Philadelphia Eagles, Tennessee was quick to draft his replacement at pick 18.

Let’s just examine the role Burks is filling. In Brown’s three years with the Titans (43 games), he recorded a 23% target share and 26.5% over the last two seasons. He also saw 44% of the WR targets the last two years with 45% of the yards. That equated to nearly 3,000 yards and a 15.1 PPR/game average along the way.

Sure, Burks is not a 1-to-1 fit, nor is he the prospect Brown was coming out of Ole Miss. But if you’re telling me he can inherit this type of utilization, I’m all in. We know a player who excels after the catch can succeed even in a run-first offense. Burks fits that bill perfectly.

5) Garrett Wilson, New York Jets (WR3)

Many have Garrett Wilson as their WR1, and I understand entirely based on the film. However, it’s the landing spot that is less than ideal when compared to London or Burks. For one, we are banking on a significant improvement from Zach Wilson. Burks gets the edge at QB.

There is also the concern it is a slightly crowded offense for targets. Not only does Elijah Moore have a ton of potential, but Corey Davis is still there, as is Braxton Berrios. Throw in the recently signed C.J. Uzomah with Carter and now Hall out of the backfield — Wilson is unlikely to see the target share London will receive. I even give the early edge to Moore as the 2022 target leader.

Yet, as we know, dynasty is all about projecting years down the line. The long-term upside of Wilson is as high as anyone else in this year’s class.

Wilson’s a nuanced route runner who gets out of his breaks efficiently, can manipulate a CB with his feet, and has the footwork to quickly stack a defender and use his speed to get separation. Wilson backed up his explosiveness with a 4.38 40-yard dash, 36″ vertical, and 123″ broad jump in Indy. We’ll know in a few years who was the best receiver in the group. But I’m not letting a talent like Wilson fall past me in the middle of the first.

6) Jameson Williams, Detroit Lions (WR4)

An Ohio State transfer, Jameson Williams was unquestionably the nation’s top receiver. Recording 79 receptions, Williams totaled 1,572 yards and 15 touchdowns for the Crimson Tide. Last season, he had seven games with 100+ receiving yards and hauled in multiple touchdowns in four separate contests.

The only concern for Williams comes down to the torn ACL he sustained in the CFP National Championship Game. Clearly, this was not a concern for the Lions, who traded up 20 spots to select him. Williams will be a weapon over the middle and deep for this team. Even with the possibility of starting his career on the PUP, Williams could explode if the Lions select one of the top QBs in the 2023 class. Draft now, win later.

7) Skyy Moore, Kansas City Chiefs (WR5)

The minute this pick was made, the sound you heard was Skyy Moore’s ADP skyrocketing. Get used to the puns, they won’t stop anytime soon. (This is especially so when we consider Moore will be paired with Patrick Mahomes for the next four years at least.)

Moore is on the smaller side, standing around 5’9 1/2″, 195 pounds, but his talent jumps off the screen. He gears up incredibly quick off the line, breaks down very well at the stem, and sinks to get in and out of his cuts. He was a massive contributor for the Broncos, soaking up 30% of the targets in his three years both on the inside (39% slot rate) and outside.

JuJu Smith-Schuster is on a one-year contract. We could see Moore develop as a rookie and become Mahomes’ top target in 2023. That, along with the draft capital, makes Moore one of the biggest winners of the draft. With that said we likely won’t see the full upside of Moore until 2023, but he could have a few splash moments this season.

8) Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints (WR6)

Chris Olave is one of — if not the — best route runners in the draft. He’s a downfield threat and can work in the NFL in a multitude of roles. His separation skills are top-notch, as was his penchant for finding the end zone on his way to setting a new Ohio State record with 35 touchdowns.

Olave is on the thin side (6’0 3/8″ and 187 pounds), but he has a lightning-quick change of direction and posted a blazing 4.39 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine. He can play inside and out (28% slot in 2021) and does most of his damage downfield (14.1 aDOT).

Olave was the locked-in WR2 option, but after the Saints signed Jarvis Landry, he slips to the No. 3 for at least the 2022 season. Still, it’s a one-year deal, so he remains in a good spot to become a productive receiver down the road. Depending on how the quarterback situation develops, Olave could become one of the more consistent PPR receivers in the league. Even if the tape doesn’t wow you, the draft capital — No. 11 overall — does.

9) George Pickens, Pittsburgh Steelers (WR7)

If he hadn’t torn his ACL coming into the 2021 season, George Pickens could have been a Tier 1 receiver in rookie drafts. At 6’3 1/4″ and 195 pounds, Pickens is a bit wiry. But from a skills and traits aspect, he checks every single box. His body control is superb, and he catches the ball away from his body as well as anyone.

The Steelers drafted their QB of the future in Kenny Pickett, and hopefully, their WR1 of the future as well. Pickens will have a shot to challenge Chase Claypool from the get-go and is a more polished receiver. With Diontae Johnson in the final year of his contract, Pickens is awaiting in the wings for a massive target share and opportunity.

10) James Cook, Buffalo Bills (RB3)

James Cook‘s catching ability and versatility are unparalleled in the 2022 fantasy rookie class. He did it all. Whether it was out of the backfield on swing passes, angle routes against linebackers, in the slot, or even split out wide. And he wasn’t just a decoy. He was a legitimate threat in the Z for Stetson Bennett.

Cook has excellent speed, both in the long game and via his acceleration and burst. He’s a rapid runner and can easily take the edge or hit daylight. On multiple occasions, Cook would rattle off chunk plays. In fact, almost 40% of his 2021 rushing total (290) came on rushes of 10+ yards. That is the skill set the Bills are banking on. After striking out on J.D. McKissic, the Bills have their passing back.

As for how things will shake out, it could be complicated in 2022. Devin Singletary is a two-down back that won’t see consistent red-zone attempts or passing utilization due to Cook. Zack Moss will just be annoying when on the field. And while Cook won’t be used as a rusher in the red zone, he will be deployed as a passing and two-minute back.

However, it’s clear the Bills love him and have a plan. They feel they need a legitimate passing RB. The Cook selection only happened because they missed out on McKissic during free agency, but in the end, they get a younger version with more upside in Cook. It feels like dynasty managers either love him or were burned by Clyde Edwards-Helaire a few years back as his value went through the ceiling based on draft capital. There are certainly similarities and parallels to be drawn.

Tommy Garrett is a Fantasy Analyst for Pro Football Network and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA). You can read all of Tommy’s work here and give him a follow on Twitter: @TommyGarrettPFN.