Football Playoff Meter
2026 season projections from 100,000 simulations of playoff odds, seeds, and draft picks
Best Playoff Odds
Buffalo Bills77.2%
Make Playoffs %
SB Favorite
Buffalo Bills9.8%
Win Super Bowl %
Most Likely #1 Pick
New York Jets11.1%
#1 Overall Pick %
Longest Shot
Arizona Cardinals7.7%
Make Playoffs %
| Team | Avg W↕ | Div Win %↕ | Playoff %↓ | Div Rd %↕ | Conf %↕ | SB %↕ | SB Win %↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.1 | 57.6% | 77.2% | 54.0% | 31.9% | 18.4% | 9.8% | |
| 9.9 | 47.0% | 70.6% | 45.8% | 24.5% | 12.9% | 6.1% | |
| 9.8 | 48.6% | 70.5% | 46.1% | 25.4% | 13.8% | 7.2% | |
| 10.2 | 36.3% | 69.8% | 47.7% | 27.1% | 15.3% | 8.5% | |
| 10.0 | 31.7% | 66.1% | 44.4% | 24.8% | 13.5% | 7.9% | |
| 10.0 | 30.3% | 65.3% | 41.8% | 23.6% | 12.9% | 7.0% | |
| 9.8 | 32.6% | 62.2% | 39.1% | 20.0% | 10.9% | 6.0% | |
| 9.3 | 39.9% | 61.5% | 37.3% | 19.2% | 9.9% | 4.8% | |
| 9.7 | 31.3% | 61.3% | 38.8% | 20.9% | 10.8% | 6.0% | |
| 9.5 | 43.5% | 60.0% | 35.4% | 18.0% | 8.9% | 4.7% | |
| 9.6 | 27.6% | 56.4% | 33.0% | 15.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% | |
| 9.0 | 30.8% | 56.2% | 32.8% | 16.7% | 8.4% | 4.2% | |
| 9.1 | 30.0% | 55.9% | 31.4% | 15.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% | |
| 9.0 | 33.3% | 55.0% | 31.8% | 16.1% | 8.0% | 3.6% | |
| 8.7 | 26.0% | 49.8% | 27.3% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | |
| 8.4 | 35.3% | 43.8% | 20.9% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | |
| 8.5 | 24.6% | 40.6% | 20.7% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | |
| 8.1 | 18.1% | 37.7% | 19.6% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | |
| 8.1 | 16.6% | 37.5% | 18.4% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | |
| 8.3 | 21.6% | 35.6% | 18.1% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | |
| 8.0 | 16.6% | 35.2% | 17.2% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 7.8 | 24.4% | 31.9% | 14.1% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 7.7 | 22.1% | 29.0% | 11.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | |
| 7.8 | 8.5% | 25.2% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | |
| 7.3 | 18.2% | 24.8% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 7.3 | 10.3% | 23.8% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 7.4 | 10.4% | 20.1% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 6.9 | 7.3% | 18.6% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 7.0 | 6.4% | 18.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 6.7 | 6.3% | 16.9% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 6.7 | 5.4% | 15.4% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 6.3 | 1.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
