The Arizona Cardinals have traded CB Tay Gowan and a 2022 fifth-round pick for longtime Eagles TE Zach Ertz. This trade could impact at least 10 fantasy players. You might be rostering one or more of them. If so, here’s what Ertz’s move might mean for your fantasy football team.
Will Zach Ertz’s fantasy value change?
Ironically, one of the most difficult value assessments to make is Ertz’s. In Philadelphia this year, he averaged a modest 8.2 fantasy points per game — with his second-biggest output coming while fellow TE Dallas Goedert was sidelined. So let’s not go nuts for Ertz quite yet.
The Cardinals are loaded on offense. The veteran tight end could slot in as the No. 4 or No. 5 receiving option. With Chase Edmonds and James Conner also getting attention, Ertz’s production might be sporadic. For now, he should be viewed as a TD-dependent, streamable TE during bye weeks, with a little pop if things break right.
How will Ertz’s arrival impact Cardinals receivers?
Arizona’s biggest winner is Kyler Murray, who just lost ascending TE Maxx Williams to a potentially serious knee injury. Ertz will restore stability and give Murray another experienced pass catcher to help anchor a moderately youthful receiving corps.
The Cardinals’ top four wideouts should not see a significant value shift. A healthy Williams saw 15 total targets in Weeks 2-4 before getting hurt last weekend. It’s fair to assume Ertz will earn comparable attention, meaning DeAndre Hopkins, Christian Kirk, A.J. Green, and Rondale Moore would see roughly the same volume they’re accustomed to.
How will Ertz’s departure impact Philly’s receivers?
This is where things get more interesting. Ertz earned 31 of 147 targets to Philadelphia pass catchers. That’s a healthy 21% target share. A healthy Dallas Goedert should be the Eagles’ biggest winner. The 26-year-old has not earned more than 5 targets in any game this season. That should change when he’s back on the field. Goedert’s value was cratering before this trade news. It should bounce back quickly.
If you don’t have a top-eight TE, I strongly recommend you begin negotiations with whoever has him in your leagues. His 9.7 fantasy points per game should at least rebound to last year’s 10.6 mark (and probably will creep beyond 11). It might not seem like much, but that would bump him from the top 13-14 TE to the top 8-9. If you’re paying current market value for him, that’s a small steal.
Elsewhere, DeVonta Smith already was a buy-low candidate after last night’s disappointment. He’s No. 1 in targets on this team — Ertz was No. 2. It stands to reason Smith will absorb some of those looks going forward, improving his standing as a near-future, reliable WR3 with a little upside. And Quez Watkins or Jalen Reagor will battle for scraps and a potential WR5 designation if either takes another step forward.